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Item Improving the diagnosis of severe malaria in African children using platelet counts and plasma PfHRP2 concentrations(American Association for the Advancement of Science, 2022) Watson, James A.; Uyoga, Sophie; Wanjiku, Perpetual; Makale, Johnstone; Nyutu, Gideon M.; Mturi, Neema; George, Elizabeth C.; Woodrow, Charles J.; Day, Nicholas P. J.; Bejon, Philip; Opoka, Robert O.; Dondorp, Arjen M.; John, Chandy C.; Maitland, Kathryn; Williams, Thomas N.; White, Nicholas J.; Pediatrics, School of MedicineSevere malaria caused by Plasmodium falciparum is difficult to diagnose accurately in children in high-transmission settings. Using data from 2649 pediatric and adult patients enrolled in four studies of severe illness in three countries (Bangladesh, Kenya, and Uganda), we fitted Bayesian latent class models using two diagnostic markers: the platelet count and the plasma concentration of P. falciparum histidine-rich protein 2 (PfHRP2). In severely ill patients with clinical features consistent with severe malaria, the combination of a platelet count of ≤150,000/μl and a plasma PfHRP2 concentration of ≥1000 ng/ml had an estimated sensitivity of 74% and specificity of 93% in identifying severe falciparum malaria. Compared with misdiagnosed children, pediatric patients with true severe malaria had higher parasite densities, lower hematocrits, lower rates of invasive bacterial disease, and a lower prevalence of both sickle cell trait and sickle cell anemia. We estimate that one-third of the children enrolled into clinical studies of severe malaria in high-transmission settings in Africa had another cause of their severe illness.Item The Sclerosing Cholangitis Outcomes in Pediatrics (SCOPE) Index: A Prognostic Tool for Children(Wolters Kluwer, 2021) Deneau, Mark R.; Mack, Cara; Perito, Emily R.; Ricciuto, Amanda; Valentino, Pamela L.; Amin, Mansi; Amir, Achiya Z.; Aumar, Madeleine; Auth, Marcus; Broderick, Annemarie; DiGuglielmo, Matthew; Draijer, Laura G.; Druve Tavares Fagundes, Eleonora; El-Matary, Wael; Ferrari, Federica; Furuya, Katryn N.; Gupta, Nitika; Hochberg, Jessica T.; Homan, Matjaz; Horslen, Simon; Iorio, Raffaele; Jensen, M. Kyle; Jonas, Maureen M.; Kamath, Binita M.; Kerkar, Nanda; Kim, Kyung Mo; Kolho, Kaija-Leena; Koot, Bart G. P.; Laborda, Trevor J.; Lee, Christine K.; Loomes, Kathleen M.; Martinez, Mercedes; Miethke, Alexander; Miloh, Tamir; Mogul, Douglas; Mohammad, Saeed; Mohan, Parvathi; Moroz, Stacy; Ovchinsky, Nadia; Palle, Sirish; Papadopoulou, Alexandra; Rao, Girish; Rodrigues Ferreira, Alexandre; Sathya, Pushpa; Schwarz, Kathleen B.; Shah, Uzma; Shteyer, Eyal; Singh, Ruchi; Smolka, Vratislav; Soufi, Nisreen; Tanaka, Atsushi; Varier, Raghu; Vitola, Bernadette; Woynarowski, Marek; Zerofsky, Melissa; Zizzo, Andréanne; Guthery, Stephen L.; Pediatrics, School of MedicineBackground and aims: Disease progression in children with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is variable. Prognostic and risk-stratification tools exist for adult-onset PSC, but not for children. We aimed to create a tool that accounts for the biochemical and phenotypic features and early disease stage of pediatric PSC. Approach and results: We used retrospective data from the Pediatric PSC Consortium. The training cohort contained 1,012 patients from 40 centers. We generated a multivariate risk index (Sclerosing Cholangitis Outcomes in Pediatrics [SCOPE] index) that contained total bilirubin, albumin, platelet count, gamma glutamyltransferase, and cholangiography to predict a primary outcome of liver transplantation or death (TD) and a broader secondary outcome that included portal hypertensive, biliary, and cancer complications termed hepatobiliary complications (HBCs). The model stratified patients as low, medium, or high risk based on progression to TD at rates of <1%, 3%, and 9% annually and to HBCs at rates of 2%, 6%, and 13% annually, respectively (P < 0.001). C-statistics to discriminate outcomes at 1 and 5 years were 0.95 and 0.82 for TD and 0.80 and 0.76 for HBCs, respectively. Baseline hepatic fibrosis stage was worse with increasing risk score, with extensive fibrosis in 8% of the lowest versus 100% with the highest risk index (P < 0.001). The model was validated in 240 children from 11 additional centers and performed well. Conclusions: The SCOPE index is a pediatric-specific prognostic tool for PSC. It uses routinely obtained, objective data to predict a complicated clinical course. It correlates strongly with biopsy-proven liver fibrosis. SCOPE can be used with families for shared decision making on clinical care based on a patient's individual risk, and to account for variable disease progression when designing future clinical trials.