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Item Disappearance of the last tropical glaciers in the Western Pacific Warm Pool (Papua, Indonesia) appears imminent(National Academy of Sciences, 2019-12-26) Permana, Donaldi S.; Thompson, Lonnie G.; Mosley-Thompson, Ellen; Davis, Mary E.; Lin, Ping-Nan; Nicolas, Julien P.; Bolzan, John F.; Bird, Broxton W.; Mikhalenko, Vladimir N.; Gabrielli, Paolo; Zagorodnov, Victor; Mountain, Keith R.; Schotterer, Ulrich; Hanggoro, Wido; Habibie, Muhammad N.; Kaize, Yohanes; Gunawan, Dodo; Setyadi, Gesang; Susanto, Raden D.; Fernández, Alfonso; Mark, Bryan G.; Earth Sciences, School of ScienceThe glaciers near Puncak Jaya in Papua, Indonesia, the highest peak between the Himalayas and the Andes, are the last remaining tropical glaciers in the West Pacific Warm Pool (WPWP). Here, we report the recent, rapid retreat of the glaciers near Puncak Jaya by quantifying the loss of ice coverage and reduction of ice thickness over the last 8 y. Photographs and measurements of a 30-m accumulation stake anchored to bedrock on the summit of one of these glaciers document a rapid pace in the loss of ice cover and a ∼5.4-fold increase in the thinning rate, which was augmented by the strong 2015–2016 El Niño. At the current rate of ice loss, these glaciers will likely disappear within the next decade. To further understand the mechanisms driving the observed retreat of these glaciers, 2 ∼32-m-long ice cores to bedrock recovered in mid-2010 are used to reconstruct the tropical Pacific climate variability over approximately the past half-century on a quasi-interannual timescale. The ice core oxygen isotopic ratios show a significant positive linear trend since 1964 CE (0.018 ± 0.008‰ per year; P < 0.03) and also suggest that the glaciers’ retreat is augmented by El Niño–Southern Oscillation processes, such as convection and warming of the atmosphere and sea surface. These Papua glaciers provide the only tropical records of ice core-derived climate variability for the WPWP.Item Impacts of Climate Change on Tibetan Lakes: Patterns and Processes(MDPI, 2018-02-26) Mao, Dehua; Wang, Zongming; Yang, Hong; Li, Huiying; Thompson, Julian R.; Li, Lin; Song, Kaishan; Chen, Bin; Gao, Hongkai; Wu, Jianguo; Earth Sciences, School of ScienceHigh-altitude inland-drainage lakes on the Tibetan Plateau (TP), the earth’s third pole, are very sensitive to climate change. Tibetan lakes are important natural resources with important religious, historical, and cultural significance. However, the spatial patterns and processes controlling the impacts of climate and associated changes on Tibetan lakes are largely unknown. This study used long time series and multi-temporal Landsat imagery to map the patterns of Tibetan lakes and glaciers in 1977, 1990, 2000, and 2014, and further to assess the spatiotemporal changes of lakes and glaciers in 17 TP watersheds between 1977 and 2014. Spatially variable changes in lake and glacier area as well as climatic factors were analyzed. We identified four modes of lake change in response to climate and associated changes. Lake expansion was predominantly attributed to increased precipitation and glacier melting, whereas lake shrinkage was a main consequence of a drier climate or permafrost degradation. These findings shed new light on the impacts of recent environmental changes on Tibetan lakes. They suggest that protecting these high-altitude lakes in the face of further environmental change will require spatially variable policies and management measures.Item Impacts of Climate Change on Tibetan Lakes: Patterns and Processes(MDPI, 2018-02-26) Mao, Dehua; Wang, Zongming; Yang, Hong; Li, Huiying; Thompson, Julian; Li, Lin; Song, Kaishan; Chen, Bin; Gao, Hongkai; Wu, Jianguo; Earth Sciences, School of ScienceHigh-altitude inland-drainage lakes on the Tibetan Plateau (TP), the earth’s third pole, are very sensitive to climate change. Tibetan lakes are important natural resources with important religious, historical, and cultural significance. However, the spatial patterns and processes controlling the impacts of climate and associated changes on Tibetan lakes are largely unknown. This study used long time series and multi-temporal Landsat imagery to map the patterns of Tibetan lakes and glaciers in 1977, 1990, 2000, and 2014, and further to assess the spatiotemporal changes of lakes and glaciers in 17 TP watersheds between 1977 and 2014. Spatially variable changes in lake and glacier area as well as climatic factors were analyzed. We identified four modes of lake change in response to climate and associated changes. Lake expansion was predominantly attributed to increased precipitation and glacier melting, whereas lake shrinkage was a main consequence of a drier climate or permafrost degradation. These findings shed new light on the impacts of recent environmental changes on Tibetan lakes. They suggest that protecting these high-altitude lakes in the face of further environmental change will require spatially variable policies and management measures.