Longer time to recovery from acute kidney injury is associated with major adverse kidney events in patients with cirrhosis

Abstract

Background: In patients with cirrhosis and acute kidney injury (AKI), longer time to AKI-recovery may increase the risk of subsequent major-adverse-kidney-events (MAKE). Aims: To examine the association between timing of AKI-recovery and risk of MAKE in patients with cirrhosis. Methods: Hospitalised patients with cirrhosis and AKI (n = 5937) in a nationwide database were assessed for time to AKI-recovery and followed for 180-days. Timing of AKI-recovery (return of serum creatinine <0.3 mg/dL of baseline) from AKI-onset was grouped by Acute-Disease-Quality-Initiative Renal Recovery consensus: 0-2, 3-7, and >7-days. Primary outcome was MAKE at 90-180-days. MAKE is an accepted clinical endpoint in AKI and defined as the composite outcome of ≥25% decline in estimated-glomerular-filtration-rate (eGFR) compared with baseline with the development of de-novo chronic-kidney-disease (CKD) stage ≥3 or CKD progression (≥50% reduction in eGFR compared with baseline) or new haemodialysis or death. Landmark competing-risk multivariable analysis was performed to determine the independent association between timing of AKI-recovery and risk of MAKE. Results: 4655 (75%) achieved AKI-recovery: 0-2 (60%), 3-7 (31%), and >7-days (9%). Cumulative-incidence of MAKE was 15%, 20%, and 29% for 0-2, 3-7, >7-days recovery groups, respectively. On adjusted multivariable competing-risk analysis, compared to 0-2-days, recovery at 3-7 and >7-days was independently associated with an increased risk for MAKE: sHR 1.45 (95% CI 1.01-2.09, p = 0.042), sHR 2.33 (95% CI 1.40-3.90, p = 0.001), respectively. Conclusion: Longer time to recovery is associated with an increased risk of MAKE in patients with cirrhosis and AKI. Further research should examine interventions to shorten AKI-recovery time and its impact on subsequent outcomes.