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Item A machine learning-based phenotype for long COVID in children: an EHR-based study from the RECOVER program(Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, 2022-12-26) Lorman, Vitaly; Razzaghi, Hanieh; Song, Xing; Morse, Keith; Utidjian, Levon; Allen, Andrea J.; Rao, Suchitra; Rogerson, Colin; Bennett, Tellen D.; Morizono, Hiroki; Eckrich, Daniel; Jhaveri, Ravi; Huang, Yungui; Ranade, Daksha; Pajor, Nathan; Lee, Grace M.; Forrest, Christopher B.; Bailey, L. Charles; Pediatrics, School of MedicineBackground: As clinical understanding of pediatric Post-Acute Sequelae of SARS CoV-2 (PASC) develops, and hence the clinical definition evolves, it is desirable to have a method to reliably identify patients who are likely to have post-acute sequelae of SARS CoV-2 (PASC) in health systems data. Methods and findings: In this study, we developed and validated a machine learning algorithm to classify which patients have PASC (distinguishing between Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) and non-MIS-C variants) from a cohort of patients with positive SARS-CoV-2 test results in pediatric health systems within the PEDSnet EHR network. Patient features included in the model were selected from conditions, procedures, performance of diagnostic testing, and medications using a tree-based scan statistic approach. We used an XGboost model, with hyperparameters selected through cross-validated grid search, and model performance was assessed using 5-fold cross-validation. Model predictions and feature importance were evaluated using Shapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) values. Conclusions: The model provides a tool for identifying patients with PASC and an approach to characterizing PASC using diagnosis, medication, laboratory, and procedure features in health systems data. Using appropriate threshold settings, the model can be used to identify PASC patients in health systems data at higher precision for inclusion in studies or at higher recall in screening for clinical trials, especially in settings where PASC diagnosis codes are used less frequently or less reliably. Analysis of how specific features contribute to the classification process may assist in gaining a better understanding of features that are associated with PASC diagnoses.Item A matched analysis of the use of high flow nasal cannula for pediatric severe acute asthma(Wiley, 2024) Rogerson, Colin; AbuSultaneh, Samer; Sanchez‐Pinto, L. Nelson; Gaston, Benjamin; Wiehe, Sarah; Schleyer, Titus; Tu, Wanzhu; Mendonca, Eneida; Pediatrics, School of MedicineRationale: The high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) device is commonly used to treat pediatric severe acute asthma. However, there is little evidence regarding its effectiveness in real-world practice. Objectives: We sought to compare the physiologic effects and clinical outcomes for children treated for severe acute asthma with HFNC versus matched controls. Methods: This was a single-center retrospective matched cohort study at a quaternary care children's hospital. Children ages 2-18 hospitalized for severe acute asthma from 2015 to 2022 were included. Encounters receiving treatment with HFNC within the first 24 h of hospitalization were included as cases. Controls were primarily treated with oxygen facemask. Logistic regression 1:1 propensity score matching was done using demographics, initial vital signs, and medications. The primary outcome was an improvement in clinical asthma symptoms in the first 24 h of hospitalization measured as percent change from initial. Measurements and main results: Of 693 eligible cases, 443 were matched to eligible controls. Propensity scores were closely aligned between the cohorts, with the only significant difference in clinical characteristics being a higher percentage of patients of Black race in the control group (54.3% vs. 46.6%; p = 0.02). Compared to the matched controls, the HFNC cohort had smaller improvements in heart rate (-11.5% [-20.9; -0.9] vs. -14.7% [-22.6;-5.7]; p < 0.01), respiratory rate (-14.3% [-27.9;5.4] vs. -16.7% [-31.5;0.0]; p = 0.03), and pediatric asthma severity score (-14.3% [-28.6;0.0] vs. -20.0% [-33.3;0.0]; p < 0.01) after 24 h of hospitalization. The HFNC cohort also had longer pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) length of stay (LOS) (1.5 days [1.1;2.1] vs. 1.2 days [0.9;1.8]; p < 0.01) and hospital LOS (2.8 days [2.1;3.8] vs. 2.5 days [1.9;3.4]; p < 0.01). When subgrouping to younger patients (2-3 years old), or those with the highest severity scores (PASS > 9), those treated with HFNC had no difference in clinical symptom improvements but maintained a longer PICU LOS. Conclusions: Encounters using HFNC for severe acute pediatric asthma had decreased clinical improvement in 24 h of hospitalization compared to matched controls and increased LOS. Specific subgroups of younger patients and those with the highest severity scores showed no differences in clinical symptom improvement suggesting differential effects in specific patient populations.Item Can Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children Be Managed in the Outpatient Setting? An EHR-Based Cohort Study From the RECOVER Program(Oxford University Press, 2023) Jhaveri, Ravi; Webb, Ryan; Razzaghi, Hanieh; Schuchard, Julia; Mejias, Asuncion; Bennett, Tellen D.; Jone, Pei-Ni; Thacker, Deepika; Schulert, Grant S.; Rogerson, Colin; Cogen, Jonathan D.; Bailey, L. Charles; Forrest, Christopher B.; Lee, Grace M.; Rao, Suchitra; RECOVER consortium; Pediatrics, School of MedicineUsing electronic health record data combined with primary chart review, we identified seven children across nine participant pediatric medical centers with a diagnosis of Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) managed exclusively as outpatients. These findings should raise awareness of mild presentations of MIS-C and the option of outpatient management.Item Derivation, Validation, and Clinical Relevance of a Pediatric Sepsis Phenotype With Persistent Hypoxemia, Encephalopathy, and Shock(Wolters Kluwer, 2023) Sanchez-Pinto, L. Nelson; Bennett, Tellen D.; Stroup, Emily K.; Luo, Yuan; Atreya, Mihir; Bubeck Wardenburg, Juliane; Chong, Grace; Geva, Alon; Faustino, E. Vincent S.; Farris, Reid W.; Hall, Mark W.; Rogerson, Colin; Shah, Sareen S.; Weiss, Scott L.; Khemani, Robinder G.; Pediatrics, School of MedicineObjectives: Untangling the heterogeneity of sepsis in children and identifying clinically relevant phenotypes could lead to the development of targeted therapies. Our aim was to analyze the organ dysfunction trajectories of children with sepsis-associated multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) to identify reproducible and clinically relevant sepsis phenotypes and determine if they are associated with heterogeneity of treatment effect (HTE) to common therapies. Design: Multicenter observational cohort study. Setting: Thirteen PICUs in the United States. Patients: Patients admitted with suspected infections to the PICU between 2012 and 2018. Interventions: None. Measurements and main results: We used subgraph-augmented nonnegative matrix factorization to identify candidate trajectory-based phenotypes based on the type, severity, and progression of organ dysfunction in the first 72 hours. We analyzed the candidate phenotypes to determine reproducibility as well as prognostic, therapeutic, and biological relevance. Overall, 38,732 children had suspected infection, of which 15,246 (39.4%) had sepsis-associated MODS with an in-hospital mortality of 10.1%. We identified an organ dysfunction trajectory-based phenotype (which we termed persistent hypoxemia, encephalopathy, and shock) that was highly reproducible, had features of systemic inflammation and coagulopathy, and was independently associated with higher mortality. In a propensity score-matched analysis, patients with persistent hypoxemia, encephalopathy, and shock phenotype appeared to have HTE and benefit from adjuvant therapy with hydrocortisone and albumin. When compared with other high-risk clinical syndromes, the persistent hypoxemia, encephalopathy, and shock phenotype only overlapped with 50%-60% of patients with septic shock, moderate-to-severe pediatric acute respiratory distress syndrome, or those in the top tier of organ dysfunction burden, suggesting that it represents a nonsynonymous clinical phenotype of sepsis-associated MODS. Conclusions: We derived and validated the persistent hypoxemia, encephalopathy, and shock phenotype, which is highly reproducible, clinically relevant, and associated with HTE to common adjuvant therapies in children with sepsis.Item EHR-based Case Identification of Pediatric Long COVID: A Report from the RECOVER EHR Cohort(medRxiv, 