Browsing by Author "Gougol, Amir"

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    Dynamic changes in the pancreatitis activity scoring system during hospital course in a multicenter, prospective cohort
    (Wiley, 2021) Paragomi, Pedram; Tuft, Marie; Pothoulakis, loannis; Singh, Vikesh K.; Stevens, Tyler; Nawaz, Haq; Easler, Jeffrey J.; Thakkar, Shyam; Cote, Gregory A.; Lee, Peter J.; Akshintala, Venkata; Kamal, Ayesha; Gougol, Amir; Evans Phillips, Anna; Machicado, Jorge D.; Whitcomb, David C.; Greer, Phil J.; Buxbaum, James L.; Hart, Phil; Conwell, Darwin; Tang, Gong; Wu, Bechien U.; Papachristou, Georgios I.; Medicine, School of Medicine
    Background and aim: The primary aim was to validate the Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System (PASS) in a multicenter prospectively ascertained acute pancreatitis (AP) cohort. Second, we investigated the association of early PASS trajectories with disease severity and length of hospital stay (LOS). Methods: Data were prospectively collected through the APPRENTICE consortium (2015-2018). AP severity was categorized based on revised Atlanta classification. Delta PASS (ΔPASS) was calculated by subtracting activity score from baseline value. PASS trajectories were compared between severity subsets. Subsequently, the cohort was subdivided into three LOS subgroups as short (S-LOS): 2-3 days; intermediate (I-LOS): 3-7 days; and long (L-LOS): ≥7 days. The generalized estimating equations model was implemented to compare PASS trajectories. Results: There were 434 subjects analyzed including 322 (74%) mild, 86 (20%) moderately severe, and 26 (6%) severe AP. Severe AP subjects had the highest activity levels and the slowest rate of decline in activity (P = 0.039). Focusing on mild AP, L-LOS subjects (34%) had 28 points per day slower decline; whereas, S-LOS group (13%) showed 34 points per day sharper decrease compared with I-LOS (53%; P < 0.001). We noticed an outlier subset with a median admission-PASS of 466 compared with 140 in the rest. Morphine equivalent dose constituted 80% of the total PASS in the outliers (median morphine equivalent dose score = 392), compared with only 25% in normal-range subjects (score = 33, P value < 0.001). Conclusions: This study highlighted that PASS can quantify AP activity. Significant differences in PASS trajectories were found both in revised Atlanta classification severity and LOS groups, which can be harnessed in AP monitoring/management (ClincialTrials.gov number, NCT03075618).
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    Introduction and Validation of a Novel Acute Pancreatitis Digital Tool: Interrogating Large Pooled Data From 2 Prospectively Ascertained Cohorts
    (Wolters Kluwer, 2020) Paragomi, Pedram; Spagnolo, Daniel M.; Breze, Cameron R.; Gougol, Amir; Talukdar, Rupjyoti; Kochhar, Rakesh; Goenka, Mahesh Kumar; Gulla, Aiste; Gonzalez, Jose A.; Singh, Vikesh K.; Ferreira, Miguel; Stevens, Tyler; Barbu, Sorin T.; Nawaz, Haq; Gutierrez, Silvia C.; Zarnescu, Narcis O.; Archibugi, Livia; Easler, Jeffrey J.; Triantafyllou, Konstantinos; Pelaez-Luna, Mario; Thakkar, Shyam; Ocampo, Carlos; de-Madaria, Enrique; Cote, Gregory A.; Wu, Bechien U.; Pothoulakis, Ioannis; Haupt, Mark; Whitcomb, David C.; Papachristou, Georgios I.; Medicine, School of Medicine
    Objectives: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a sudden onset, rapidly evolving inflammatory response with systemic inflammation and multiorgan failure (MOF) in a subset of patients. New highly accurate clinical decision support tools are needed to allow local doctors to provide expert care. Methods: Ariel Dynamic Acute Pancreatitis Tracker (ADAPT) is a digital tool to guide physicians in ordering standard tests, evaluate test results and model progression using available data, propose emergent therapies. The accuracy of the severity score calculators was tested using 2 prospectively ascertained Acute Pancreatitis Patient Registry to Examine Novel Therapies in Clinical Experience cohorts (pilot University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, n = 163; international, n = 1544). Results: The ADAPT and post hoc expert-calculated AP severity scores were 100% concordant in both pilot and international cohorts. High-risk criteria of all 4 severity scores at admission were associated with moderately-severe or severe AP and MOF (both P < 0.0001) and prediction of no MOF was 97.8% to 98.9%. The positive predictive value for MOF was 7.5% to 14.9%. Conclusions: The ADAPT tool showed 100% accuracy with AP predictive metrics. Prospective evaluation of ADAPT features is needed to determine if additional data can accurately predict and mitigate severe AP and MOF.
