Browsing by Author "Papachristou, Georgios I."
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Item Constant-Severe Pain in Chronic Pancreatitis is Associated with Genetic Loci for Major Depression in the NAPS2 Cohort(Springer, 2020) Dunbar, Ellyn; Greer, Phil J.; Melhem, Nadine; Alkaade, Samer; Amann, Stephen T.; Brand, Randall; Coté, Gregory A.; Forsmark, Christopher E.; Gardner, Timothy B.; Gelrud, Andres; Guda, Nalini M.; LaRusch, Jessica; Lewis, Michele D.; Machicado, Jorge D.; Muniraj, Thiruvengadam; Papachristou, Georgios I.; Romagnuolo, Joseph; Sandhu, Bimaljit S.; Sherman, Stuart; Wilcox, Charles M.; Singh, Vikesh K.; Yadav, Dhiraj; Whitcomb, David C.; NAPS2 study group; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground: Pain is the most debilitating symptom of recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP) and chronic pancreatitis (CP) and often requires chronic opioids or total pancreatectomy with islet autotransplantation to manage. Pain is a complex experience that can be exacerbated by depression and vice versa. Our aim was to test the hypothesis that depression-associated genes are associated with a constant-severe pain experience in RAP/CP patients. Study: A retrospective study was done using North American Pancreatitis Study II (NAPS2) genotyped RAP and CP patients with completed case report forms (n = 1,357). Subjects were divided based on pattern of pain and pain severity as constant-severe pain (n = 787) versus not constant-severe pain (n = 570) to conduct a nested genome-wide association study. The association between reported antidepressant medication use and depression gene loci was tested. Results: Constant-severe pain was reported in 58% (n = 787) of pancreatitis patients. No differences in sex or alcohol consumption were found based on pain severity. Antidepressant use was reported in 28% (n = 223), and they had lower SF-12 mental quality of life (MCS, p < 2.2 × 10- 16). Fifteen loci associated with constant-severe pain (p < 0.00001) were found to be in or near depression-associated genes including ROBO2, CTNND2, SGCZ, CNTN5 and BAIAP2. Three of these genes respond to antidepressant use (SGCZ, ROBO2, and CTNND2). Conclusion: Depression is a major co-factor in the pain experience. This genetic predisposition to depression may have utility in counseling patients and in instituting early antidepressant therapy for pain management of pancreatitis patients. Prospective randomized trials are warranted.Item Development and initial validation of an instrument for video-based assessment of technical skill in ERCP(Elsevier, 2021) Elmunzer, B. Joseph; Walsh, Catharine M.; Guiton, Gretchen; Serrano, Jose; Chak, Amitabh; Edmundowicz, Steven; Kwon, Richard S.; Mullady, Daniel; Papachristou, Georgios I.; Elta, Grace; Baron, Todd H.; Yachimski, Patrick; Fogel, Evan L.; Draganov, Peter V.; Taylor, Jason R.; Scheiman, James; Singh, Vikesh K.; Varadarajulu, Shyam; Willingham, Field F.; Cote, Gregory A.; Cotton, Peter B.; Simon, Violette; Spitzer, Rebecca; Keswani, Rajesh; Wani, Sachin; SVI study group; U.S. Cooperative for Outcomes Research in Endoscopy; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground and aims: The accurate measurement of technical skill in ERCP is essential for endoscopic training, quality assurance, and coaching of this procedure. Hypothesizing that technical skill can be measured by analysis of ERCP videos, we aimed to develop and validate a video-based ERCP skill assessment tool. Methods: Based on review of procedural videos, the task of ERCP was deconstructed into its basic components by an expert panel that developed an initial version of the Bethesda ERCP Skill Assessment Tool (BESAT). Subsequently, 2 modified Delphi panels and 3 validation exercises were conducted with the goal of iteratively refining the tool. Fully crossed generalizability studies investigated the contributions of assessors, ERCP performance, and technical elements to reliability. Results: Twenty-nine technical elements were initially generated from task deconstruction. Ultimately, after iterative refinement, the tool comprised 6 technical elements