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Browsing by Author "Jhaveri, Ravi"
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Item A machine learning-based phenotype for long COVID in children: an EHR-based study from the RECOVER program(Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, 2022-12-26) Lorman, Vitaly; Razzaghi, Hanieh; Song, Xing; Morse, Keith; Utidjian, Levon; Allen, Andrea J.; Rao, Suchitra; Rogerson, Colin; Bennett, Tellen D.; Morizono, Hiroki; Eckrich, Daniel; Jhaveri, Ravi; Huang, Yungui; Ranade, Daksha; Pajor, Nathan; Lee, Grace M.; Forrest, Christopher B.; Bailey, L. Charles; Pediatrics, School of MedicineBackground: As clinical understanding of pediatric Post-Acute Sequelae of SARS CoV-2 (PASC) develops, and hence the clinical definition evolves, it is desirable to have a method to reliably identify patients who are likely to have post-acute sequelae of SARS CoV-2 (PASC) in health systems data. Methods and findings: In this study, we developed and validated a machine learning algorithm to classify which patients have PASC (distinguishing between Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) and non-MIS-C variants) from a cohort of patients with positive SARS-CoV-2 test results in pediatric health systems within the PEDSnet EHR network. Patient features included in the model were selected from conditions, procedures, performance of diagnostic testing, and medications using a tree-based scan statistic approach. We used an XGboost model, with hyperparameters selected through cross-validated grid search, and model performance was assessed using 5-fold cross-validation. Model predictions and feature importance were evaluated using Shapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) values. Conclusions: The model provides a tool for identifying patients with PASC and an approach to characterizing PASC using diagnosis, medication, laboratory, and procedure features in health systems data. Using appropriate threshold settings, the model can be used to identify PASC patients in health systems data at higher precision for inclusion in studies or at higher recall in screening for clinical trials, especially in settings where PASC diagnosis codes are used less frequently or less reliably. Analysis of how specific features contribute to the classification process may assist in gaining a better understanding of features that are associated with PASC diagnoses.Item Can Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children Be Managed in the Outpatient Setting? An EHR-Based Cohort Study From the RECOVER Program(Oxford University Press, 2023) Jhaveri, Ravi; Webb, Ryan; Razzaghi, Hanieh; Schuchard, Julia; Mejias, Asuncion; Bennett, Tellen D.; Jone, Pei-Ni; Thacker, Deepika; Schulert, Grant S.; Rogerson, Colin; Cogen, Jonathan D.; Bailey, L. Charles; Forrest, Christopher B.; Lee, Grace M.; Rao, Suchitra; RECOVER consortium; Pediatrics, School of MedicineUsing electronic health record data combined with primary chart review, we identified seven children across nine participant pediatric medical centers with a diagnosis of Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) managed exclusively as outpatients. These findings should raise awareness of mild presentations of MIS-C and the option of outpatient management.Item Real-world Effectiveness of BNT162b2 Against Infection and Severe Diseases in Children and Adolescent(medRxiv, 2023-11-13) Wu, Qiong; Tong, Jiayi; Zhang, Bingyu; Zhang, Dazheng; Chen, Jiajie; Lei, Yuqing; Lu, Yiwen; Wang, Yudong; Li, Lu; Shen, Yishan; Xu, Jie; Bailey, L. Charles; Bian, Jiang; Christakis, Dimitri A.; Fitzgerald, Megan L.; Hirabayashi, Kathryn; Jhaveri, Ravi; Khaitan, Alka; Lyu, Tianchen; Rao, Suchitra; Razzaghi, Hanieh; Schwenk, Hayden T.; Wang, Fei; Witvliet, Margot I.; Tchetgen Tchetgen, Eric J.; Morris, Jeffrey S.; Forrest, Christopher B.; Chen, Yong; Pediatrics, School of MedicineBackground: The efficacy of the BNT162b2 vaccine in pediatrics was assessed by randomized trials before the Omicron variant's emergence. The long-term durability of vaccine protection in this population during the Omicron period remains limited. Objective: To assess the effectiveness of BNT162b2 in preventing infection and severe diseases with various strains of the SARS-CoV-2 virus in previously uninfected children and adolescents. Design: Comparative effectiveness research accounting for underreported vaccination in three study cohorts: adolescents (12 to 20 years) during the Delta phase, children (5 to 11 years) and adolescents (12 to 20 years) during the Omicron phase. Setting: A national collaboration of pediatric health systems (PEDSnet). Participants: 77,392 adolescents (45,007 vaccinated) in the Delta phase, 111,539 children (50,398 vaccinated) and 56,080 adolescents (21,180 vaccinated) in the Omicron period. Exposures: First dose of the BNT162b2 vaccine vs. no receipt of COVID-19 vaccine. Measurements: Outcomes of interest include documented infection, COVID-19 illness severity, admission to an intensive care unit (ICU), and cardiac complications. The effectiveness was reported as (1-relative risk)*100% with confounders balanced via propensity score stratification. Results: During the Delta period, the estimated effectiveness of BNT162b2 vaccine was 98.4% (95% CI, 98.1 to 98.7) against documented infection among adolescents, with no significant waning after receipt of the first dose. An analysis of cardiac complications did not find an increased risk after vaccination. During the Omicron period, the effectiveness against documented infection among children was estimated to be 74.3% (95% CI, 72.2 to 76.2). Higher levels of effectiveness were observed against moderate or severe COVID-19 (75.5%, 95% CI, 69.0 to 81.0) and ICU admission with COVID-19 (84.9%, 95% CI, 64.8 to 93.5). Among adolescents, the effectiveness against documented Omicron infection was 85.5% (95% CI, 83.8 to 87.1), with 84.8% (95% CI, 77.3 to 89.9) against moderate or severe COVID-19, and 91.5% (95% CI, 69.5 to 97.6)) against ICU admission with COVID-19. The effectiveness of the BNT162b2 vaccine against the Omicron variant declined after 4 months following the first dose and then stabilized. The analysis revealed a lower risk of cardiac complications in the vaccinated group during the Omicron variant period. Limitations: Observational study design and potentially undocumented infection. Conclusions: Our study suggests that BNT162b2 was effective for various COVID-19-related outcomes in children and adolescents during the Delta and Omicron periods, and there is some evidence of waning effectiveness over time.