AlphaFold2, SPINE-X, and Seder on Four Hard CASP Targets

Abstract

We analyzed four cases from the CASP15 experiment with low prediction accuracy and compared AlphaFold2, SPINE-X, and Seder on these cases. We find that overall, AlphaFold2 performs better than SPINE-X in predicting secondary structure (SS) and solvent accessible surface area (ASA). For some cases, SPINE-X better predicts sheet and coil regions. We also find that AlphaFold2 is better than Seder in selecting the best matching tertiary structure model for one case and is worse in another case. For two cases Alphafold2 and Seder selected the same models. From the cases presented here, it appears that AlphaFold2 predicts more compact structures than the native one. We find that while, as widely reported, AlphaFold2 significantly improved protein tertiary structure prediction, there are cases, such as the four presented here, for which the tertiary structure prediction could still be significantly enhanced. The source code, license, and documentation for SPINE-X and Seder are available from Research and Information Systems, LLC at http://mamiris.com .