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Browsing by Author "Fox, Angela C."
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Item Clinical and economic evaluation of a proteomic biomarker preterm birth risk predictor: cost-effectiveness modeling of prenatal interventions applied to predicted higher-risk pregnancies within a large and diverse cohort(Taylor & Francis, 2022-12) Burchard, Julja; Markenson, Glenn R.; Saade, George R.; Laurent, Louise C.; Heyborne, Kent D.; Coonrod, Dean V.; Schoen, Corina N.; Baxter, Jason K.; Haas, David M.; Longo, Sherri A.; Sullivan, Scott A.; Wheeler, Sarahn M.; Pereira, Leonardo M.; Boggess, Kim A.; Hawk, Angela F.; Crockett, Amy H.; Treacy, Ryan; Fox, Angela C.; Polpitiya, Ashoka D.; Fleischer, Tracey C.; Garite, Thomas J.; Boniface, J. Jay; Zupancic, John A. F.; Critchfield, Gregory C.; Kearney, Paul E.; Obstetrics and Gynecology, School of MedicineObjectives Preterm birth occurs in more than 10% of U.S. births and is the leading cause of U.S. neonatal deaths, with estimated annual costs exceeding $25 billion USD. Using real-world data, we modeled the potential clinical and economic utility of a prematurity-reduction program comprising screening in a racially and ethnically diverse population with a validated proteomic biomarker risk predictor, followed by case management with or without pharmacological treatment. Methods The ACCORDANT microsimulation model used individual patient data from a prespecified, randomly selected sub-cohort (N = 847) of a multicenter, observational study of U.S. subjects receiving standard obstetric care with masked risk predictor assessment (TREETOP; NCT02787213). All subjects were included in three arms across 500 simulated trials: standard of care (SoC, control); risk predictor/case management comprising increased outreach, education and specialist care (RP-CM, active); and multimodal management (risk predictor/case management with pharmacological treatment) (RP-MM, active). In the active arms, only subjects stratified as higher risk by the predictor were modeled as receiving the intervention, whereas lower-risk subjects received standard care. Higher-risk subjects’ gestational ages at birth were shifted based on published efficacies, and dependent outcomes, calibrated using national datasets, were changed accordingly. Subjects otherwise retained their original TREETOP outcomes. Arms were compared using survival analysis for neonatal and maternal hospital length of stay, bootstrap intervals for neonatal cost, and Fisher’s exact test for neonatal morbidity/mortality (significance, p < .05). Results The model predicted improvements for all outcomes. RP-CM decreased neonatal and maternal hospital stay by 19% (p = .029) and 8.5% (p = .001), respectively; neonatal costs’ point estimate by 16% (p = .098); and moderate-to-severe neonatal morbidity/mortality by 29% (p = .025). RP-MM strengthened observed reductions and significance. Point estimates of benefit did not differ by race/ethnicity. Conclusions Modeled evaluation of a biomarker-based test-and-treat strategy in a diverse population predicts clinically and economically meaningful improvements in neonatal and maternal outcomes.Item Performance of a proteomic preterm delivery predictor in a large independent prospective cohort(Elsevier, 2020-08) Markenson, Glenn R.; Saade, George R.; Laurent, Louise C.; Heyborne, Kent D.; Coonrod, Dean V.; Schoen, Corina N.; Baxter, Jason K.; Haas, David M.; Longo, Sherri; Grobman, William A.; Sullivan, Scott A.; Major, Carol A.; Wheeler, Sarahn M.; Pereira, Leonardo M.; Su, Emily J.; Boggess, Kim A.; Hawk, Angela F.; Crockett, Amy H.; Fox, Angela C.; Polpitiya, Ashoka; Fleischer, Tracey C.; Critchfield, Gregory C.; Burchard, Julja; Boniface, J. Jay; Lam, Garrett K.; Obstetrics and Gynecology, School of MedicineBackground Preterm birth remains a common and devastating complication of pregnancy. There remains a need for effective and accurate screening methods for preterm birth. Using a proteomic approach, we previously discovered and validated (Proteomic Assessment of Preterm Risk study, NCT01371019) a preterm birth predictor comprising a ratio of insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 4 to sex hormone-binding globulin. Objective To determine the performance of the ratio of insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 4 to sex hormone-binding globulin to predict both spontaneous and medically indicated very preterm births, in an independent cohort distinct from the one in which it was developed. Study Design This was a prospective observational study (Multicenter Assessment of a Spontaneous Preterm Birth Risk Predictor, NCT02787213) at 18 sites in the United States. Women had blood drawn at 170/7 to 216/7 weeks’ gestation. For confirmation, we planned to analyze a randomly selected subgroup of women having blood drawn between 191/7 and 206/7 weeks’ gestation, with the results of the remaining study participants blinded for future validation studies. Serum from participants was analyzed by mass spectrometry. Neonatal morbidity and mortality were analyzed using a composite score by a method from the PREGNANT trial (NCT00615550, Hassan et al). Scores of 0–3 reflect increasing numbers of morbidities or length of neonatal intensive care unit stay, and 4 represents perinatal mortality. Results A total of 5011 women were enrolled, with 847 included in this planned substudy analysis. There were 9 preterm birth cases at <320/7 weeks’ gestation and 838 noncases at ≥320/7 weeks’ gestation; 21 of 847 infants had neonatal composite morbidity and mortality index scores of ≥3, and 4 of 21 had a score of 4. The ratio of insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 4 to sex hormone-binding globulin ratio was substantially higher in both preterm births at <320/7 weeks’ gestation and there were more severe neonatal outcomes. The ratio of insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 4 to sex hormone-binding globulin ratio was significantly predictive of birth at <320/7 weeks’ gestation (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.71; 95% confidence interval, 0.55–0.87; P=.016). Stratification by body mass index, optimized in the previous validation study (22