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Item Climate Change Communication Research: A Systematic Review(SSRN, 2020-08) Eise, Jessica; Lambert, Natalie J.; Adekunle, Tiwaladeoluwa; Eversole, Kelsey; Eise, Laura; Murphy, Morgan; Sprouse, Layni; Biostatistics, School of Public HealthThis study is an examination of climate change communication research in which we examine topical, geographical and methodological trends. Using 160 peer-reviewed journal articles as evidence, we assess the field’s climate change research to-date and draw recommendations for future directions for research. Our findings illustrate that the majority of surveyed research focuses on public knowledge of and public belief in climate change, draws data from the Global North and tends toward quantitative methodological approaches, although a diversity of methodological approaches are represented. We recommend that future research correct ethnocentric tendencies by studying underrepresented regions such as the African continent, Latin America and the Caribbean, attend more to studies addressing adaptation to climate change impacts and embrace methodologies that address the localized nature of climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts.Item Climate change impacts on human health at an actionable scale: a state-level assessment of Indiana, USA(Springer, 2020-12) Filippelli, G. M.; Freeman, J. L.; Gibson, J.; Jay, S.; Moreno-Madriñán, M. J.; Ogashawara, I.; Rosenthal, F. S.; Wang, Y.; Wells, E.; Earth Sciences, School of ScienceClimate change is already being felt on local levels, with historical records from the State of Indiana (USA) revealing warmer winters and more extreme precipitation events. To refine our understanding of climate change impacts on human health, we conducted a state-level assessment of future climate change impacts on human health using outputs from advanced climate model projections for this century. Future projections show a steep increase in extreme heat events, leading to greater potential vulnerability to heat disasters for Indiana communities. Additionally, a 2- to 4-fold increase in days with “uncomfortable night” conditions by the end of the century will strongly impact the cardiopulmonary health of more vulnerable populations (i.e., elderly, those with pre-existing conditions, children, and those with inadequate access to cooling). Continued trends for warmer winters and more flooding suggest a much greater risk for the expansion and virulence of a number of vector-borne diseases, such as Lyme disease, West Nile Virus, and “tropical” diseases for which the mosquito vectors will thrive. Higher temperatures will also drive more frequent and severe harmful algal blooms in lakes and reservoirs, with implications for human and animal health. Food systems will also be impacted, particularly with increased risk of contamination by bacteria and mycotoxins due to elevated heat and humidity.Item Climate-driven variations in suspended particulate matter dominate water clarity in shallow lakes.(Optica, 2022-01) Fang, Chong; Jacinthe, Pierre-Andre; Song, Changchun; Zhang, Chi; Song, Kaishan; Earth Science, School of ScienceSecchi disk depth (SDD) has long been considered as a reliable proxy for lake clarity, and an important indicator of the aquatic ecosystems. Meteorological and anthropogenic factors can affect SDD, but the mechanism of these effects and the potential control of climate change are poorly understood. Preliminary research at Lake Khanka (international shallow lake on the China-Russia border) had led to the hypothesis that climatic factors, through their impact on suspended particulate matter (SPM) concentration, are key drivers of SDD variability. To verify the hypothesis, Landsat and MODIS images were used to examine temporal trend in these parameters. For that analysis, the novel SPM index (SPMI) was developed, through incorporation of SPM concentration effect on spectral radiance, and was satisfactorily applied to both Landsat (R= 0.70, p < 0.001) and MODIS (R= 0.78, p < 0.001) images to obtain remote estimates of SPM concentration. Further, the SPMI algorithm was successfully applied to the shallow lakes Hulun, Chao and Hongze, demonstrating its portability. Through analysis of the temporal trend (1984-2019) in SDD and SPM, this study demonstrated that variation in SPM concentration was the dominant driver (explaining 63% of the variation as opposed to 2% due to solar radiation) of SDD in Lake Khanka, thus supporting the study hypothesis. Furthermore, we speculated that variation in wind speed, probably impacted by