Browsing by Subject "Predictive Value of Tests"
Now showing 1 - 3 of 3
Results Per Page
Sort Options
Item B-cell activating factor (BAFF) plasma level at the time of chronic GvHD diagnosis is a potential predictor of non-relapse mortality(Nature Publishing Group, 2017-07) Saliba, R.M.; Sarantopoulos, S.; Kitko, C.L.; Pawarode, A.; Goldstein, S.C.; Magenau, J.; Alousi, A.M.; Churay, T.; Justman, H.; Paczesny, Sophie; Reddy, P.; Couriel, D.R.; Pediatrics, School of MedicineBiological markers for risk stratification of chronic GvHD (cGvHD) could improve the care of patients undergoing allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation. Increased plasma levels of B-cell activating factor (BAFF), chemokine (C-X-C motif) ligand 9 (CXCL9) and elafin have been associated with the diagnosis, but not with outcome in patients with cGvHD. We evaluated the association between levels of these soluble proteins, measured by ELISA at the time of cGvHD diagnosis and before the initiation of therapy, with non-relapse-mortality (NRM). Based on the log-transformed values, factor levels were divided into tertiles defined respectively as low, intermediate, and high levels. On univariable analysis, BAFF levels were significantly associated with NRM, whereas CXCL9 and elafin levels were not. Both low (⩽2.3 ng/mL, hazard ratio (HR)=5.8, P=0.03) and high (>5.7 ng/mL, HR=5.4, P=0.03) BAFF levels were associated with a significantly higher NRM compared with intermediate BAFF level. The significant effect of high or low BAFF levels persisted in multivariable analysis. A subset of cGvHD patients had persistently low BAFF levels. In conclusion, our data show that BAFF levels at the time of cGvHD diagnosis are associated with NRM, and also are potentially useful for risk stratification. These results warrant confirmation in larger studies.Item Database queries for hospitalizations for acute congestive heart failure: flexible methods and validation based on set theory(Oxford University Press, 2014-03-01) Rosenman, Marc; He, Jinghua; Martin, Joel; Nutakki, Kavitha; Eckert, George; Lane, Kathleen; Gradus-Pizlo, Irmina; Hui, Siu L.; Department of Pediatrics, IU School of MedicineBackground and objective Electronic health records databases are increasingly used for identifying cohort populations, covariates, or outcomes, but discerning such clinical ‘phenotypes’ accurately is an ongoing challenge. We developed a flexible method using overlapping (Venn diagram) queries. Here we describe this approach to find patients hospitalized with acute congestive heart failure (CHF), a sampling strategy for one-by-one ‘gold standard’ chart review, and calculation of positive predictive value (PPV) and sensitivities, with SEs, across different definitions. Materials and methods We used retrospective queries of hospitalizations (2002–2011) in the Indiana Network for Patient Care with any CHF ICD-9 diagnoses, a primary diagnosis, an echocardiogram performed, a B-natriuretic peptide (BNP) drawn, or BNP >500 pg/mL. We used a hybrid between proportional sampling by Venn zone and over-sampling non-overlapping zones. The acute CHF (presence/absence) outcome was based on expert chart review using a priori criteria. Results Among 79 091 hospitalizations, we reviewed 908. A query for any ICD-9 code for CHF had PPV 42.8% (SE 1.5%) for acute CHF and sensitivity 94.3% (1.3%). Primary diagnosis of 428 and BNP >500 pg/mL had PPV 90.4% (SE 2.4%) and sensitivity 28.8% (1.1%). PPV was <10% when there was no echocardiogram, no BNP, and no primary diagnosis. ‘False positive’ hospitalizations were for other heart disease, lung disease, or other reasons. Conclusions This novel method successfully allowed flexible application and validation of queries for patients hospitalized with acute CHF.Item Independent evaluation of a simple clinical prediction rule to identify right ventricular dysfunction in patients with shortness of breath(WB Saunders, 2015-04) Russell, Frances M.; Moore, Christopher L.; Courtney, D. Mark; Kabrhel, Christopher; Smithline, Howard A.; Nordenholz, Kristen E.; Richman, Peter B.; O’Neil, Brian J.; Plewa, Michael C.; Beam, Daren M.; Mastouri, Ronald; Kline, Jeffrey A.; Emergency Medicine, School of MedicineBACKGROUND: Many patients have unexplained persistent dyspnea after negative computed tomographic pulmonary angiography (CTPA). We hypothesized that many of these patients have isolated right ventricular (RV) dysfunction from treatable causes. We previously derived a clinical decision rule (CDR) for predicting RV dysfunction consisting of persistent dyspnea and normal CTPA, finding that 53% of CDR-positive patients had isolated RV dysfunction. Our goal is to validate this previously derived CDR by measuring the prevalence of RV dysfunction and outcomes in dyspneic emergency department patients. METHODS: A secondary analysis of a prospective observational multicenter study that enrolled patients presenting with suspected PE was performed. We included patients with persistent dyspnea, a nonsignificant CTPA, and formal echo performed. Right ventricular dysfunction was defined as RV hypokinesis and/or dilation with or without moderate to severe tricuspid regurgitation. RESULTS: A total of 7940 patients were enrolled. Two thousand six hundred sixteen patients were analyzed after excluding patients without persistent dyspnea and those with a significant finding on CTPA. One hundred ninety eight patients had echocardiography performed as standard care. Of those, 19% (95% confidence interval [CI], 14%-25%) and 33% (95% CI, 25%-42%) exhibited RV dysfunction and isolated RV dysfunction, respectively. Patients with isolated RV dysfunction or overload were more likely than those without RV dysfunction to have a return visit to the emergency department within 45 days for the same complaint (39% vs 18%; 95% CI of the difference, 4%-38%). CONCLUSION: This simple clinical prediction rule predicted a 33% prevalence of isolated RV dysfunction or overload. Patients with isolated RV dysfunction had higher recidivism rates and a trend toward worse outcomes.