Browsing by Subject "Mortality"
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Item 100% of People Who Confuse Correlation With Causation Eventually Die(Sage, 2024-10-03) Schwalb, Jason M.; Neurological Surgery, School of MedicineItem A clinician-nurse model to reduce early mortality and increase clinic retention among high-risk HIV-infected patients initiating combination antiretroviral treatment(Wiley, 2012-02-17) Braitstein, Paula; Siika, Abraham; Hogan, Joseph; Kosgei, Rose; Sang, Edwin; Sidle, John; Wools-Kaloustian, Kara; Keter, Alfred; Mamlin, Joseph; Kimaiyo, Sylvester; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground: In resource-poor settings, mortality is at its highest during the first 3 months after combination antiretroviral treatment (cART) initiation. A clear predictor of mortality during this period is having a low CD4 count at the time of treatment initiation. The objective of this study was to evaluate the effect on survival and clinic retention of a nurse-based rapid assessment clinic for high-risk individuals initiating cART in a resource-constrained setting. Methods: The USAID-AMPATH Partnership has enrolled more than 140,000 patients at 25 clinics throughout western Kenya. High Risk Express Care (HREC) provides weekly or bi-weekly rapid contacts with nurses for individuals initiating cART with CD4 counts of ≤100 cells/mm3. All HIV-infected individuals aged 14 years or older initiating cART with CD4 counts of ≤100 cells/mm3 were eligible for enrolment into HREC and for analysis. Adjusted hazard ratios (AHRs) control for potential confounding using propensity score methods. Results: Between March 2007 and March 2009, 4,958 patients initiated cART with CD4 counts of ≤100 cells/mm3. After adjusting for age, sex, CD4 count, use of cotrimoxazole, treatment for tuberculosis, travel time to clinic and type of clinic, individuals in HREC had reduced mortality (AHR: 0.59; 95% confidence interval: 0.45-0.77), and reduced loss to follow up (AHR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.55-0.70) compared with individuals in routine care. Overall, patients in HREC were much more likely to be alive and in care after a median of nearly 11 months of follow up (AHR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.57-0.67). Conclusions: Frequent monitoring by dedicated nurses in the early months of cART can significantly reduce mortality and loss to follow up among high-risk patients initiating treatment in resource-constrained settings.Item A Comparative Analysis of Bleeding Peptic Ulcers in Hospitalizations With and Without End-Stage Renal Disease(Elmer Press, 2023) Dahiya, Dushyant Singh; Mandoorah, Sohaib; Gangwani, Manesh Kumar; Ali, Hassam; Merza, Nooraldin; Aziz, Muhammad; Singh, Amandeep; Perisetti, Abhilash; Garg, Rajat; Cheng, Chin-I; Dutta, Priyata; Inamdar, Sumant; Sanaka, Madhusudhan R.; Al-Haddad, Mohammad; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground: End-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients are highly susceptible to peptic ulcer bleeding (PUB). We aimed to assess the influence of ESRD status on PUB hospitalizations in the United States (USA). Methods: We analyzed the National Inpatient Sample to identify all adult PUB hospitalizations in the USA from 2007 to 2014, which were divided into two subgroups based on the presence or absence of ESRD. Hospitalization characteristics and clinical outcomes were compared. Furthermore, predictors of inpatient mortality for PUB hospitalizations with ESRD were identified. Results: Between 2007 and 2014, there were 351,965 PUB hospitalizations with ESRD compared to 2,037,037 non-ESRD PUB hospitalizations. PUB ESRD hospitalizations had a higher mean age (71.6 vs. 63.6 years, P < 0.001), and proportion of ethnic minorities i.e., Blacks, Hispanics, and Asians compared to the non-ESRD cohort. We also noted higher all-cause inpatient mortality (5.4% vs. 2.6%, P < 0.001), rates of esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) (20.7% vs. 19.1%, P < 0.001), and mean length of stay (LOS) (8.2 vs. 6 days, P < 0.001) for PUB ESRD hospitalizations compared to the non-ESRD cohort. After multivariate logistic regression analysis, Whites with ESRD had higher odds of mortality from PUB compared to Blacks. Furthermore, the odds of inpatient mortality from PUB decreased by 0.6% for every 1-year increase in age for hospitalizations with ESRD. Compared to the 2011 - 2014 study period, the 2007 - 2010 period had 43.7% higher odds (odds ratio (OR): 0.696, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.645 - 0.751) of inpatient mortality for PUB hospitalizations with ESRD. Conclusions: PUB hospitalizations with ESRD had higher inpatient mortality, EGD utilization, and mean LOS compared to non-ESRD PUB