Browsing by Subject "Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)"

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    Kidney Histopathology and Prediction of Kidney Failure: A Retrospective Cohort Study
    (Elsevier, 2020-09) Eadon, Michael T.; Schwantes-An, Tae-Hwi; Phillips, Carrie L.; Roberts, Anna R.; Greene, Colin V.; Hallab, Ayman; Hart, Kyle J.; Lipp, Sarah N.; Perez-Ledezma, Claudio; Omar, Khawaja O.; Kelly, Katherine J.; Moe, Sharon M.; Dagher, Pierre C.; El-Achkar, Tarek M.; Moorthi, Ranjani N.; Medical and Molecular Genetics, School of Medicine
    Rationale & objective: The use of kidney histopathology for predicting kidney failure is not established. We hypothesized that the use of histopathologic features of kidney biopsy specimens would improve prediction of clinical outcomes made using demographic and clinical variables alone. Study design: Retrospective cohort study and development of a clinical prediction model. Setting & participants: All 2,720 individuals from the Biopsy Biobank Cohort of Indiana who underwent kidney biopsy between 2002 and 2015 and had at least 2 years of follow-up. New predictors & established predictors: Demographic variables, comorbid conditions, baseline clinical characteristics, and histopathologic features. Outcomes: Time to kidney failure, defined as sustained estimated glomerular filtration rate ≤ 10mL/min/1.73m2. Analytical approach: Multivariable Cox regression model with internal validation by bootstrapping. Models including clinical and demographic variables were fit with the addition of histopathologic features. To assess the impact of adding a histopathology variable, the amount of variance explained (r2) and the C index were calculated. The impact on prediction was assessed by calculating the net reclassification index for each histopathologic variable and for all combined. Results: Median follow-up was 3.1 years. Within 5 years of biopsy, 411 (15.1%) patients developed kidney failure. Multivariable analyses including demographic and clinical variables revealed that severe glomerular obsolescence (adjusted HR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.51-2.03), severe interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (adjusted HR, 1.99; 95% CI, 1.52-2.59), and severe arteriolar hyalinosis (adjusted HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.14-2.05) were independently associated with the primary outcome. The addition of all histopathologic variables to the clinical model yielded a net reclassification index for kidney failure of 5.1% (P < 0.001) with a full model C statistic of 0.915. Analyses addressing the competing risk for death, optimism, or shrinkage did not significantly change the results. Limitations: Selection bias from the use of clinically indicated biopsies and exclusion of patients with less than 2 years of follow-up, as well as reliance on surrogate indicators of kidney failure onset. Conclusions: A model incorporating histopathologic features from kidney biopsy specimens improved prediction of kidney failure and may be valuable clinically. Future studies will be needed to understand whether even more detailed characterization of kidney tissue may further improve prognostication about the future trajectory of estimated glomerular filtration rate.
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    Potential Effects of Elimination of the Black Race Coefficient in eGFR Calculations in the CREDENCE Trial
    (Wolters Kluwer, 2022) Charytan, David M.; Yu, Jie; Jardine, Meg J.; Cannon, Christopher P.; Agarwal, Rajiv; Bakris, George; Greene, Tom; Levin, Adeera; Pollock, Carol; Powe, Neil R.; Arnott, Clare; Mahaffey, Kenneth W.; CREDENCE study investigators; Medicine, School of Medicine
    Background and objectives: The effect of including race in the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation on screening, recruitment, and outcomes of clinical trials is unclear. Design, setting, participants, & measurements: The inclusion and outcomes of participants in the Canagliflozin and Renal Events in Diabetes with Established Nephropathy Clinical Evaluation (CREDENCE) trial, which randomized individuals with type 2 diabetes and CKD to canagliflozin or placebo, were evaluated after calculating eGFR using the 2009 CKD-EPI creatinine equation with and without a race-specific coefficient or the 2021 CKD-EPI creatinine equation. Treatment effects were estimated using proportional hazards models and piecewise linear mixed effects models for eGFR slope. Results: Of 4401 randomized participants, 2931 (67%) were White participants, 224 (5%) were Black participants, 877 (20%) were Asian participants, and 369 (8%) participants were other race. Among randomized participants, recalculation of screening eGFR using the 2009 equation without a race-specific coefficient had no effect on the likelihood of non-Black participants meeting inclusion criteria but would have excluded 22 (10%) randomized Black participants for eGFR<30 ml/min per 1.73 m2. Recalculation with the 2021 equation would have excluded eight (4%) Black participants for low eGFR and one (0.4%) Black participant for eGFR≥90 ml/min per 1.73 m2, whereas 30 (0.7%) and 300 (7%) non-Black participants would have been excluded for low and high eGFR, respectively. A high proportion (eight of 22; 36%) of end points in Black participants occurred in individuals who would have been excluded following recalculation using the race-free 2009 equation but not when recalculated with the 2021 equation (one of eight; 13%). Cardiovascular and kidney treatment effects remained consistent across eGFR categories following recalculation with either equation. Changes in estimated treatment effects on eGFR slope were modest but were qualitatively larger following recalculation using the 2021 equation. However, the effect of canagliflozin on chronic change in eGFR was attenuated by 7% among Black participants and increased 6% in non-Black participants. Conclusions: In the CREDENCE trial, eGFR recalculation without the race-specific coefficient had small but potentially important effects on event rates and the relative proportion of Black participants without substantially changing efficacy estimates.