and 11 subelements. The developmental process achieved consistent improvements in the performance characteristics of the tool with every iteration. For the most recent version of the tool, BESAT-v4, the generalizability coefficient (a reliability index) was .67. Most variance in BESAT scores (43.55%) was attributed to differences in endoscopists' skill, indicating that the tool can reliably differentiate between endoscopists based on video analysis. Conclusions: Video-based assessment of ERCP skill appears to be feasible with a novel instrument that demonstrates favorable validity evidence. Future steps include determining whether the tool can discriminate between endoscopists of varying experience levels and predict important outcomes in clinical practice.Item Digestive Manifestations in Patients Hospitalized With Coronavirus Disease 2019(Elsevier, 2020-10-01) Elmunzer, B. Joseph; Spitzer, Rebecca L.; Foster, Lydia D.; Merchant, Ambreen A.; Howard, Eric F.; Patel, Vaishali A.; West, Mary K.; Qayed, Emad; Nustas, Rosemary; Zakaria, Ali; Piper, Marc S.; Taylor, Jason R.; Jaza, Lujain; Forbes, Nauzer; Chau, Millie; Lara, Luis F.; Papachristou, Georgios I.; Volk, Michael L.; Hilson, Liam G.; Zhou, Selena; Kushnir, Vladimir M.; Lenyo, Alexandria M.; McLeod, Caroline G.; Amin, Sunil; Kuftinec, Gabriela N.; Yadav, Dhiraj; Fox, Charlie; Kolb, Jennifer M.; Pawa, Swati; Pawa, Rishi; Canakis, Andrew; Huang, Christopher; Jamil, Laith H.; Aneese, Andrew M.; Glamour, Benita K.; Smith, Zachary L.; Hanley, Katherine A.; Wood, Jordan; Patel, Harsh K.; Shah, Janak N.; Agarunov, Emil; Sethi, Amrita; Fogel, Evan L.; McNulty, Gail; Haseeb, Abdul; Trieu, Judy A.; Dixon, Rebekah E.; Yang, Jeong Yun; Mendelsohn, Robin B.; Calo, Delia; Aroniadis, Olga C.; LaComb, Joseph F.; Scheiman, James M.; Sauer, Bryan G.; Dang, Duyen T.; Piraka, Cyrus R.; Shah, Eric D.; Pohl, Heiko; Tierney, William M.; Mitchell, Stephanie; Condon, Ashwinee; Lenhart, Adrienne; Dua, Kulwinder S.; Kanagala, Vikram S.; Kamal, Ayesha; Singh, Vikesh K.; Pinto-Sanchez, Maria Ines; Hutchinson, Joy M.; Kwon, Richard S.; Korsnes, Sheryl J.; Singh, Harminder; Solati, Zahra; Willingham, Field F.; Yachimski, Patrick S.; Conwell, Darwin L.; Mosier, Evan; Azab, Mohamed; Patel, Anish; Buxbaum, James; Wani, Sachin; Chak, Amitabh; Hosmer, Amy E.; Keswani, Rajesh N.; DiMaio, Christopher J.; Bronze, Michael S.; Muthusamy, Raman; Canto, Marcia I.; Gjeorgjievski, V. Mihajlo; Imam, Zaid; Odish, Fadi; Edhi, Ahmed I.; Orosey, Molly; Tiwari, Abhinav; Patwardhan, Soumil; Brown, Nicholas G.; Patel, Anish A.; Ordiah, Collins O.; Sloan, Ian P.; Cruz, Lilian; Koza, Casey L.; Okafor, Uchechi; Hollander, Thomas; Furey, Nancy; Reykhart, Olga; Zbib, Natalia H.; Damianos, John A.; Esteban, James; Hajidiacos, Nick; Saul, Melissa; Mays, Melanie; Anderson, Gulsum; Wood, Kelley; Mathews, Laura; Diakova, Galina; Caisse, Molly; Wakefield, Lauren; Nitchie, Haley; Waljee, Akbar K.; Tang, Weijing; Zhang, Yueyang; Zhu, Ji; Deshpande, Amar R.; Rockey, Don C.; Alford, Teldon B.; Durkalski, Valerie; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground & Aims The prevalence and significance of digestive manifestations in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) remain uncertain. We aimed to assess the prevalence, spectrum, severity, and significance of digestive manifestations in patients hospitalized with COVID-19. Methods Consecutive patients hospitalized with COVID-19 were identified across a geographically diverse alliance of medical centers in North America. Data pertaining to baseline characteristics, symptomatology, laboratory assessment, imaging, and endoscopic findings from the time of symptom onset until discharge or death were abstracted manually from electronic health records to characterize the prevalence, spectrum, and severity of digestive manifestations. Regression analyses were performed to evaluate the association between digestive manifestations and severe outcomes related to COVID-19. Results A total of 1992 patients across 36 centers met eligibility criteria and were included. Overall, 53% of patients experienced at least 1 gastrointestinal