Browsing by Author "Khandker, Rezaul Karim"

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    Development and Temporal Validation of an Electronic Medical Record-Based Insomnia Prediction Model Using Data from a Statewide Health Information Exchange
    (MDPI, 2023-05-05) Holler, Emma; Chekani, Farid; Ai, Jizhou; Meng, Weilin; Khandker, Rezaul Karim; Ben Miled, Zina; Owora, Arthur; Dexter, Paul; Campbell, Noll; Solid, Craig; Boustani, Malaz; Electrical and Computer Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology
    This study aimed to develop and temporally validate an electronic medical record (EMR)-based insomnia prediction model. In this nested case-control study, we analyzed EMR data from 2011–2018 obtained from a statewide health information exchange. The study sample included 19,843 insomnia cases and 19,843 controls matched by age, sex, and race. Models using different ML techniques were trained to predict insomnia using demographics, diagnosis, and medication order data from two surveillance periods: −1 to −365 days and −180 to −365 days before the first documentation of insomnia. Separate models were also trained with patient data from three time periods (2011–2013, 2011–2015, and 2011–2017). After selecting the best model, predictive performance was evaluated on holdout patients as well as patients from subsequent years to assess the temporal validity of the models. An extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model outperformed all other classifiers. XGboost models trained on 2011–2017 data from −1 to −365 and −180 to −365 days before index had AUCs of 0.80 (SD 0.005) and 0.70 (SD 0.006), respectively, on the holdout set. On patients with data from subsequent years, a drop of at most 4% in AUC is observed for all models, even when there is a five-year difference between the collection period of the training and the temporal validation data. The proposed EMR-based prediction models can be used to identify insomnia up to six months before clinical detection. These models may provide an inexpensive, scalable, and longitudinally viable method to screen for individuals at high risk of insomnia.
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    Modeling acute care utilization: practical implications for insomnia patients
    (Springer Nature, 2023-02-07) Chekani, Farid; Zhu, Zitong; Khandker, Rezaul Karim; Ai, Jizhou; Meng, Weilin; Holler, Emma; Dexter, Paul; Boustani, Malaz; Ben Miled, Zina; Medicine, School of Medicine
    Machine learning models can help improve health care services. However, they need to be practical to gain wide-adoption. In this study, we investigate the practical utility of different data modalities and cohort segmentation strategies when designing models for emergency department (ED) and inpatient hospital (IH) visits. The data modalities include socio-demographics, diagnosis and medications. Segmentation compares a cohort of insomnia patients to a cohort of general non-insomnia patients under varying age and disease severity criteria. Transfer testing between the two cohorts is introduced to demonstrate that an insomnia-specific model is not necessary when predicting future ED visits, but may have merit when predicting IH visits especially for patients with an insomnia diagnosis. The results also indicate that using both diagnosis and medications as a source of data does not generally improve model performance and may increase its overhead. Based on these findings, the proposed evaluation methodologies are recommended to ascertain the utility of disease-specific models in addition to the traditional intra-cohort testing.
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    Predicting Dementia With Routine Care EMR Data
    (Elsevier, 2020-01) Ben Miled, Zina; Haas, Kyle; Black, Christopher M.; Khandker, Rezaul Karim; Chandrasekaran, Vasu; Lipton, Richard; Boustani, Malaz A.; Electrical and Computer Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology
    Our aim is to develop a machine learning (ML) model that can predict dementia in a general patient population from multiple health care institutions one year and three years prior to the onset of the disease without any additional monitoring or screening. The purpose of the model is to automate the cost-effective, non-invasive, digital pre-screening of patients at risk for dementia. Towards this purpose, routine care data, which is widely available through Electronic Medical Record (EMR) systems is used as a data source. These data embody a rich knowledge and make related medical applications easy to deploy at scale in a cost-effective manner. Specifically, the model is trained by using structured and unstructured data from three EMR data sets: diagnosis, prescriptions, and medical notes. Each of these three data sets is used to construct an individual model along with a combined model which is derived by using all three data sets. Human-interpretable data processing and ML techniques are selected in order to facilitate adoption of the proposed model by health care providers from multiple institutions. The results show that the combined model is generalizable across multiple institutions and is able to predict dementia within one year of its onset with an accuracy of nearly 80% despite the fact that it was trained using routine care data. Moreover, the analysis of the models identified important predictors for dementia. Some of these predictors (e.g., age and hypertensive disorders) are already confirmed by the literature while others, especially the ones derived from the unstructured medical notes, require further clinical analysis.