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Browsing by Author "Smithline, Howard A"
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Item Clinical features from the history and physical examination that predict the presence or absence of pulmonary embolism in symptomatic emergency department patients: results of a prospective, multi-center study(2010-04) Courtney, Mark; Kline, Jeffrey A.; Kabrhel, Christopher; Moore, Christopher L; Smithline, Howard A; Nordenholz, Kristen E; Richman, Peter B; Plewa, Michael CStudy Objective—Prediction rules for pulmonary embolism (PE) employ variables explicitly shown to estimate the probability of PE. However, clinicians often use variables that have not been similarly validated, yet are implicitly believed to modify probability of PE. The objective of this study was to measure the predictive value of 13 implicit variables. Methods—Patients were enrolled in a prospective cohort study from 12 centers in the United States; all had an objective test for PE (D-dimer, CT angiography, or V/Q scan). Clinical features including 12 predefined previously validated (explicit) variables and 13 variables not part of existing prediction rules (implicit) were prospectively recorded at presentation. The primary outcome was VTE (venous thromboembolism: PE or deep venous thrombosis), diagnosed by imaging up to 45 days after enrollment. Variables with adjusted odds ratios from logistic regression with 95% confidence intervals not crossing unity were considered significant. Results—7,940 patients (7.2% VTE+) were enrolled. Mean age was 49±17 years and 67% were female. Eight of 13 implicit variables were significantly associated with VTE; those with an adjusted OR >1.5 included non-cancer related thrombophilia (1.99), pleuritic chest pain (1.53), and family history of VTE (1.51). Implicit variables that predicted no VTE outcome included: substernal chest pain, female gender, and smoking. Nine of 12 explicit variables predicted a positive outcome of VTE, including unilateral leg swelling, recent surgery, estrogen, hypoxemia and active malignancy. Conclusions—In symptomatic outpatients being considered for possible PE, non-cancer related thrombophilia, pleuritic chest pain, and family history of VTE increase probability of PE or DVT. Other variables that are part of existing pretest probability systems were validated as important predictors in this diverse sample of US Emergency department patients.Item D-Dimer and Exhaled CO2/O2 to Detect Segmental Pulmonary Embolism in Moderate-Risk Patients(2010-09) Kline, Jeffrey A.; Hogg, Melanie M; Courtney, D Mark; Miller, Chadwick D; Jones, Alan E; Smithline, Howard A; Klekowski, Nicole; Lanier, RandyRationale: Pulmonary embolism (PE) decreases the exhaled end-tidal ratio of carbon dioxide to oxygen (etCO2/O2). Objectives: To test if the etCO2/O2 can produce clinically important changes in the probability of segmental or larger PE on computerized tomography multidetector-row pulmonary angiography (MDCTPA) in a moderate-risk population with a positive D-dimer. Methods: Emergency department and hospitalized patients with one or more predefined symptoms or signs, one or more risk factors for PE, and 64-slice MDCTPA enrolled from four hospitals. D-dimer greater than 499 ng/ml was test(+), and D-dimer less than 500 ng/ml was test(−). The median etCO2/O2 less than 0.28 from seven or more breaths was test(+) and etCO2/O2 greater than 0.45 was test(−). MDCTPA images were read by two independent radiologists and the criterion standard was the interpretation of acute PE by either reader. PE size was then graded. Measurements and Main Results: We enrolled 495 patients, including 60 (12%) with segmental or larger, and 29 (6%) with subsegmental PE. A total of 367 (74%) patients were D-dimer(+), including all 60 with segmental or larger PE (posterior probability 16%). The combination of D-dimer(+) and etCO2/O2(+) increased the posterior probability of segmental or larger PE to 28% (95% confidence interval [CI] for difference of 12%, 3.0–22%). The combination of D-dimer(+) and etCO2/O2(−) was observed in 40 patients (8%; 95% CI, 6–11%), and none (0/40; 95% CI, 0–9%) had segmental or larger PE on MDCTPA. No strategy changed the prevalence of subsegmental PE. Conclusions: In moderate-risk patients with a positive D-dimer, the et etCO2/O2 less than 0.28 significantly increases the probability of segmental or larger PE and the etCO2/O2 greater than 0.45 predicts the absence of segmental or larger PE on MDCTPA.Item D-dimer threshold increase with pretest probability unlikely for pulmonary embolism to decrease unnecessary computerized tomographic pulmonary angiography(2012-04) Kline, Jeffrey A.; Hogg, Melanie M; Courtney, D Mark; Miller, Chadwick D; Jones, Alan E; Smithline, Howard ABackground: Increasing the threshold to define a positive D-dimer could reduce unnecessary computed tomographic pulmonary angiography (CTPA) for a suspected pulmonary embolism (PE) but might increase rates of a missed PE and missed pneumonia, the most common non-thromboembolic diagnosis seen on CTPA. Objective: Measure the effect of doubling the standard D-dimer threshold for ‘PE unlikely’ Revised Geneva (RGS) or Wells’ scores on the exclusion rate, frequency and size of a missed PE and missed pneumonia. Methods: Patients evaluated for a suspected PE with 64-channel CTPA were prospectively enrolled from emergency departments (EDs) and inpatient units of four hospitals. Pretest probability data were collected in real time and the D-dimer was measured in a central laboratory. Criterion standard was CPTA interpretation by two independent radiologists