Protocol for an observational cohort study integrating real-world data and microsimulation to assess imaging surveillance strategies in stage I-IIIA NSCLC patients in OneFlorida

Abstract

Introduction: Although lung cancer remains the leading cause of cancer deaths in the US, recent advances in early detection and treatment have led to improvements in survival. However, there is a considerable risk of recurrence or second primary lung cancer (SPLC) following curative-intent treatment in patients with early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Professional societies recommend routine surveillance with CT to optimise the detection of potential recurrence and SPLC at a localised stage. However, no definitive evidence demonstrates the effect of imaging surveillance on survival in patients with NSCLC. To close these research gaps, the Advancing Precision Lung Cancer Surveillance and Outcomes in Diverse Populations (PLuS2) study will leverage real-world electronic health records (EHRs) data to evaluate surveillance outcomes among patients with and without guideline-adherent surveillance. The overarching goal of the PLuS2 study is to assess the long-term effectiveness of surveillance strategies in real-world settings. Methods and analysis: PLuS2 is an observational study designed to assemble a cohort of patients with incident pathologically confirmed stage I/II/IIIA NSCLC who have completed curative-intent therapy. Patients undergoing imaging surveillance will be followed from 2012 to 2026 by linking EHRs with tumour registry data in the OneFlorida+ Clinical Research Consortium. Data will be consolidated into a unified repository to achieve three primary aims: (1) Examine the utilisation and determinants of CT imaging surveillance by race/ethnicity and socioeconomic status, (2) Compare clinical endpoints, including recurrence, SPLCs and survival of patients who undergo semiannual versus annual CT imaging and (3) Use the observational data in conjunction with validated microsimulation models to simulate imaging surveillance outcomes within the US population. To our knowledge, this study represents the first attempt to integrate real-world data and microsimulation models to assess the long-term impact and effectiveness of imaging surveillance strategies. Ethics and dissemination: This study involves human participants and was approved by the University of Florida Institutional Review Board (IRB), University of Florida IRB 01, under approval number IRB202300782. The results will be disseminated through publications and presentations at national and international conferences. Safety considerations encompass ensuring the confidentiality of patient information. All disseminated data will be de-identified and summarised.