symptom at any time during their illness, most commonly diarrhea (34%), nausea (27%), vomiting (16%), and abdominal pain (11%). In 74% of cases, gastrointestinal symptoms were judged to be mild. In total, 35% of patients developed an abnormal alanine aminotransferase or total bilirubin level; these were increased to less than 5 times the upper limit of normal in 77% of cases. After adjusting for potential confounders, the presence of gastrointestinal symptoms at any time (odds ratio, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.76–1.15) or liver test abnormalities on admission (odds ratio, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.80–2.12) were not associated independently with mechanical ventilation or death. Conclusions Among patients hospitalized with COVID-19, gastrointestinal symptoms and liver test abnormalities were common, but the majority were mild and their presence was not associated with a more severe clinical course.Item Digestive Manifestations in Patients Hospitalized With Coronavirus Disease 2019(Elsevier, 2021-07) Elmunzer, B. Joseph; Spitzer, Rebecca L.; Foster, Lydia D.; Merchant, Ambreen A.; Howard, Eric F.; Patel, Vaishali A.; West, Mary K.; Qayed, Emad; Nustas, Rosemary; Zakaria, Ali; Piper, Marc S.; Taylor, Jason R.; Jaza, Lujain; Forbes, Nauzer; Chau, Millie; Lara, Luis F.; Papachristou, Georgios I.; Volk, Michael L.; Hilson, Liam G.; Zhou, Selena; Kushnir, Vladimir M.; Lenyo, Alexandria M.; McLeod, Caroline G.; Amin, Sunil; Kuftinec, Gabriela N.; Yadav, Dhiraj; Fox, Charlie; Kolb, Jennifer M.; Pawa, Swati; Pawa, Rishi; Canakis, Andrew; Huang, Christopher; Jamil, Laith H.; Aneese, Andrew M.; Glamour, Benita K.; Smith, Zachary L.; Hanley, Katherine A.; Wood, Jordan; Patel, Harsh K.; Shah, Janak N.; Agarunov, Emil; Sethi, Amrita; Fogel, Evan L.; McNulty, Gail; Haseeb, Abdul; Trieu, Judy A.; Dixon, Rebekah E.; Yang, Jeong Yun; Mendelsohn, Robin B.; Calo, Delia; Aroniadis, Olga C.; LaComb, Joseph F.; Scheiman, James M.; Sauer, Bryan G.; Dang, Duyen T.; Piraka, Cyrus R.; Shah, Eric D.; Pohl, Heiko; Tierney, William M.; Mitchell, Stephanie; Condon, Ashwinee; Lenhart, Adrienne; Dua, Kulwinder S.; Kanagala, Vikram S.; Kamal, Ayesha; Singh, Vikesh K.; Pinto-Sanchez, Maria Ines; Hutchinson, Joy M.; Kwon, Richard S.; Korsnes, Sheryl J.; Singh, Harminder; Solati, Zahra; Willingham, Field F.; Yachimski, Patrick S.; Conwell, Darwin L.; Mosier, Evan; Azab, Mohamed; Patel, Anish; Buxbaum, James; Wani, Sachin; Chak, Amitabh; Hosmer, Amy E.; Keswani, Rajesh N.; DiMaio, Christopher J.; Bronze, Michael S.; Muthusamy, Raman; Canto, Marcia I.; Gjeorgjievski, V. Mihajlo; Imam, Zaid; Odish, Fadi; Edhi, Ahmed I.; Orosey, Molly; Tiwari, Abhinav; Patwardhan, Soumil; Brown, Nicholas G.; Patel, Anish A.; Ordiah, Collins O.; Sloan, Ian P.; Cruz, Lilian; Koza, Casey L.; Okafor, Uchechi; Hollander, Thomas; Furey, Nancy; Reykhart, Olga; Zbib, Natalia H.; Damianos, John A.; Esteban, James; Hajidiacos, Nick; Saul, Melissa; Mays, Melanie; Anderson, Gulsum; Wood, Kelley; Mathews, Laura; Diakova, Galina; Caisse, Molly; Wakefield, Lauren; Nitchie, Haley; Waljee, Akbar K.; Tang, Weijing; Zhang, Yueyang; Zhu, Ji; Deshpande, Amar R.; Rockey, Don C.; Alford, Teldon B.; Durkalski, Valerie; North American Alliance for the Study of Digestive Manifestations of COVID-19; Medicine, School of MedicineBACKGROUND & AIMS: The prevalence and significance of digestive manifestations in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) remain uncertain. We aimed to assess the prevalence, spectrum, severity, and significance of digestive manifestations in patients hospitalized with COVID-19. METHODS: Consecutive patients hospitalized with COVID-19 were identified across a geographically diverse alliance of medical centers in North America. Data pertaining to baseline characteristics, symptomatology, laboratory assessment, imaging, and endoscopic findings from the time of symptom onset until discharge or death were abstracted manually from electronic health records to characterize the prevalence, spectrum, and severity of digestive manifestations. Regression analyses were performed to evaluate the