2024-05-23) Botdorf, Morgan; Dickinson, Kimberley; Lorman, Vitaly; Razzaghi, Hanieh; Marchesani, Nicole; Rao, Suchitra; Rogerson, Colin; Higginbotham, Miranda; Mejias, Asuncion; Salyakina, Daria; Thacker, Deepika; Dandachi, Dima; Christakis, Dimitri A.; Taylor, Emily; Schwenk, Hayden; Morizono, Hiroki; Cogen, Jonathan; Pajor, Nate M.; Jhaveri, Ravi; Forrest, Christopher B.; Bailey, L. Charles; RECOVER Consortium; Pediatrics, School of MedicineObjective: Long COVID, marked by persistent, recurring, or new symptoms post-COVID-19 infection, impacts children's well-being yet lacks a unified clinical definition. This study evaluates the performance of an empirically derived Long COVID case identification algorithm, or computable phenotype, with manual chart review in a pediatric sample. This approach aims to facilitate large-scale research efforts to understand this condition better. Methods: The algorithm, composed of diagnostic codes empirically associated with Long COVID, was applied to a cohort of pediatric patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection in the RECOVER PCORnet EHR database. The algorithm classified 31,781 patients with conclusive, probable, or possible Long COVID and 307,686 patients without evidence of Long COVID. A chart review was performed on a subset of patients (n=651) to determine the overlap between the two methods. Instances of discordance were reviewed to understand the reasons for differences. Results: The sample comprised 651 pediatric patients (339 females, M age = 10.10 years) across 16 hospital systems. Results showed moderate overlap between phenotype and chart review Long COVID identification (accuracy = 0.62, PPV = 0.49, NPV = 0.75); however, there were also numerous cases of disagreement. No notable differences were found when the analyses were stratified by age at infection or era of infection. Further examination of the discordant cases revealed that the most common cause of disagreement was the clinician reviewers' tendency to attribute Long COVID-like symptoms to prior medical conditions. The performance of the phenotype improved when prior medical conditions were considered (accuracy = 0.71, PPV = 0.65, NPV = 0.74). Conclusions: Although there was moderate overlap between the two methods, the discrepancies between the two sources are likely attributed to the lack of consensus on a Long COVID clinical definition. It is essential to consider the strengths and limitations of each method when developing Long COVID classification algorithms.Item Epidemiologic Trends In Children With Toxicologic Exposures Requiring Intensive Care Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic(Pediatric Pharmacy Association, 2024) Hughes, Kaitlin; Overberg, Adam; Satterfield, Kennedi; Voss, Hannah; Rogerson, Colin; Pediatrics, School of MedicineObjective: Pediatric poison exposures are a common reason for pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) -admission. The purpose of this study was to examine the exposure trends and patient outcomes in 2018-2019 compared with 2020-2021 amidst the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of patients 18 years of age or younger with a suspected toxicologic exposure from January 2018 to March 2021. The primary endpoint was rate of PICU admissions between the 2 cohorts. Secondary endpoints included medical outcome stratified by severity, PICU length of stay, and need for mechanical ventilation. Results: Our study included a total of 340 patients with median age 14.5 (IQR, 11.9-16.1) years. There was no significant difference in age, sex, or race between the 2 cohorts. The percentage of patients admitted to the PICU for poison exposures was significantly higher in the COVID-19 cohort compared with the pre-COVID-19 cohort (8.4% vs 3.7%, p < 0.01). Severity of medical outcomes differed between the groups; the COVID-19 cohort had more extreme clinical presentations of no effect or death (p < 0.01). No significant difference was found among the remaining secondary outcomes. Classes of substances ingested were comparable with baseline poison center data. Conclusions: Poisoning-related PICU admissions occurred at more than twice the pre-pandemic rate. This may emphasize the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on pediatric access and exposure to poisons.Item Health Care Resource Utilization for Children Requiring Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation via Tracheostomy(AARC, 