hospitalizations.Item A Metabolomics Approach to Identify Metabolites Associated With Mortality in Patients Receiving Maintenance Hemodialysis(Elsevier, 2024-06-29) Al Awadhi, Solaf; Myint, Leslie; Guallar, Eliseo; Clish, Clary B.; Wulczyn, Kendra E.; Kalim, Sahir; Thadhani, Ravi; Segev, Dorry L.; McAdams DeMarco, Mara; Moe, Sharon M.; Moorthi, Ranjani N.; Hostetter, Thomas H.; Himmelfarb, Jonathan; Meyer, Timothy W.; Powe, Neil R.; Tonelli, Marcello; Rhee, Eugene P.; Shafi, Tariq; Medicine, School of MedicineIntroduction: Uremic toxins contributing to increased risk of death remain largely unknown. We used untargeted metabolomics to identify plasma metabolites associated with mortality in patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis. Methods: We measured metabolites in serum samples from 522 Longitudinal US/Canada Incident Dialysis (LUCID) study participants. We assessed the association between metabolites and 1-year mortality, adjusting for age, sex, race, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, body mass index, serum albumin, Kt/Vurea, dialysis duration, and country. We modeled these associations using limma, a metabolite-wise linear model with empirical Bayesian inference, and 2 machine learning (ML) models: Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and random forest (RF). We accounted for multiple testing using a false discovery rate (pFDR) adjustment. We defined significant mortality-metabolite associations as pFDR < 0.1 in the limma model and metabolites of at least medium importance in both ML models. Results: The mean age of the participants was 64 years, the mean dialysis duration was 35 days, and there were 44 deaths (8.4%) during a 1-year follow-up period. Two metabolites were significantly associated with 1-year mortality. Quinolinate levels (a kynurenine pathway metabolite) were 1.72-fold higher in patients who died within year 1 compared with those who did not (pFDR, 0.009), wheras mesaconate levels (an emerging immunometabolite) were 1.57-fold higher (pFDR, 0.002). An additional 42 metabolites had high importance as per LASSO, 46 per RF, and 9 per both ML models but were not significant per limma. Conclusion: Quinolinate and mesaconate were significantly associated with a 1-year risk of death in incident patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis. External validation of our findings is needed.Item Absolute lymphocyte count as a predictor of mortality and readmission in heart failure hospitalization(Elsevier, 2022-03-05) Majmundar, Monil; Kansara, Tikal; Park, Hansang; Ibarra, Gabriel; Lenik, Joanna Marta; Shah, Palak; Kumar, Ashish; Doshi, Rajkumar; Zala, Harshvardhan; Chaudhari, Shobhana; Kalra, Ankur; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground: There is renewed interest in pursuing frugal and readily available laboratory markers to predict mortality and readmission in heart failure. We aim to determine the relationship between absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) and clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure hospitalization. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of patients with heart failure. Patients were divided into two groups based on ALC, less than or equal to 1500 cells/mm3 and > 1500 cells/ mm3. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. We did subgroup analysis based on ejection fraction and studied the association between ALC categories and clinical outcomes. Both ALC groups are matched by propensity score, outcomes were analyzed by Cox regression, and estimates are presented in hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results: We included 1029 patients in the pre-matched cohort and 766 patients in the propensity-score matched cohort. The median age was 64 years (IQR, 54-75), and 60.78% were male. In the matched cohort, ALC less than or equal to 1500 cells/mm3 had a higher risk of mortality compared with ALC > 1500 cells/mm3 (HR 1.51, 95% CI: 1.17-1.95; P = 0.002). These results were reproducible in subgroups of heart failure. When ALC was divided into four groups based on their levels, the lowest group of ALC had the highest risk of mortality. Conclusions: In patients with heart failure and both subgroups, ALC less than or equal to 1500 cells/mm3 had a higher risk of mortality. Patients in lower groups of the ALC categories had a higher risk of mortality.Item Active and receptive arts participation and their association with mortality among adults in the United States: a longitudinal cohort study(Elsevier, 2021) Story, Kristin M.; Yang, Ziyi; Bravata, Dawn M.; Biostatistics and Health Data Science, Richard M. Fairbanks School of Public HealthObjectives: The aim of the study was to explore associations between active and receptive arts participation and all-cause