Browsing by Subject "natural history"

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    The Natural History of Coiled Cerebral Aneurysms Stratified by Modified Raymond-Roy Occlusion Classification
    (Elsevier, 2019) Mendenhall, Stephen K.; Sahlein, Daniel H.; Wilson, Christopher D.; Filley, Anna C.; Ordaz, Josue; Ahluwalia, Rahul K.; Bakare, Wale A.; Huh, Andrew; Dancour, Elie; Zaazoue, Mohamed A.; Shapiro, Scott A.; Cohen-Gadol, Aaron A.; Neurological Surgery, School of Medicine
    Objective The natural history and long-term durability of Guglielmi detachable coil (GDC) embolization is still unknown. We hypothesize a stepwise decrease in durability of embolized cerebral aneurysms as stratified by the Modified Raymond-Roy Classification (MRRC). Methods First-time GDC-embolized cerebral aneurysms were retrospectively reviewed from 2004 to 2015. Loss of durability (LOD) was defined by change in aneurysm size or patency seen on serial radiographic follow-up. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to evaluate embolization durability. Multivariate Cox regression modeling was used to assess baseline aneurysm and patient characteristics for their effect on LOD. Results A total of 427 patients with 443 aneurysms met the inclusion criteria. Overall, 89 (21%) aneurysms met LOD criteria. Grade 1 aneurysms had statistically significantly greater durability than did all other MRRC grades. Grade 3b aneurysms had significantly worse durability than did all other aneurysm grades. There was no difference in durability between grade 2 and 3a aneurysms. Of aneurysms with LOD, 26 (29%) experienced worsening of MRRC grade. Thirty-five (24%) initial MRRC grade 2, 72 (45%) initial MRRC grade 3a, and 6 (22%) initial MRRC grade 3b aneurysms progressed to MRRC grade 1 without retreatment. In our multivariate analysis, only initial MRRC grade was statistically significantly associated with treatment durability (P < 0.001). Conclusions MRRC grade is independently associated with first-time GDC-embolized cerebral aneurysm durability. Achieving MRRC grade 1 occlusion outcome is significantly associated with greater long-term GDC durability. Although few aneurysms experience further growth and/or recanalization, most incompletely obliterated aneurysms tend to remain stable over time or even progress to occlusion. Grading scales such as the MRRC are useful for characterizing aneurysm occlusion but may lack sensitivity and specificity for characterizing changes in aneurysm morphology over time.
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    Risk Factors for Rapid Progression From Acute Recurrent to Chronic Pancreatitis in Children: Report From INSPPIRE
    (Wolters Kluwer, 2019-08-01) Liu, Quin Y.; Abu-El-Haija, Maisam; Husain, Sohail Z.; Barth, Bradley; Bellin, Melena; Fishman, Douglas S.; Freedman, Steven D.; Gariepy, Cheryl E.; Giefer, Matthew J.; Gonska, Tanja; Heyman, Melvin B.; Himes, Ryan; Lin, Tom K.; Maqbool, Asim; Mascarenhas, Maria; McFerron, Brian A.; Morinville, Veronique D.; Nathan, Jaimie D.; Ooi, Chee Y.; Perito, Emily R.; Pohl, John F.; Rhee, Sue; Schwarzenberg, Sarah J.; Shah, Uzma; Troendle, David; Werlin, Steven L.; Wilschanski, Michael; Zimmerman, M. Bridget; Lowe, Mark E.; Uc, Aliye; Pediatrics, School of Medicine
    Objective To determine the rate of progression from acute recurrent pancreatitis (ARP) to chronic pancreatitis (CP) in children and assess risk factors. Study Design Data were collected from the INternational Study group of Pediatric Pancreatitis: In search for a cuRE (INSPPIRE) cohort. Kaplan-Meier curves were constructed to calculate duration of progression from initial attack of acute pancreatitis (AP) to CP. Log-rank test was used to compare survival (non-progression) probability distribution between groups. Cox proportional hazard regression models were fitted to obtain hazard ratio (with 95% CI) of progression for each risk variable. Results Of 442 children, 251 had ARP, 191 CP. The median time of progression from initial attack of AP to CP was 3.79 years. The progression was faster in those age ≥6 years at the first episode of AP compared to those age <6 years (median time to CP: 2.91 vs 4.92 years; p=0.01). Children with pathogenic PRSS1 variants progressed more rapidly to CP compared to children without PRSS1 variants (median time to CP: 2.52 vs 4.48 years; p=0.003). Within six years after the initial AP attack, cumulative proportion with exocrine pancreatic insufficiency (EPI) was 18.0% (95% CI: 12.4%, 25.6%); diabetes mellitus was 7.7% (95% CI: 4.2%, 14.1%). Conclusions Children with ARP rapidly progress to CP, EPI and diabetes. The progression to CP is faster in children who were ≥6 years at the first episode of AP or with pathogenic PRSS1 variants. The factors that impact the aggressive disease course in childhood warrant further investigation.