2020-08) Rogerson, Colin; Beardsley, Andrew; Nitu, Mara; Cristea, Ioana; Pediatrics, School of MedicineBACKGROUND: More children are discharged from ICUs on prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV) via tracheostomy than ever before. These patients have long hospitalizations with high resource expenditure. Our objective was to describe the characteristics of these resource-intensive patients and to evaluate their costs of care. We hypothesized that subjects requiring PMV for neurologic diagnoses would have higher costs, longer hospital length of stay (LOS), and worse outcomes than those with primarily respiratory diagnoses. METHODS: We identified 50 pediatric subjects between January 2015 and December 2017 at our institution who had a new tracheostomy placement and were enrolled in a home mechanical ventilation program. Collected data included demographics, indication for tracheostomy, LOS, hospital costs, readmissions, and outcomes. We also compared subjects who required PMV for respiratory diagnoses versus neurologic diagnoses. RESULTS: Of 50 subjects, 41 were < 12 months old at the time of tracheostomy. Thirty-four subjects had a respiratory diagnosis requiring PMV, 14 had a neurologic diagnosis, and 2 had a cardiac diagnosis. The total initial hospitalization cost was $31,133,582, which averages to $622,671 per subject. The average initial hospitalization LOS was 155 d. Respiratory subjects had longer LOS and higher average costs than neurologic subjects. The average readmission rate was 2.16 per subject in the first year after discharge, and the average readmission cost per subject was $73,144. Eight subjects died in the first year after discharge, and 4 suffered a serious morbidity. CONCLUSIONS: This descriptive study evaluated the social and medical characteristics of subjects being discharged from the pediatric ICU with PMV via tracheostomy, as well as quantified the financial impact of their care. Those requiring PMV for neurologic diagnoses had shorter hospital LOS and lower hospital costs than those with respiratory diagnoses. No definitive differences in outcomes were found.Item High flow nasal cannula use is associated with increased hospital length of stay for pediatric asthma(Wiley, 2023-11) Rogerson, Colin; Owora, Arthur; He, Tian; Carroll, Aaron; Schleyer, Titus; AbuSultaneh, Samer; Tu, Wanzhu; Mendonca, Eneida; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground High flow nasal cannula (HFNC) is a respiratory device increasingly used to treat asthma. Recent mechanistic studies have shown that nebulized medications may have reduced delivery with HFNC, which may impair asthma treatment. This study evaluated the association between HFNC use for pediatric asthma and hospital length of stay (LOS). Methods This was a retrospective matched cohort study. Cases included patients aged 2–18 years hospitalized between January 2010 and December 2021 with asthma and received HFNC treatment. Controls were selected using logistic regression propensity score matching based on demographics, vital signs, medications, imaging, and social and environmental determinants of health. The primary outcome was hospital LOS. Results A total of 23,659 encounters met eligibility criteria, and of these 1766 cases included HFNC treatment with a suitable matched control. Cases were well-matched in demographics, social and environmental determinants of health, and clinical characteristics including use of adjunctive asthma therapies. The median hospital LOS for study cases was significantly higher at 87 h (interquartile range [IQR]: 61–145) compared to 66 h (IQR: 43–105) in the matched controls (p < 0.01). There was no significant difference in the rate of intubation and mechanical ventilation (8.9% vs. 7.6%, p = .18); however, the use of NIV was significantly higher in the cases than the control group (21.3% vs. 6.7%, p < .01). Conclusion In this study of children hospitalized for asthma, HFNC use was associated with increased hospital LOS compared to matched controls. Further research using more granular data and additional relevant variables is needed to validate these findings.Item Identification of severe acute pediatric asthma phenotypes using unsupervised machine learning(Wiley, 2024) Rogerson, Colin; Sanchez‐Pinto, L. Nelson; Gaston, Benjamin; Wiehe, Sarah; Schleyer, Titus; Tu, Wanzhu; Mendonca, Eneida; Pediatrics, School of MedicineRationale: More targeted management of severe acute pediatric asthma could improve clinical outcomes. Objectives: To identify distinct clinical phenotypes of severe acute pediatric asthma using variables obtained in the first 12 h of hospitalization. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study in a quaternary care children's hospital from 2014 to 2022. Encounters for children ages 2-18 years admitted to the hospital for asthma were included. We used consensus k means clustering with patient demographics, vital signs, diagnostics, and laboratory data obtained in the first 12 h of hospitalization. Measurements and main results: The study population included 683 encounters divided into derivation (80%) and validation (20%) sets, and two distinct clusters were identified. Compared to Cluster 1 in the derivation set, Cluster 2 encounters (177 [32%]) were older (11 years [8; 14] vs. 5 years [3; 8]; p < .01) and more commonly males (63% vs. 53%; p = .03) of Black race (51% vs. 40%; p = .03) with non-Hispanic ethnicity (96% vs. 84%; p < .01). Cluster 2 encounters had smaller improvements in vital signs at 12-h including percent change in heart rate (-1.7 [-11.7; 12.7] vs. -7.8 [-18.5; 1.7]; p < .01), and respiratory rate (0.0 [-20.0; 22.2] vs. -11.4 [-27.3; 9.0]; p < .01). Encounters in Cluster 2 had lower percentages of neutrophils (70.0 [55.0; 83.0] vs. 85.0 [77.0; 90.0]; p < .01) and higher percentages of lymphocytes (17.0 [8.0; 32.0] vs. 9.0 [5.3; 14.0]; p < .01). Cluster 2 encounters had higher rates of invasive mechanical ventilation (23% vs. 5%; p < .01), longer hospital length of stay (4.5 [2.6; 8.8] vs. 2.9 [2.0; 4.3]; p < .01), and a higher mortality rate (7.3% vs. 0.0%; p < .01). The predicted cluster assignments in the validation set shared the same ratio (~2:1), and many of the same characteristics. Conclusions: We identified two clinical phenotypes of severe acute pediatric asthma which exhibited distinct clinical features and outcomes.Item Phoenix Sepsis Criteria in Critically Ill Children: Retrospective Validation Using a United States Nine-Center Dataset, 2012–2018(Wolters Kluwer, 2025) Sanchez-Pinto, L. Nelson; Daniels, Latasha A.; Atreya, Mihir; Faustino, E. Vincent S.; Farris, Reid W. D.; Geva, Alon; Khemani, Robinder G.; Rogerson, Colin; Shah, Sareen S.; Weiss, Scott L.; Bennett, Tellen D.; Pediatrics, School of MedicineObjectives: To perform: 1) external validation of the Phoenix Sepsis Score and Phoenix sepsis criteria in a multicenter cohort of critically ill children with infection and a comparison with the 2005 International Pediatric Sepsis Consensus Conference (IPSCC) criteria; 2) a study of Phoenix sepsis criteria performance in patient subgroups based on age and comorbidities; 3) an assessment of microbiological profile of children with Phoenix sepsis; and 4) a study of the performance of the Phoenix-8 score. Design: Secondary, retrospective analysis of a multicenter cohort study from 2012 to 2018. Setting: Nine PICUs in the United States. Patients: PICU admissions with suspected infection. Interventions: None. Measurements and main results: Among 25,680 encounters of children with suspected or confirmed infection on PICU admission (4.6% in-hospital mortality), 11,168 (43%) met Phoenix criteria for sepsis or septic shock (9% in-hospital mortality). The Phoenix criteria generally outperformed the IPSCC criteria at discriminating mortality in all critically ill children with infections and across all subgroup analyses, including age group, malignancy, or technology dependence. Of 11,168 patients who met Phoenix criteria, 28% were negative for IPSCC criteria for sepsis and these had higher in-hospital mortality than those who met IPSCC sepsis criteria but not Phoenix criteria (4.7% vs.1.7%; p < 0.001), which was similar to the mortality of patients without sepsis (1.3%). Sepsis was associated with respiratory or bloodstream infection, most commonly Pseudomonas aeruginosa or Staphylococcus aureus. The Phoenix-8 score had good discrimination of mortality in children with infections, comparable to or better than validated and widely used severity of illness and organ dysfunction scores. Conclusions: In 2012-2018, among U.S. patients with suspected or confirmed infection admitted to nine PICUs, those with the highest risk of mortality can be identified using the Phoenix sepsis criteria, including in children of different age groups and those with major comorbidities.