A machine learning model for orthodontic extraction/non-extraction decision in a racially and ethnically diverse patient population

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Date
2023-09
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American English
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Elsevier
Abstract

Introduction The purpose of the present study was to create a machine learning (ML) algorithm with the ability to predict the extraction/non-extraction decision in a racially and ethnically diverse sample.

Methods Data was gathered from the records of 393 patients (200 non-extraction and 193 extraction) from a racially and ethnically diverse population. Four ML models (logistic regression [LR], random forest [RF], support vector machine [SVM], and neural network [NN]) were trained on a training set (70% of samples) and then tested on the remaining samples (30%). The accuracy and precision of the ML model predictions were calculated using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve. The proportion of correct extraction/non-extraction decisions was also calculated.

Results The LR, SVM, and NN models performed best, with an AUC of the ROC of 91.0%, 92.5%, and 92.3%, respectively. The overall proportion of correct decisions was 82%, 76%, 83%, and 81% for the LR, RF, SVM, and NN models, respectively. The features found to be most helpful to the ML algorithms in making their decisions were maxillary crowding/spacing, L1-NB (mm), U1-NA (mm), PFH:AFH, and SN-MP(̊), although many other features contributed significantly.

Conclusions ML models can predict the extraction decision in a racially and ethnically diverse patient population with a high degree of accuracy and precision. Crowding, sagittal, and vertical characteristics all featured prominently in the hierarchy of components most influential to the ML decision-making process.

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Mason, T., Kelly, K. M., Eckert, G., Dean, J. A., Dundar, M. M., & Turkkahraman, H. (2023). A machine learning model for orthodontic extraction/non-extraction decision in a racially and ethnically diverse patient population. International Orthodontics, 21(3), 100759. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ortho.2023.100759
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International Orthodontics
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