difference in temperature between lake surface and surrounding landscapes (greater difference between 1984-2009 than after 2010), may have caused varying degree of sediment resuspension, ultimately controlling SPM and SDD variation in Lake Khanka.Item Comprehensive quantification of the responses of ecosystem production and respiration to drought time scale, intensity and timing in humid environments: A FLUXNET synthesis(Wiley, 2022-05) Jiao, Wenzhe; Wang, Lixin; Wang, Honglang; Lanning, Matthew; Chang, Qing; Novick, Kimberly A.; Earth Sciences, School of ScienceDrought is one of the most important natural hazards impacting ecosystem carbon cycles. However, it is challenging to quantify the impacts of drought on ecosystem carbon balance and several factors hinder our explicit understanding of the complex drought impacts. First, drought impacts can have different time dimensions such as simultaneous, cumulative, and lagged impacts on ecosystem carbon balance. Second, drought is not only a multiscale (e.g., temporal and spatial) but also a multidimensional (e.g., intensity, time-scale, and timing) phenomenon, and ecosystem production and respiration may respond to each drought dimension differently. In this study, we conducted a comprehensive drought impact assessment on ecosystem productivity and respiration in humid regions by including different drought dimensions using global FLUXNET observations. Short-term drought (e.g., 1-month drought) generally did not induce a decrease in plant productivity even under high severity drought. However, ecosystem production and respiration significantly decreased as drought intensity increased for droughts longer than one month in duration. Drought timing was important, and ecosystem productivity was most vulnerable when drought occurred during or shortly after the peak vegetation growth. We found that lagged drought impacts more significantly affected ecosystem carbon uptake than simultaneous drought, and that ecosystem respiration was less sensitive to drought time scale than ecosystem production. Overall, our results indicated that temporally-standardized meteorological drought indices can be used to reflect plant productivity decline, but drought timing, antecedent, and cumulative drought conditions need to be considered together.Item Disappearance of the last tropical glaciers in the Western Pacific Warm Pool (Papua, Indonesia) appears imminent(National Academy of Sciences, 2019-12-26) Permana, Donaldi S.; Thompson, Lonnie G.; Mosley-Thompson, Ellen; Davis, Mary E.; Lin, Ping-Nan; Nicolas, Julien P.; Bolzan, John F.; Bird, Broxton W.; Mikhalenko, Vladimir N.; Gabrielli, Paolo; Zagorodnov, Victor; Mountain, Keith R.; Schotterer, Ulrich; Hanggoro, Wido; Habibie, Muhammad N.; Kaize, Yohanes; Gunawan, Dodo; Setyadi, Gesang; Susanto, Raden D.; Fernández, Alfonso; Mark, Bryan G.; Earth Sciences, School of ScienceThe glaciers near Puncak Jaya in Papua, Indonesia, the highest peak between the Himalayas and the Andes, are the last remaining tropical glaciers in the West Pacific Warm Pool (WPWP). Here, we report the recent, rapid retreat of the glaciers near Puncak Jaya by quantifying the loss of ice coverage and reduction of ice thickness over the last 8 y. Photographs and measurements of a 30-m accumulation stake anchored to bedrock on the summit of one of these glaciers document a rapid pace in the loss of ice cover and a ∼5.4-fold increase in the thinning rate, which was augmented by the strong 2015–2016 El Niño. At the current rate of ice loss, these glaciers will likely disappear within the next decade. To further understand the mechanisms driving the observed retreat of these glaciers, 2 ∼32-m-long ice cores to bedrock recovered in mid-2010 are used to reconstruct the tropical Pacific climate variability over approximately the past half-century on a quasi-interannual timescale. The ice core oxygen isotopic ratios show a significant positive linear trend since 1964 CE (0.018 ± 0.008‰ per year; P < 0.03) and also suggest that the glaciers’ retreat is augmented by El Niño–Southern Oscillation processes, such as convection and warming of the atmosphere and sea surface. These Papua glaciers provide the only tropical records of ice core-derived climate variability for the WPWP.Item Dryland ecohydrology and climate change: critical issues and technical advances(2012-08) Wang, Lixin; D'Odorico, P.; Evans, J. P.; Eldridge, D. J.; McCabe, M. F.; Caylor, K. K.; King, E. G.Drylands cover about 40% of the terrestrial land surface and account for approximately 40% of global net primary productivity. Water is fundamental to