association between digestive manifestations and severe outcomes related to COVID-19. RESULTS: A total of 1992 patients across 36 centers met eligibility criteria and were included. Overall, 53% of patients experienced at least 1 gastrointestinal symptom at any time during their illness, most commonly diarrhea (34%), nausea (27%), vomiting (16%), and abdominal pain (11%). In 74% of cases, gastrointestinal symptoms were judged to be mild. In total, 35% of patients developed an abnormal alanine aminotransferase or total bilirubin level; these were increased to less than 5 times the upper limit of normal in 77% of cases. After adjusting for potential confounders, the presence of gastrointestinal symptoms at any time (odds ratio, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.76-1.15) or liver test abnormalities on admission (odds ratio, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.80-2.12) were not associated independently with mechanical ventilation or death. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients hospitalized with COVID-19, gastrointestinal symptoms and liver test abnormalities were common, but the majority were mild and their presence was not associated with a more severe clinical course.Item Dynamic changes in the pancreatitis activity scoring system during hospital course in a multicenter, prospective cohort(Wiley, 2021) Paragomi, Pedram; Tuft, Marie; Pothoulakis, loannis; Singh, Vikesh K.; Stevens, Tyler; Nawaz, Haq; Easler, Jeffrey J.; Thakkar, Shyam; Cote, Gregory A.; Lee, Peter J.; Akshintala, Venkata; Kamal, Ayesha; Gougol, Amir; Evans Phillips, Anna; Machicado, Jorge D.; Whitcomb, David C.; Greer, Phil J.; Buxbaum, James L.; Hart, Phil; Conwell, Darwin; Tang, Gong; Wu, Bechien U.; Papachristou, Georgios I.; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground and aim: The primary aim was to validate the Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System (PASS) in a multicenter prospectively ascertained acute pancreatitis (AP) cohort. Second, we investigated the association of early PASS trajectories with disease severity and length of hospital stay (LOS). Methods: Data were prospectively collected through the APPRENTICE consortium (2015-2018). AP severity was categorized based on revised Atlanta classification. Delta PASS (ΔPASS) was calculated by subtracting activity score from baseline value. PASS trajectories were compared between severity subsets. Subsequently, the cohort was subdivided into three LOS subgroups as short (S-LOS): 2-3 days; intermediate (I-LOS): 3-7 days; and long (L-LOS): ≥7 days. The generalized estimating equations model was implemented to compare PASS trajectories. Results: There were 434 subjects analyzed including 322 (74%) mild, 86 (20%) moderately severe, and 26 (6%) severe AP. Severe AP subjects had the highest activity levels and the slowest rate of decline in activity (P = 0.039). Focusing on mild AP, L-LOS subjects (34%) had 28 points per day slower decline; whereas, S-LOS group (13%) showed 34 points per day sharper decrease compared with I-LOS (53%; P < 0.001). We noticed an outlier subset with a median admission-PASS of 466 compared with 140 in the rest. Morphine equivalent dose constituted 80% of the total PASS in the outliers (median morphine equivalent dose score = 392), compared with only 25% in normal-range subjects (score = 33, P value < 0.001). Conclusions: This study highlighted that PASS can quantify AP activity. Significant differences in PASS trajectories were found both in revised Atlanta classification severity and LOS groups, which can be harnessed in AP monitoring/management (ClincialTrials.gov number, NCT03075618).Item Incidence and risk factors of oral feeding intolerance in acute pancreatitis: Results from an international, multicenter, prospective cohort study(Wiley, 2021-02) Pothoulakis, Ioannis; Nawaz, Haq; Paragomi, Pedram; Jeong, Kwonho; Talukdar, Rupjyoti; Kochhar, Rakesh; Goenka, Mahesh Kumar; Gulla, Aiste; Singh, Vikesh K.; Gonzalez, Jose A.; Ferreira, Miguel; Barbu, Sorin T.; Stevens, Tyler; Gutierrez, Silvia C.; Zarnescu, Narcis