Browsing by Subject "Bayesian"

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    Bayesian Modeling of COVID-19 Positivity Rate -- the Indiana experience
    (arXiv, 2020-07-09) Boukai, Ben; Wang, Jiayue; Mathematical Sciences, School of Science
    In this short technical report we model, within the Bayesian framework, the rate of positive tests reported by the the State of Indiana, accounting also for the substantial variability (and overdispeartion) in the daily count of the tests performed. The approach we take, results with a simple procedure for prediction, a posteriori, of this rate of ’positivity’ and allows for an easy and a straightforward adaptation by any agency tracking daily results of COVID-19 tests. The numerical results provided herein were obtained via an updatable R Markdown document.
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    Improving alignment accuracy on homopolymer regions for semiconductor-based sequencing technologies
    (BioMed Central, 2016-08-22) Feng, Weixing; Zhao, Sen; Xue, Dingkai; Song, Fengfei; Li, Ziwei; Chao, Duojiao; He, Bo; Hao, Yangyang; Wang, Yadong; Liu, Yunlong; Department of Medical and Molecular Genetics, IU School of Medicine
    BACKGROUND: Ion Torrent and Ion Proton are semiconductor-based sequencing technologies that feature rapid sequencing speed and low upfront and operating costs, thanks to the avoidance of modified nucleotides and optical measurements. Despite of these advantages, however, Ion semiconductor sequencing technologies suffer much reduced sequencing accuracy at the genomic loci with homopolymer repeats of the same nucleotide. Such limitation significantly reduces its efficiency for the biological applications aiming at accurately identifying various genetic variants. RESULTS: In this study, we propose a Bayesian inference-based method that takes the advantage of the signal distributions of the electrical voltages that are measured for all the homopolymers of a fixed length. By cross-referencing the length of homopolymers in the reference genome and the voltage signal distribution derived from the experiment, the proposed integrated model significantly improves the alignment accuracy around the homopolymer regions. CONCLUSIONS: Besides improving alignment accuracy on homopolymer regions for semiconductor-based sequencing technologies with the proposed model, similar strategies can also be used on other high-throughput sequencing technologies that share similar limitations.
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    The Association between Mediated Deprivation and Ovarian Cancer Survival among African American Women
    (MDPI, 2023-10-04) Lawson, Andrew B.; Kim, Joanne; Johnson, Courtney; Ratnapradipa, Kendra L.; Alberg, Anthony J.; Akonde, Maxwell; Hastert, Theresa; Bandera, Elisa V.; Terry, Paul; Mandle, Hannah; Cote, Michele L.; Bondy, Melissa; Marks, Jeffrey; Peres, Lauren C.; Schildkraut, Joellen; Peters, Edward S.; Epidemiology, School of Public Health
    Background: Deprivation indices are often used to adjust for socio-economic disparities in health studies. Their role has been partially evaluated for certain population-level cancer outcomes, but examination of their role in ovarian cancer is limited. In this study, we evaluated a range of well-recognized deprivation indices in relation to cancer survival in a cohort of self-identified Black women diagnosed with ovarian cancer. This study aimed to determine if clinical or diagnostic characteristics lie on a mediating pathway between socioeconomic status (SES) and deprivation and ovarian cancer survival in a minority population that experiences worse survival from ovarian cancer. Methods: We used mediation analysis to look at the direct and indirect causal effects of deprivation indices with main mediators of the SEER stage at diagnosis and residual disease. The analysis employed Bayesian structural equation models with variable selection. We applied a joint Bayesian structural model for the mediator, including a Weibull mixed model for the vital outcome with deprivation as exposure. We selected modifiers via a Monte Carlo model selection procedure. Results: The results suggest that high SES-related indices, such as Yost, Kolak urbanicity (URB), mobility (MOB) and SES dimensions, and concentrated disadvantage index (CDI), all have a significant impact on improved survival. In contrast, area deprivation index (ADI)/Singh, and area level poverty (POV) did not have a major impact. In some cases, the indirect effects have very wide credible intervals, so the total effect is not well estimated despite the estimation of the direct effect. Conclusions: First, it is clear that commonly used indices such as Yost, or CDI both significantly impact the survival experience of Black women diagnosed with epithelial ovarian cancer. In addition, the Kolak dimension indices (URB, MOB, mixed immigrant: MICA and SES) also demonstrate a significant association, depending on the mediator. Mediation effects differ according to the mediator chosen.