the biophysical processes that sustain ecosystem function and food production, particularly in drylands where a tight coupling exists between ecosystem productivity, surface energy balance, biogeochemical cycles, and water resource availability. Currently, drylands support at least 2 billion people and comprise both natural and managed ecosystems. In this synthesis, we identify some current critical issues in the understanding of dryland systems and discuss how arid and semiarid environments are responding to the changes in climate and land use. The issues range from societal aspects such as rapid population growth, the resulting food and water security, and development issues, to natural aspects such as ecohydrological consequences of bush encroachment and the causes of desertification. To improve current understanding and inform upon the needed research efforts to address these critical issues, we identify some recent technical advances in terms of monitoring dryland water dynamics, water budget and vegetation water use, with a focus on the use of stable isotopes and remote sensing. These technological advances provide new tools that assist in addressing critical issues in dryland ecohydrology under climate change.Item Dynamic interactions of ecohydrological and biogeochemical processes in water-limited systems(Wiley, 2015-08) Wang, Lixin; Manzoni, Stefano; Ravi, Sujith; Riveros-Iregui, Diego; Caylor, Kelly; Department of Earth Sciences, School of ScienceWater is the essential reactant, catalyst, or medium for many biogeochemical reactions, thus playing an important role in the activation and deactivation of biogeochemical processes. The coupling between hydrological and biogeochemical processes is particularly evident in water-limited arid and semi-arid environments, but also in areas with strong seasonal precipitation patterns (e.g., Mediterranean) or in mesic systems during droughts. Moreover, this coupling is apparent at all levels in the ecosystems—from soil microbial cells to whole plants to landscapes. Identifying and quantifying the biogeochemical “hot spots” and “hot moments”, the underlying hydrological drivers, and how disturbance-induced vegetation transitions affect the hydrological-biogeochemical interactions are challenging because of the inherent complexity of these interactions, thus requiring interdisciplinary approaches. At the same time, a holistic approach is essential to fully understand function and processes in water-limited ecosystems and to predict their responses to environmental change. This article examines some of the mechanisms responsible for microbial and vegetation responses to moisture inputs in water-limited ecosystems through a synthesis of existing literature. We begin with the initial observation of Birch effect in 1950s and examine our current understanding of the interactions among vegetation dynamics, hydrology, and biochemistry over the past 60 years. We also summarize the modeling advances in addressing these interactions. This paper focuses on three opportunities to advance coupled hydrological and biogeochemical research: (1) improved quantitative understanding of mechanisms linking hydrological and biogeochemical variations in drylands, (2) experimental and theoretical approaches that describe linkages between hydrology and biogeochemistry (particularly across scales), and (3) the use of these tools and insights to address critical dryland issues of societal relevance.Item The effect of warming on grassland evapotranspiration partitioning using laser-based isotope monitoring techniques(2013-06) Wang, Lixin; Niu, Shuli; Good, Stephen P.; Soderberg, Keir; McCabe, Matthew F.; Sherry, Rebecca A.; Luo, Yiqi; Zhou, Xuhui; Xia, Jianyang; Caylor, Kelly K.The proportion of transpiration (T) in total evapotranspiration (ET) is an important parameter that provides insight into the degree of biological influence on the hydrological cycles. Studies addressing the effects of climatic warming on the ecosystem total water balance are scarce, and measured warming effects on the T/ET ratio in field experiments have not been seen in the literature. In this study, we quantified T/ET ratios under ambient and warming treatments in a grassland ecosystem using a stable isotope approach. The measurements were made at a long-term grassland warming site in Oklahoma during the May–June peak growing season of 2011. Chamber-based methods were used to estimate the δ2H isotopic composition of evaporation (δE), transpiration (δT) and the aggregated evapotranspiration (δET). A modified commercial conifer leaf chamber was used for δT, a