O.; Capurso, Gabriele; Easler, Jeffrey; Triantafyllou, Konstantinos; Pelaez-Luna, Mario; Thakkar, Shyam; Ocampo, Carlos; de-Madaria, Enrique; Wu, Bechien U.; Cote, Gregory A.; Abebe, Kaleab; Tang, Gong; Lahooti, Ali; Phillips, Anna E.; Papachristou, Georgios I.; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground: Inability to advance to an oral diet, or oral feeding intolerance, is a common complication in patients with acute pancreatitis associated with worse clinical outcomes. The factors related to oral feeding intolerance are not well studied. Objective: We aimed to determine the incidence and risk factors of oral feeding intolerance in acute pancreatitis. Methods: Patients were prospectively enrolled in the Acute Pancreatitis Patient Registry to Examine Novel Therapies in Clinical Experience, an international acute pancreatitis registry, between 2015 and 2018. Oral feeding intolerance was defined as worsening abdominal pain and/or vomiting after resumption of oral diet. The timing of the initial feeding attempt was stratified based on the day of hospitalization. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to assess for independent risk factors/predictors of oral feeding intolerance. Results: Of 1233 acute pancreatitis patients included in the study, 160 (13%) experienced oral feeding intolerance. The incidence of oral feeding intolerance was similar irrespective of the timing of the initial feeding attempt relative to hospital admission day (p = 0.41). Patients with oral feeding intolerance were more likely to be younger (45 vs. 50 years of age), men (61% vs. 49%), and active alcohol users (44% vs. 36%). They also had higher blood urea nitrogen (20 vs. 15 mg/dl; p < 0.001) and hematocrit levels (41.7% vs. 40.5%; p = 0.017) on admission; were more likely to have a nonbiliary acute pancreatitis etiology (69% vs. 51%), systemic inflammatory response syndrome of 2 or greater on admission (49% vs. 35%) and at 48 h (50% vs. 26%), develop pancreatic necrosis (29% vs. 13%), moderate to severe acute pancreatitis (41% vs. 24%), and have a longer hospital stay (10 vs. 6 days; all p < 0.04). The adjusted analysis showed that systemic inflammatory response syndrome of 2 or greater at 48 h (odds ratio 3.10; 95% confidence interval 1.83-5.25) and a nonbiliary acute pancreatitis etiology (odds ratio 1.65; 95% confidence interval 1.01-2.69) were independent risk factors for oral feeding intolerance. Conclusion: Oral feeding intolerance occurs in 13% of acute pancreatitis patients and is independently associated with systemic inflammatory response syndrome at 48 h and a nonbiliary etiology.Item Introduction and Validation of a Novel Acute Pancreatitis Digital Tool: Interrogating Large Pooled Data From 2 Prospectively Ascertained Cohorts(Wolters Kluwer, 2020) Paragomi, Pedram; Spagnolo, Daniel M.; Breze, Cameron R.; Gougol, Amir; Talukdar, Rupjyoti; Kochhar, Rakesh; Goenka, Mahesh Kumar; Gulla, Aiste; Gonzalez, Jose A.; Singh, Vikesh K.; Ferreira, Miguel; Stevens, Tyler; Barbu, Sorin T.; Nawaz, Haq; Gutierrez, Silvia C.; Zarnescu, Narcis O.; Archibugi, Livia; Easler, Jeffrey J.; Triantafyllou, Konstantinos; Pelaez-Luna, Mario; Thakkar, Shyam; Ocampo, Carlos; de-Madaria, Enrique; Cote, Gregory A.; Wu, Bechien U.; Pothoulakis, Ioannis; Haupt, Mark; Whitcomb, David C.; Papachristou, Georgios I.; Medicine, School of MedicineObjectives: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a sudden onset, rapidly evolving inflammatory response with systemic inflammation and multiorgan failure (MOF) in a subset of patients. New highly accurate clinical decision support tools are needed to allow local doctors to provide expert care. Methods: Ariel Dynamic Acute Pancreatitis Tracker (ADAPT) is a digital tool to guide physicians in ordering standard tests, evaluate test results and model progression using available data, propose emergent therapies. The accuracy of the severity score calculators was tested using 2 prospectively ascertained Acute Pancreatitis Patient Registry to Examine Novel Therapies in Clinical Experience cohorts (pilot University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, n = 163; international, n = 