mortality among adults in the United States population. Study design: This was a prospective cohort study. Methods: Data were derived from the Health and Retirement Study. Separate Cox proportional hazards models were constructed for two cohorts (2012 and 2014) to examine associations between arts participation and mortality. Results: Independent of sociodemographic and health factors, participants aged ≥65 years had a higher mortality risk if they did not engage in music listening, hazard ratio (HR) 1.39 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.12-1.71); singing/playing an instrument, HR 1.49 (95% CI: 1.07-2.0); or doing arts and crafts, HR 1.39 (95% CI: 1.00-1.92). For participants aged <65 years, there was a higher mortality risk if they did not listen to music, HR 1.79 (95% CI: 1.07-3.01). Older participants from the 2014 cohort had a higher mortality risk if they did not engage in active arts, HR 1.73 (95% CI: 1.08-2.77). Conclusions: Engagement in the arts was associated with lower risk of mortality even after risk adjustment, especially for adults aged ≥65 years. Greater access and integration of arts in everyday life is recommended.Item Acute Kidney Injury Interacts With Coma, Acidosis, and Impaired Perfusion to Significantly Increase Risk of Death in Children With Severe Malaria(Oxford University Press, 2022) Namazzi, Ruth; Opoka, Robert; Datta, Dibyadyuti; Bangirana, Paul; Batte, Anthony; Berrens, Zachary; Goings, Michael J.; Schwaderer, Andrew L.; Conroy, Andrea L.; John, Chandy C.; Pediatrics, School of MedicineBackground: Mortality in severe malaria remains high in children treated with intravenous artesunate. Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common complication of severe malaria, but the interactions between AKI and other complications on the risk of mortality in severe malaria are not well characterized. Methods: Between 2014 and 2017, 600 children aged 6-48 months to 4 years hospitalized with severe malaria were enrolled in a prospective clinical cohort study evaluating clinical predictors of mortality in children with severe malaria. Results: The mean age of children in this cohort was 2.1 years (standard deviation, 0.9 years) and 338 children (56.3%) were male. Mortality was 7.3%, and 52.3% of deaths occurred within 12 hours of admission. Coma, acidosis, impaired perfusion, AKI, elevated blood urea nitrogen (BUN), and hyperkalemia were associated with increased mortality (all P < .001). AKI interacted with each risk factor to increase mortality (P < .001 for interaction). Children with clinical indications for dialysis (14.4% of all children) had an increased risk of death compared with those with no indications for dialysis (odds ratio, 6.56; 95% confidence interval, 3.41-12.59). Conclusions: AKI interacts with coma, acidosis, or impaired perfusion to significantly increase the risk of death in severe malaria. Among children with AKI, those who have hyperkalemia or elevated BUN have a higher risk of death. A better understanding of the causes of these complications of severe malaria, and development and implementation of measures to prevent and treat them, such as dialysis, are needed to reduce mortality in severe malaria.Item Acute kidney injury is associated with impaired cognition and chronic kidney disease in a prospective cohort of children with severe malaria(Springer Nature, 2019-05-21) Conroy, Andrea L.; Opoka, Robert O.; Bangirana, Paul; Idro, Richard; Ssenkusu, John M.; Datta, Dibyadyuti; Hodges, James S.; Morgan, Catherine; John, Chandy C.; Pediatrics, School of MedicineBACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a recognized complication of pediatric severe malaria, but its long-term consequences are unknown. METHODS: Ugandan children with cerebral malaria (CM, n = 260) and severe malaria anemia (SMA, n = 219) or community children (CC, n = 173) between 1.5 and 12 years of age were enrolled in a prospective cohort study. Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria were used to retrospectively define AKI and chronic kidney disease (CKD). Cognitive testing was conducted using the Mullen Scales of Early Learning in children < 5 and Kaufman Assessment Battery for Children (K-ABC) second edition in children ≥ 5 years of age. RESULTS: The prevalence of AKI was 35.1%, ranging from 25.1% in SMA to 43.5% in CM. In-hospital mortality was 11.9% in AKI compared to 4.2% in children without AKI (p = 0.001), and post-discharge mortality was 4.7% in AKI compared to 1.3% in children without AKI (p = 0.030) corresponding to an all-cause adjusted hazard ratio of 2.30 (95% CI 1.21, 4.35). AKI was a risk factor for short- and long-term neurocognitive impairment. At 1 week post-discharge, the frequency of neurocognitive impairment was 37.3% in AKI compared