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Browsing by Author "Archibugi, Livia"
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Item Introduction and Validation of a Novel Acute Pancreatitis Digital Tool: Interrogating Large Pooled Data From 2 Prospectively Ascertained Cohorts(Wolters Kluwer, 2020) Paragomi, Pedram; Spagnolo, Daniel M.; Breze, Cameron R.; Gougol, Amir; Talukdar, Rupjyoti; Kochhar, Rakesh; Goenka, Mahesh Kumar; Gulla, Aiste; Gonzalez, Jose A.; Singh, Vikesh K.; Ferreira, Miguel; Stevens, Tyler; Barbu, Sorin T.; Nawaz, Haq; Gutierrez, Silvia C.; Zarnescu, Narcis O.; Archibugi, Livia; Easler, Jeffrey J.; Triantafyllou, Konstantinos; Pelaez-Luna, Mario; Thakkar, Shyam; Ocampo, Carlos; de-Madaria, Enrique; Cote, Gregory A.; Wu, Bechien U.; Pothoulakis, Ioannis; Haupt, Mark; Whitcomb, David C.; Papachristou, Georgios I.; Medicine, School of MedicineObjectives: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a sudden onset, rapidly evolving inflammatory response with systemic inflammation and multiorgan failure (MOF) in a subset of patients. New highly accurate clinical decision support tools are needed to allow local doctors to provide expert care. Methods: Ariel Dynamic Acute Pancreatitis Tracker (ADAPT) is a digital tool to guide physicians in ordering standard tests, evaluate test results and model progression using available data, propose emergent therapies. The accuracy of the severity score calculators was tested using 2 prospectively ascertained Acute Pancreatitis Patient Registry to Examine Novel Therapies in Clinical Experience cohorts (pilot University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, n = 163; international, n = 1544). Results: The ADAPT and post hoc expert-calculated AP severity scores were 100% concordant in both pilot and international cohorts. High-risk criteria of all 4 severity scores at admission were associated with moderately-severe or severe AP and MOF (both P < 0.0001) and prediction of no MOF was 97.8% to 98.9%. The positive predictive value for MOF was 7.5% to 14.9%. Conclusions: The ADAPT tool showed 100% accuracy with AP predictive metrics. Prospective evaluation of ADAPT features is needed to determine if additional data can accurately predict and mitigate severe AP and MOF.Item The Modified Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System Shows Distinct Trajectories in Acute Pancreatitis: An International Study(Elsevier, 2022) Paragomi, Pedram; Hinton, Alice; Pothoulakis, Ioannis; Talukdar, Rupjyoti; Kochhar, Rakesh; Goenka, Mahesh K.; Gulla, Aiste; Gonzalez, Jose A.; Singh, Vikesh K.; Bogado, Miguel Ferreira; Stevens, Tyler; Barbu, Sorin T.; Nawaz, Haq; Gutierrez, Silvia C.; Zarnescu, Narcis; Archibugi, Livia; Easler, Jeffrey J.; Triantafyllou, Konstantinos; Peláez-Luna, Mario; Thakkar, Shyam; Ocampo, Carlos; de-Madaria, Enrique; Cote, Gregory A.; Lee, Peter J.; Krishna, Somashekar; Lara, Luis F.; Han, Samuel; Wu, Bechien U.; Papachristou, Georgios I.; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground & aims: The aims of this study were to: (1) assess the performance of the Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System (PASS) in a large intercontinental cohort of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP); and (2) investigate whether a modified PASS (mPASS) yields a similar predictive accuracy and produces distinct early trajectories between severity subgroups. Methods: Data was prospectively collected through the Acute Pancreatitis Patient Registry to Examine Novel Therapies In Clinical Experience (APPRENTICE) consortium (2015-2018) involving 22 centers from 4 continents. AP severity was categorized per the revised Atlanta classification. PASS trajectories were compared between the three severity groups using the generalized estimating equations model. Four mPASS models were generated by modifying the morphine equivalent dose (MED), and their trajectories were compared. Results: A total of 1393 subjects were enrolled (median age, 49 years; 51% males). The study cohort included 950 mild (68.2%), 315 (22.6%) moderately severe, and 128 (9.2%) severe AP. Mild cases had the lowest PASS at each study time point (all P < .001). A subset of patients with outlier admission PASS values was identified. In the outlier group, 70% of the PASS variation was attributed to the MED, and 66% of these patients were from the United States centers. Among the 4 modified models, the mPASS-1 (excluding MED from PASS) demonstrated high performance in predicting severe AP with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.88 (vs area under the receiver operating characteristic of 0.83 in conventional PASS) and produced distinct trajectories with distinct slopes between severity subgroups (all P < .001). Conclusion: We propose a modified model by removing the MED component, which is easier to calculate, predicts accurately severe AP, and maintains significantly distinct early trajectories.Item The Relationship Between Pre-existing Diabetes Mellitus and the Severity of Acute Pancreatitis: Report From a Large International Registry(Elsevier, 2022) Paragomi, Pedram; Papachristou, Georgios I.; Jeong, Kwonho; Hinton, Alice; Pothoulakis, Ioannis; Talukdar, Rupjyoti; Kochhar, Rakesh; Goenka, Mahesh K.; Gulla, Aiste; Gonzalez, Jose A.; Singh, Vikesh K.; Bogado, Miguel Ferreira; Stevens, Tyler; Barbu, Sorin T.; Nawaz, Haq; Gutierrez, Silvia C.; Zarnescu, Narcis; Archibugi, Livia; Easler, Jeffrey J.; Triantafyllou, Konstantinos; Peláez-Luna, Mario; Thakkar, Shyam; Ocampo, Carlos; de-Madaria, Enrique; Cote, Gregory A.; Wu, Bechien U.; Lee, Peter J.; Hart, Phil A.; Conwell, Darwin L.; Toledo, Frederico G. S.; Yadav, Dhiraj; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground/objectives: The relationship between pre-existing diabetes mellitus (DM) and acute pancreatitis (AP) severity has not been established. We assessed the impact of pre-existing DM on AP severity in an international, prospectively ascertained registry. Methods: APPRENTICE registry prospectively enrolled 1543 AP patients from 22 centers across 4 continents (8 US, 6 Europe, 5 Latin America, 3 India) between 2015 and 2018, and collected detailed clinical information. Pre-existing DM was defined a diagnosis of DM prior to AP admission. The primary outcome was AP severity defined by the Revised Atlanta Classification (RAC). Secondary outcomes were development of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) or intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Results: Pre-existing DM was present in 270 (17.5%) AP patients, of whom 252 (93.3%) had type 2 DM. Patients with pre-existing DM were significantly (p < 0.05) older (55.8 ± 16 vs. 48.3 ± 18.7 years), more likely to be overweight (BMI 29.5 ± 7 vs. 27.2 ± 6.2), have hypertriglyceridemia as the etiology (15% vs. 2%) and prior AP (33 vs. 24%). Mild, moderate, and severe AP were noted in 66%, 23%, and 11% of patients, respectively. On multivariable analysis, pre-existing DM did not significantly impact AP severity assessed by the RAC (moderate-severe vs. mild AP, OR = 0.86, 95% CI 0.63-1.18; severe vs. mild-moderate AP, OR = 1.05, 95% CI, 0.67-1.63), development of SIRS, or the need for ICU admission. No interaction was noted between DM status and continent. Conclusion: About one in 5 patients with AP have pre-existing DM. Once confounding risk factors are considered, pre-existing DM per se is not a risk factor for severe AP.