1544). Results: The ADAPT and post hoc expert-calculated AP severity scores were 100% concordant in both pilot and international cohorts. High-risk criteria of all 4 severity scores at admission were associated with moderately-severe or severe AP and MOF (both P < 0.0001) and prediction of no MOF was 97.8% to 98.9%. The positive predictive value for MOF was 7.5% to 14.9%. Conclusions: The ADAPT tool showed 100% accuracy with AP predictive metrics. Prospective evaluation of ADAPT features is needed to determine if additional data can accurately predict and mitigate severe AP and MOF.Item The Modified Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System Shows Distinct Trajectories in Acute Pancreatitis: An International Study(Elsevier, 2022) Paragomi, Pedram; Hinton, Alice; Pothoulakis, Ioannis; Talukdar, Rupjyoti; Kochhar, Rakesh; Goenka, Mahesh K.; Gulla, Aiste; Gonzalez, Jose A.; Singh, Vikesh K.; Bogado, Miguel Ferreira; Stevens, Tyler; Barbu, Sorin T.; Nawaz, Haq; Gutierrez, Silvia C.; Zarnescu, Narcis; Archibugi, Livia; Easler, Jeffrey J.; Triantafyllou, Konstantinos; Peláez-Luna, Mario; Thakkar, Shyam; Ocampo, Carlos; de-Madaria, Enrique; Cote, Gregory A.; Lee, Peter J.; Krishna, Somashekar; Lara, Luis F.; Han, Samuel; Wu, Bechien U.; Papachristou, Georgios I.; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground & aims: The aims of this study were to: (1) assess the performance of the Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System (PASS) in a large intercontinental cohort of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP); and (2) investigate whether a modified PASS (mPASS) yields a similar predictive accuracy and produces distinct early trajectories between severity subgroups. Methods: Data was prospectively collected through the Acute Pancreatitis Patient Registry to Examine Novel Therapies In Clinical Experience (APPRENTICE) consortium (2015-2018) involving 22 centers from 4 continents. AP severity was categorized per the revised Atlanta classification. PASS trajectories were compared between the three severity groups using the generalized estimating equations model. Four mPASS models were generated by modifying the morphine equivalent dose (MED), and their trajectories were compared. Results: A total of 1393 subjects were enrolled (median age, 49 years; 51% males). The study cohort included 950 mild (68.2%), 315 (22.6%) moderately severe, and 128 (9.2%) severe AP. Mild cases had the lowest PASS at each study time point (all P < .001). A subset of patients with outlier admission PASS values was identified. In the outlier group, 70% of the PASS variation was attributed to the MED, and 66% of these patients were from the United States centers. Among the 4 modified models, the mPASS-1 (excluding MED from PASS) demonstrated high performance in predicting severe AP with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.88 (vs area under the receiver operating characteristic of 0.83 in conventional PASS) and produced distinct trajectories with distinct slopes between severity subgroups (all P < .001). Conclusion: We propose a modified model by removing the MED component, which is easier to calculate, predicts accurately severe AP, and maintains significantly distinct early trajectories.Item Mortality in acute pancreatitis with persistent organ failure is determined by the number, type, and sequence of organ systems affected(Wiley, 2021-03) Machicado, Jorge D.; Gougol, Amir; Tan, Xiaoqing; Gao, Xiaotian; Paragomi, Pedram; Pothoulakis, Ioannis; Talukdar, Rupjyoti; Kochhar, Rakesh; Goenka, Mahesh K.; Gulla, Aiste; Gonzalez, Jose A.; Singh, Vikesh K.; Ferreira, Miguel; Stevens, Tyler; Barbu, Sorin T.; Nawaz, Haq; Gutierrez, Silvia C.; Zarnescu, Narcis O.; Capurso, Gabriele; Easler, Jeffrey J.; Triantafyllou, Konstantinos; Pelaez-Luna, Mario; Thakkar, Shyam; Ocampo, Carlos; de-Madaria, Enrique; Cote, Gregory A.; Wu, Bechien U.; Conwell, Darwin L.; Hart, Phil A.; Tang, Gong; Papachristou, Georgios I.; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground: Persistent organ failure (POF) is the strongest determinant of mortality in acute pancreatitis (AP). There