modified commercial soil chamber was used for δE and a custom built chamber was used for δET. The δE, δET and δT were quantified using both the Keeling plot approach and a mass balance method, with the Craig–Gordon model approach also used to calculate δE. Multiple methods demonstrated no significant difference between control and warming plots for both δET and δT. Though the chamber-based estimates and the Craig–Gordon results diverged by about 12‰, all methods showed that δE was more depleted in the warming plots. This decrease in δE indicates that the evaporation flux as a percentage of total water flux necessarily decreased for δET to remain constant, which was confirmed by field observations. The T/ET ratio in the control treatment was 0.65 or 0.77 and the ratio found in the warming treatment was 0.83 or 0.86, based on the chamber method and the Craig–Gordon approach. Sensitivity analysis of the Craig–Gordon model demonstrates that the warming-induced decrease in soil liquid water isotopic composition is the major factor responsible for the observed δE depletion and the temperature dependent equilibrium effects are minor. Multiple lines of evidence indicate that the increased T/ET ratio under warming is caused mainly by reduced evaporation.Item The effects of potential changes in United States beef production on global grazing systems and greenhouse gas emissions(Office of the Vice Chancellor for Research, 2013-04-05) Dumortier, Jerome; Hayes, Dermot J.; Carriquiry, Miguel; Dong, Fengzia; Du, Xiaodong; Elobeid, Amani; Fabiosa, Jacinto F.; Martin, Pamela A.; Mulik, KrantiWith climate change becoming an increasingly pressing issue together with a world population of 7 billion people in 2011, significant pressure is put on global agriculture and forestry. Although treated separately in national GHG inventories, there is little doubt that both categories are closely linked and climate policies targeting agriculture will have spillover effects on forestry and vice versa. Hence, the implementation of large-scale agricultural policies is prone to unintended consequences. For this poster, we analyze the hypothesis that a reduction of cattle in the U.S. causes a net increase in GHG emissions on a global scale. We couple a global agricultural production and trade model with a greenhouse gas model to assess leakage associated with modified beef production in the United States. The effects on emissions from agricultural production (i.e., methane and nitrous oxide emissions from livestock and crop management) as well as from land-use change, especially grazing system, are assessed. We find that a reduction of U.S. beef production induces net carbon emissions from global land-use change ranging from 37 to 85 kg CO2-equivalent per kg of beef annualized over 20 years. The increase in emissions is caused by an inelastic domestic demand as well as more land-intensive cattle production systems internationally. Changes in livestock production systems such as increasing stocking rate could partially offset emission increases from pasture expansion. In addition, net emissions from enteric fermentation increase because methane emissions per kilogram of beef tend to be higher globally.Item Employees’ Perceptions of Workplace Preparedness for Climate Change-Related Natural Hazards(Wiley, 2016-06) Sadiq, Abdul-Akeem; Ollier, Meredith; Tyler, Jenna; School of Public and Environmental AffairsDespite climate change being identified as a current or future risk for organizations, researchers have yet to understand employees’ perceptions of their workplaces’ preparedness for climate change-related natural hazards (cc hazards) such as floods and wildfires. The purpose of this preliminary study is to describe the current state of workplace preparedness for cc hazards and to ascertain whether workplace preparedness for cc hazards aligns with state hazard priorities for cc hazards. Using data collected in 2014 from an online, national survey of 2,008 employees in the United States, the results indicate that workplaces are moderately prepared for cc hazards. In addition, there is a slight mismatch between workplace preparedness and state preparedness priorities for cc hazards. This study contributes to the literature on organizational preparedness for cc hazards by providing insights on the current state of workplace preparedness—from the perspectives of employees—for natural hazards associated with the global threat known as climate change. The paper concludes with a policy recommendation and provides an outline for future research on organizational preparedness for cc hazards.