Browsing by Author "Chicuy, Javier"

Now showing 1 - 2 of 2
  • Thumbnail Image
    Item
    Cost-effectiveness of low-dose aspirin for the prevention of preterm birth: a prospective study of the Global Network for Women's and Children's Health Research
    (Elsevier, 2023) Patterson, Jackie K.; Neuwahl, Simon; Goco, Norman; Moore, Janet; Goudar, Shivaprasad S.; Derman, Richard J.; Hoffman, Matthew; Metgud, Mrityunjay; Somannavar, Manjunath; Kavi, Avinash; Okitawutshu, Jean; Lokangaka, Adrien; Tshefu, Antoinette; Bose, Carl L.; Mwapule, Abigail; Mwenechanya, Musaku; Chomba, Elwyn; Carlo, Waldemar A.; Chicuy, Javier; Figueroa, Lester; Krebs, Nancy F.; Jessani, Saleem; Saleem, Sarah; Goldenberg, Robert L.; Kurhe, Kunal; Das, Prabir; Patel, Archana; Hibberd, Patricia L.; Achieng, Emmah; Nyongesa, Paul; Esamai, Fabian; Bucher, Sherri; Liechty, Edward A.; Bresnahan, Brian W.; Koso-Thomas, Marion; McClure, Elizabeth M.; Pediatrics, School of Medicine
    Background: Premature birth is associated with an increased risk of mortality and morbidity, and strategies to prevent preterm birth are few in number and resource intensive. In 2020, the ASPIRIN trial showed the efficacy of low-dose aspirin (LDA) in nulliparous, singleton pregnancies for the prevention of preterm birth. We sought to investigate the cost-effectiveness of this therapy in low-income and middle-income countries. Methods: In this post-hoc, prospective, cost-effectiveness study, we constructed a probabilistic decision tree model to compare the benefits and costs of LDA treatment compared with standard care using primary data and published results from the ASPIRIN trial. In this analysis from a health-care sector perspective, we considered the costs and effects of LDA treatment, pregnancy outcomes, and neonatal health-care use. We did sensitivity analyses to understand the effect of the price of the LDA regimen, and the effectiveness of LDA in reducing both preterm birth and perinatal death. Findings: In model simulations, LDA was associated with 141 averted preterm births, 74 averted perinatal deaths, and 31 averted hospitalisations per 10 000 pregnancies. The reduction in hospitalisation resulted in a cost of US$248 per averted preterm birth, $471 per averted perinatal death, and $15·95 per disability-adjusted life year. Interpretation: LDA treatment in nulliparous, singleton pregnancies is a low-cost, effective treatment to reduce preterm birth and perinatal death. The low cost per disability-adjusted life year averted strengthens the evidence in support of prioritising the implementation of LDA in publicly funded health care in low-income and middle-income countries.
  • Thumbnail Image
    Item
    Low-Dose Aspirin for the Prevention of Preterm Delivery in Nulliparous Women with a Singleton Pregnancy: A Randomised Multi-country Placebo Controlled Trial
    (Elsevier, 2020) Hoffman, Matthew K.; Goudar, Shivaprasad S.; Kodkany, Bhalachandra S.; Metgud, Mrityunjay; Somannavar, Manjunath; Okitawutshu, Jean; Lokangaka, Adrien; Tshefu, Antoinette; Bose, Carl L.; Mwapule, Abigail; Mwenechanya, Musaku; Chomba, Elwyn; Carlo, Waldemar A.; Chicuy, Javier; Figueroa, Lester; Garces, Ana; Krebs, Nancy F.; Jessani, Saleem; Zehra, Farnaz; Saleem, Sarah; Goldenberg, Robert L.; Kurhe, Kunal; Das, Prabir; Patel, Archana; Hibberd, Patricia L.; Achieng, Emmah; Nyongesa, Paul; Esamai, Fabian; Liechty, Edward A.; Goco, Norman; Hemingway-Foday, Jennifer; Moore, Janet; Nolen, Tracy L.; McClure, Elizabeth M.; Koso-Thomas, Marion; Miodovnik, Menachem; Silver, Robert; Derman, Richard J.; Pediatrics, School of Medicine
    Background: Preterm birth remains a common cause of neonatal mortality with a disproportionate burden occurring in low and middle-income countries. Meta-analyses of low-dose aspirin to prevent preeclampsia suggest that the incidence of preterm birth may also be decreased, particularly if initiated before 16 weeks. Methods: We completed a randomised multi-country (Democratic Republic of Congo, Guatemala, India, Kenya, Pakistan, Zambia) double masked trial of aspirin (81 mg) daily compared to placebo initiated between 6 weeks and 0 days and 13 weeks and 6 days of pregnancy in nulliparous women between14 and 40 years of age with an ultrasound confirming gestational age and singleton viable pregnancy. Randomisation (1:1) was stratified by site. The primary outcome of preterm birth, defined as delivery prior to 37 weeks gestational age, was analyzed in randomised women with pregnancy outcomes at or after 20 weeks. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02409680, and the Clinical Trial Registry, India, number CTRI/2016/05/006970. Findings: From March 2016 through June 2018, 11,976 women were assigned to aspirin (5,990 women) or placebo (5,986 women). Amongst randomised women, an evaluable birth outcome beyond 20 weeks occurred in 5787 women who received Aspirin and 5771 women who received placebo Preterm birth occurred in 11.6% of women randomised to aspirin and 13.1% randomised to placebo (Relative Risk [RR], 0.89; 95% CI, 0.81 to 0.98; Risk Difference, −0·02; 95% CI, −0·03, −0·01). Women randomised to aspirin were less likely to experience perinatal mortality (45.7/1000 vs 53.6/1000; RR, 0.86; 95%CI, 0.73 to 1.00). Other adverse maternal/neonatal events were similar between the two groups. Interpretation: In nulliparous women with singleton pregnancies, low dose aspirin initiated between 6 weeks and 0 days and 13 weeks and 6 days results in lower rates of preterm delivery before 37 weeks and perinatal mortality.