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    Mortality in acute pancreatitis with persistent organ failure is determined by the number, type, and sequence of organ systems affected
    (Wiley, 2021-03) Machicado, Jorge D.; Gougol, Amir; Tan, Xiaoqing; Gao, Xiaotian; Paragomi, Pedram; Pothoulakis, Ioannis; Talukdar, Rupjyoti; Kochhar, Rakesh; Goenka, Mahesh K.; Gulla, Aiste; Gonzalez, Jose A.; Singh, Vikesh K.; Ferreira, Miguel; Stevens, Tyler; Barbu, Sorin T.; Nawaz, Haq; Gutierrez, Silvia C.; Zarnescu, Narcis O.; Capurso, Gabriele; Easler, Jeffrey J.; Triantafyllou, Konstantinos; Pelaez-Luna, Mario; Thakkar, Shyam; Ocampo, Carlos; de-Madaria, Enrique; Cote, Gregory A.; Wu, Bechien U.; Conwell, Darwin L.; Hart, Phil A.; Tang, Gong; Papachristou, Georgios I.; Medicine, School of Medicine
    Background: Persistent organ failure (POF) is the strongest determinant of mortality in acute pancreatitis (AP). There is a paucity of data regarding the impact of different POF attributes on mortality and the role of different characteristics of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) in the risk of developing POF. Objective: We aimed to assess the association of POF dynamic features with mortality and SIRS characteristics with POF. Methods: We studied 1544 AP subjects prospectively enrolled at 22 international centers (APPRENTICE consortium). First, we estimated the association of onset, duration, and maximal score of SIRS with POF. Then, we evaluated the risk of mortality based on POF onset, duration, number, type, and sequence of organs affected. Analyses were adjusted for potential confounders. Results: 58% had SIRS, 11% developed POF, and 2.5% died. Early SIRS, persistent SIRS, and maximal SIRS score ≥ 3 were independently associated with higher risk of POF (p < 0.05). Mortality risk in POF was higher with two (33%, odds ratio [OR] = 10.8, 3.3-34.9) and three (48%, OR = 20.2, 5.9-68.6) organs failing, in comparison to single POF (4%). In subjects with multiple POF, mortality was higher when the cardiovascular and respiratory systems failed first or concurrently as compared to when the renal system failed first or concurrently with other organ (p < 0.05). In multivariate regression model, the number and sequence of organs affected in POF were associated with mortality (p < 0.05). Onset and duration of POF had no impact mortality. Conclusion: In AP patients with POF, the risk of mortality is influenced by the number, type, and sequence of organs affected. These results are useful for future revisions of AP severity classification systems.
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    Worldwide Variations in Demographics, Management, and Outcomes of Acute Pancreatitis
    (Elsevier, 2019) Matta, Bassem; Gougol, Amir; Gao, Xiaotian; Reddy, Nageshwar; Talukdar, Rupiyoti; Kochhar, Rakesh; Goenka, Mahesh Kumar; Gulla, Aiste; Gonzalez, Jose A.; Singh, Vikesh K.; Ferreira, Miguel; Stevens, Tyler; Barbu, Sorin T.; Nawaz, Haq; Gutierrez, Silvia C.; Zarnescu, Narcis O.; Capurso, Gabriele; Easler, Jeffrey; Triantafyllou, Konstantinos; Pelaez-Luna, Mario; Thakkar, Shyam; Ocampo, Carlos; de-Madaria, Enrique; Cote, Gregory A.; Wu, Bechien U.; Paragomi, Pedram; Pothoulakis, Ioannis; Tang, Gong; Papachristou, Georgios I.; Medicine, School of Medicine
    Background & Aims Few studies have compared regional differences in acute pancreatitis. We analyzed data from an international registry of patients with acute pancreatitis to evaluate geographic variations in patient characteristics, management, and outcomes. Methods We collected data from the APPRENTICE registry of patients with acute pancreatitis, which obtains information from patients in Europe (6 centers), India (3 centers), Latin America (5 centers), and North America (8 centers) using standardized questionnaires. Our final analysis included 1,612 patients with acute pancreatitis (median age, 49 years; 53% male, 62% white) enrolled from August 2015 through January 2018. Results Biliary (45%) and alcoholic acute pancreatitis (21%) were the most common etiologies. Based on the revised Atlanta classification, 65% of patients developed mild disease, 23% moderate, and 12% severe. The mean age of patients in Europe (58 years) was older than mean age for all 4 regions (46 years) and a higher proportion of patients in Europe had comorbid conditions (73% vs 50% overall). The predominant etiology of acute pancreatitis in Latin America was biliary (78%), whereas alcohol-associated pancreatitis accounted for the highest proportion of acute pancreatitis cases in India (45%). Pain was managed with opioid analgesics in 93% of patients in North America versus 27% of patients in the other 3 regions. Cholecystectomies were performed at the time of hospital admission for most patients in Latin America (60% vs 15% overall). A higher proportion of European patients with severe acute pancreatitis died during the original hospital stay (44%) compared with the other 3 regions (15%). Conclusions We found significant variation in demographics, etiologies, management practices, and outcomes of acute pancreatitis worldwide.