Changing Trends of Cirrhotic and Noncirrhotic Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the Era of Directly-Acting Antiviral Agents

Abstract

Introduction: The impact of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV) on burden of cirrhotic and noncirrhotic hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has not been examined. We assessed recent trends in liver disease etiologies of HCC and proportion of noncirrhotic HCC since DAAs introduction.

Methods: Clinical characteristics including presence or absence of underlying cirrhosis were collected from 2,623 patients diagnosed with HCC between 2009 and 2019 at 2 large US centers. Logistic regression was performed to investigate the annual trends of HCC due to different liver diseases and proportions of noncirrhotic cases.

Results: In the DAA era (2014-2019), annual decline in HCV-HCC (odds ratio [OR] = 0.93, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.88-0.99, P = 0.019), without change in trends of other liver diseases-related HCC, was observed. Annual increase in noncirrhotic HCC (OR 1.13, 95% CI 1.03-1.23, P = 0.009) and decline in cirrhotic HCC (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.81-0.97, P = 0.009) along with similar trends for HCV-HCC-increase in noncirrhotic cases (OR 1.35, 95% CI 1.08-1.69, P = 0.009) and decrease in cirrhotic cases (OR 0.92, 95% CI 0.86-0.98, P = 0.012)-were observed during the DAA era. Compared with the pre-DAA era, HCC resection rate increased (10.7% vs 14.0%, P = 0.013) whereas liver transplantation rate decreased (15.1% vs 12.0%, P = 0.023) in the DAA era.

Discussion: Since introduction of DAAs, proportions of cirrhotic HCC have decreased, whereas proportions of noncirrhotic HCC have increased. These new trends were associated with change in utilization of liver resection and transplantation for HCC. The impact of changing patterns of DAA use on these trends will require further study.