combined with clinical outcome at 30 days. Results: Of 678 patients enrolled, 126 (19%) were PE+ and 93 (14%) had pneumonia. Use of either Wells’ ≤ 4 or RGS ≤ 6 produced similar results. For example, with RGS ≤ 6 and standard threshold (< 500 ng mL−1), D-dimer was negative in 110/678 (16%), and 4/110 were PE+ (posterior probability 3.8%) and 9/110 (8.2%) had pneumonia. With RGS ≤ 6 and a threshold < 1000 ng mL−1, D-dimer was negative in 208/678 (31%) and 11/208 (5.3%) were PE+, but 10/11 missed PEs were subsegmental and none had concomitant DVT. Pneumonia was found in 12/208 (5.4%) with RGS ≤ 6 and D-dimer < 1000 ng mL−1. Conclusions: Doubling the threshold for a positive D-dimer with a PE unlikely pretest probability could reduce CTPA scanning with a slightly increased risk of missed isolated subsegmental PE, and no increase in rate of missed pneumonia.Item Evaluation of Pulmonary Embolism in the Emergency Department and Consistency With a National Quality Measure: Quantifying the opportunity for improvement(2012-07) Venkatesh, Arjun K; Kline, Jeffrey A.; Courtney, D Mark; Camargo Jr, Carlos A; Plewa, Michael C; Nordenholz, Kristen E; Moore, Christopher L; Richman, Peter B; Smithline, Howard A; Beam, Daren M; Kabrhel, ChristopherBackground The National Quality Forum (NQF) has endorsed a performance measure designed to increase imaging efficiency for the evaluation of pulmonary embolism (PE) in the emergency department (ED). To our knowledge, no published data have examined the effect of patient-level predictors on performance. Methods To quantify the prevalence of avoidable imaging in ED patients with suspected PE, we performed a prospective, multicenter observational study of ED patients evaluated for PE from 2004 through 2007 at 11 US EDs. Adult patients tested for PE were enrolled, with data collected in a standardized instrument. The primary outcome was the proportion of imaging that was potentially avoidable according to the NQF measure. Avoidable imaging was defined as imaging in a patient with low pretest probability for PE, who either did not have a D-dimer test ordered or who had a negative D-dimer test result. We performed subanalyses testing alternative pretest probability cutoffs and imaging definitions on measure performance as well as a secondary analysis to identify factors associated with inappropriate imaging. χ2 Test was used for bivariate analysis of categorical variables and multivariable logistic regression for the secondary analysis. Results We enrolled 5940 patients, of whom 4113 (69%) had low pretest probability of PE. Imaging was performed in 2238 low-risk patients (38%), of whom 811 had no D-dimer testing, and 394 had negative D-dimer test results. Imaging was avoidable, according to the NQF measure, in 1205 patients (32%; 95% CI, 31%-34%). Avoidable imaging owing to not ordering a D-dimer test was associated with age (odds ratio [OR], 1.15 per decade; 95% CI, 1.10-1.21). Avoidable imaging owing to imaging after a negative D-dimer test result was associated with inactive malignant disease (OR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.11-2.49). Conclusions One-third of imaging performed for suspected PE may be categorized as avoidable. Improving adherence to established diagnostic protocols is likely to result in significantly fewer patients receiving unnecessary irradiation and substantial savings.Item Factors Associated With Positive D-dimer Results in Patients Evaluated for Pulmonary Embolism(2010-06) Kabrhel, Christopher; Courtney, D Mark; Camargo, Carlos A Jr; Plewa, Michael C; Nordenholz, Kristen E; Moore, Christopher L; Richman, Peter B; Smithline, Howard A; Beam, Daren M; Kline, Jeffrey A.Objectives: Available D-dimer assays have low specificity and may increase radiographic testing for pulmonary embolism (PE). To help clinicians better target testing, this study sought to quantify the effect of risk factors for a positive quantitative D-dimer in patients evaluated for PE. Methods: This was a prospective, multicenter, observational study. Emergency department (ED) patients evaluated for PE with a quantitative D-dimer were eligible for inclusion. The main outcome of interest was a positive D-dimer. Odds ratio (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were determined by multivariable logistic regression. Adjusted estimates of relative risk were also calculated. Results: A total of 4,346 patients had D-dimer testing, of whom 2,930 (67%) were women. A total of 2,500 (57%) were white, 1,474 (34%) were black or African American, 238 (6%) were Hispanic, and 144 (3%) were of other race or ethnicity. The mean (±SD) age was 48 (±17) years. Overall, 1,903 (44%) D-dimers were positive. Model fit was adequate (c-statistic = 0.739, Hosmer and Lemeshow p-value = 0.13). Significant positive predictors of D-dimer positive included female sex; increasing age; black (vs. white) race; cocaine use; general, limb, or neurologic immobility; hemoptysis; hemodialysis; active malignancy; rheumatoid arthritis; lupus; sickle cell disease; prior venous thromboembolism (VTE; not under treatment); pregnancy and postpartum state; and abdominal, chest, orthopedic, or other surgery. Warfarin use was protective. In contrast, several variables known to be associated with PE were not associated with positive D-dimer results: body mass index (BMI), estrogen use, family history of PE, (inactive) malignancy, thrombophilia, trauma within 4 weeks, travel, and prior VTE (under treatment). Conclusions: Many factors are associated with a positive D-dimer test. The effect of these factors on the usefulness of the test should be considered prior to ordering a D-dimer.