is a paucity of data regarding the impact of different POF attributes on mortality and the role of different characteristics of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) in the risk of developing POF. Objective: We aimed to assess the association of POF dynamic features with mortality and SIRS characteristics with POF. Methods: We studied 1544 AP subjects prospectively enrolled at 22 international centers (APPRENTICE consortium). First, we estimated the association of onset, duration, and maximal score of SIRS with POF. Then, we evaluated the risk of mortality based on POF onset, duration, number, type, and sequence of organs affected. Analyses were adjusted for potential confounders. Results: 58% had SIRS, 11% developed POF, and 2.5% died. Early SIRS, persistent SIRS, and maximal SIRS score ≥ 3 were independently associated with higher risk of POF (p < 0.05). Mortality risk in POF was higher with two (33%, odds ratio [OR] = 10.8, 3.3-34.9) and three (48%, OR = 20.2, 5.9-68.6) organs failing, in comparison to single POF (4%). In subjects with multiple POF, mortality was higher when the cardiovascular and respiratory systems failed first or concurrently as compared to when the renal system failed first or concurrently with other organ (p < 0.05). In multivariate regression model, the number and sequence of organs affected in POF were associated with mortality (p < 0.05). Onset and duration of POF had no impact mortality. Conclusion: In AP patients with POF, the risk of mortality is influenced by the number, type, and sequence of organs affected. These results are useful for future revisions of AP severity classification systems.Item Obesity and alcoholic etiology as risk factors for multisystem organ failure in acute pancreatitis: Multinational study(Wiley, 2023) Lee, Peter J.; Lahooti, Ali; Culp, Stacey; Boutsicaris, Andrew; Holovach, Phillip; Wozniak, Kayla; Lahooti, Ila; Paragomi, Pedram; Hinton, Alice; Pothoulakis, Ioannis; Talukdar, Rupjyoti; Kochhar, Rakesh; Goenka, Mahesh K.; Gulla, Aiste; Gonzalez, Jose A.; Singh, Vikesh; Bogado, Miguel Ferreira; Stevens, Tyler; Babu, Sorin Traian; Nawaz, Haq; Gutierrez, Silvia Cristina; Zarnescu, Narcis; Capurso, Gabriele; Easler, Jeffrey; Triantafyllou, Konstantinos; Luna, Mario Peláez; Thakkar, Shyam; Ocampo, Carlos; de-Madaria, Enrique; Cote, Gregory A.; Wu, Bechien U.; Hart, Phil A.; Krishna, Somashekar G.; Lara, Luis; Han, Samuel; Papachristou, Georgios I.; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground: Multisystem organ failure (MSOF) is the most important determinant of mortality in acute pancreatitis (AP). Obesity and alcoholic etiology have been examined as potential risk factors for MSOF, but prior studies have not adequately elucidated their independent effects on the risk of MSOF. Objective: We aimed to determine the adjusted effects of body mass index (BMI) and alcoholic etiology on the risk of MSOF in subjects with AP. Methods: A prospective observational study of 22 centers from 10 countries was conducted. Patients admitted to an APPRENTICE consortium center with AP between August 2015 and January 2018 were enrolled. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the adjusted effects of BMI, etiology, and other relevant covariates on the risk of MSOF. Models were stratified by sex. Results: Among 1544 AP subjects, there was a sex-dependent association between BMI and the risk of MSOF. Increasing BMI was associated with increased odds of MSOF in males (OR 1.10, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.15) but not in females (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.90-1.1). Male subjects with AP, whose BMIs were 30-34 and >35 kg/m2 , had odds ratios of 3.78 (95% CI 1.62-8.83) and 3.44 (95% CI 1.08-9.99), respectively. In females, neither higher grades of obesity nor increasing age increased the risk of MSOF. Alcoholic etiology was independently associated with increased odds of MSOF compared with non-alcohol etiologies (OR 4.17, 95% CI 2.16-8.05). Conclusion: Patients with alcoholic etiology and obese men (but not women) are at substantially increased risk of MSOF in AP.