Browsing by Author "Fricker, Zachary P."

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    Development and Validation of a Model to Predict Acute Kidney Injury in Hospitalized Patients With Cirrhosis
    (Wolters Kluwer, 2019-09) Patidar, Kavish R.; Xu, Chenjia; Shamseddeen, Hani; Cheng, Yao-Wen; Ghabril, Marwan S.; Mukthinuthalapati, V.V. Pavan K.; Fricker, Zachary P.; Akinyeye, Samuel; Nephew, Lauren D.; Desai, Archita P.; Anderson, Melissa; El-Achkar, Tarek M.; Chalasani, Naga P.; Orman, Eric S.; Medicine, School of Medicine
    OBJECTIVES: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common complication in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis which contributes to morbidity and mortality. Improved prediction of AKI in this population is needed for prevention and early intervention. We developed a model to identify hospitalized patients at risk for AKI. METHODS: Admission data from a prospective cohort of hospitalized patients with cirrhosis without AKI on admission (n = 397) was used for derivation. AKI development in the first week of admission was captured. Independent predictors of AKI on multivariate logistic regression were used to develop the prediction model. External validation was performed on a separate multicenter cohort (n = 308). RESULTS: In the derivation cohort, the mean age was 57 years, the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score was 17, and 59 patients (15%) developed AKI after a median of 4 days. Admission creatinine (OR: 2.38 per 1 mg/dL increase [95% CI: 1.47-3.85]), international normalized ratio (OR: 1.92 per 1 unit increase [95% CI: 1.92-3.10]), and white blood cell count (OR: 1.09 per 1 × 10/L increase [95% CI: 1.04-1.15]) were independently associated with AKI. These variables were used to develop a prediction model (area underneath the receiver operator curve: 0.77 [95% CI: 0.70-0.83]). In the validation cohort (mean age of 53 years, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score of 16, and AKI development of 13%), the area underneath the receiver operator curve for the model was 0.70 (95% CI: 0.61-0.78). DISCUSSION: A model consisting of admission creatinine, international normalized ratio, and white blood cell count can identify patients with cirrhosis at risk for in-hospital AKI development. On further validation, our model can be used to apply novel interventions to reduce the incidence of AKI among patients with cirrhosis who are hospitalized.
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    MELD-Na Is More Strongly Associated with Risk of Infection and Outcomes Than Other Characteristics of Patients with Cirrhosis
    (Springer Nature, 2021) Fricker, Zachary P.; Mukthinuthalapati, V. V. Pavan Kedar; Akinyeye, Samuel; Chalasani, Naga; Attar, Bashar M.; Balakrishnan, Maya; Ghabril, Marwan; Long, Michelle T.; Medicine, School of Medicine
    Background and aims: The nature and outcomes of infection among patients with cirrhosis in safety-net hospitals are not well described. We aimed to characterize the rate of and risk factors for infection, both present on admission and nosocomial, in this unique population. We hypothesized that infections would be associated with adverse outcomes such as short-term mortality. Methods: We used descriptive statistics to characterize infections within a retrospective cohort characterized previously. We used multivariable logistic regression models to assess potential risk factors for infection and associations with key outcomes such as short-term mortality and length of stay. Results: The study cohort of 1112 patients included 33% women with a mean age of 56 ± 10 years. Infections were common (20%), with respiratory and urinary tract infections the most frequent. We did not observe a difference in the incidence of infection on admission based on patient demographic factors such as race/ethnicity or estimated household income. Infections on admission were associated with greater short-term mortality (12% vs 4% in-hospital and 14% vs 7% 30-day), longer length of stay (6 vs 3 days), intensive care unit admission (28% vs 18%), and acute-on-chronic liver failure (10% vs 2%) (p < 0.01 for all). Nosocomial infections were relatively uncommon (4%), but more frequent among patients admitted to the intensive care unit. Antibiotic resistance was common (38%), but not associated with negative outcomes. Conclusion: We did not identify demographic risk factors for infection, but did confirm its morbid effect among patients with cirrhosis in safety-net hospitals.