to 13.5% in children without AKI (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.31 [95% CI 1.32, 4.04]); at 1-year follow-up, it was 13.3% in AKI compared to 3.4% in children without AKI (aOR 2.48 [95% CI 1.01, 6.10]), and at 2-year follow-up, it was 13.0% in AKI compared to 3.4% in children without AKI (aOR 3.03 [95% CI 1.22, 7.58]). AKI was a risk factor for CKD at 1-year follow-up: 7.6% of children with severe malaria-associated AKI had CKD at follow-up compared to 2.8% of children without AKI (p = 0.038) corresponding to an OR of 2.81 (95% CI 1.02, 7.73). The presenting etiology of AKI was consistent with prerenal azotemia, and lactate dehydrogenase as a marker of intravascular hemolysis was an independent risk factor for AKI in CM and SMA (p < 0.0001). In CM, AKI was associated with the presence and severity of retinopathy (p < 0.05) and increased cerebrospinal fluid albumin suggestive of blood-brain barrier disruption. CONCLUSIONS: AKI is a risk factor for long-term neurocognitive impairment and CKD in pediatric severe malaria.Item Acute kidney injury, persistent kidney disease, and post-discharge morbidity and mortality in severe malaria in children: A prospective cohort study(Elsevier, 2022-02-12) Namazzi, Ruth; Batte, Anthony; Opoka, Robert O.; Bangirana, Paul; Schwaderer, Andrew L.; Berrens, Zachary; Datta, Dibyadyuti; Goings, Michael; Ssenkusu, John M.; Goldstein, Stuart L.; John, Chandy C.; Conroy, Andrea L.; Pediatrics, School of MedicineBackground: Globally, 85% of acute kidney injury (AKI) cases occur in low-and-middle-income countries. There is limited information on persistent kidney disease (acute kidney disease [AKD]) following severe malaria-associated AKI. Methods: Between March 28, 2014, and April 18, 2017, 598 children with severe malaria and 118 community children were enrolled in a two-site prospective cohort study in Uganda and followed up for 12 months. The Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria were used to define AKI (primary exposure) and AKD at 1-month follow-up (primary outcome). Plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) was assessed as a structural biomarker of AKI. Findings: The prevalence of AKI was 45·3% with 21·5% of children having unresolved AKI at 24 h. AKI was more common in Eastern Uganda. In-hospital mortality increased across AKI stages from 1·8% in children without AKI to 26·5% with Stage 3 AKI (p < 0·0001). Children with a high-risk plasma NGAL test were more likely to have unresolved AKI (OR, 7·00 95% CI 4·16 to 11·76) and die in hospital (OR, 6·02 95% CI 2·83 to 12·81). AKD prevalence was 15·6% at 1-month follow-up with most AKD occurring in Eastern Uganda. Risk factors for AKD included severe/unresolved AKI, blackwater fever, and a high-risk NGAL test (adjusted p < 0·05). Paracetamol use during hospitalization was associated with reduced AKD (p < 0·0001). Survivors with AKD post-AKI had higher post-discharge mortality (17·5%) compared with children without AKD (3·7%). Interpretation: Children with severe malaria-associated AKI are at risk of AKD and post-discharge mortality.Item Acute myocardial infarction-related mortality among older adults (≥65 years) with malignancy in the U.S. from 1999 to 2020(Elsevier, 2025-03-07) Naveed, Muhammad Abdullah; Neppala, Sivaram; Chigurupati, Himaja Dutt; Ali, Ahila; Rehan, Muhammad Omer; Fath, Ayman; Azeem, Bazil; Iqbal, Rabia; Mubeen, Manahil; Naveed, Hamza; Zafar, Muhammad Naveed Uz; Ahmed, Mushood; Rana, Jamal S.; Patel, Brijesh; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground: Acute Myocardial Infarction (AMI) in malignancy is a global threat, causing significant mortality and economic burden. They share common risk factors, highlighting the urgency of addressing this critical issue. Objective: This study analyzed demographic trends and disparities in mortality rates due to AMI in malignancy among adults aged 65 and older from 1999 to 2020. Methods: We used the CDC WONDER database to analyze Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) for AMI in malignancy patients (ICD-10 I21, C00-C97) from 1999 to 2020, stratifying by sex, race, geography, and metropolitan status. We calculated Average Annual Percentage Changes (AAPCs) and Annual Percentage Changes (APCs) per 100,000 with 95 % confidence intervals (CI) using Joinpoint regression. Results: Between 1999 and 2020, AMI in malignancy accounted for 172,691 deaths among adults aged ≥65 years, with the majority of deaths occurring in medical facilities (56.9 %). The overall AAMR for AMI in malignancy-related deaths decreased from 30.2 in 1999 to 14.2 in 2020, with an AAPC of -3.90 (p < 0.000001). Men showed higher AAMRs than women (28.6 vs. 12.3), with a more pronounced decrease in men (AAPC: 4.22, p < 0.000001) compared to women (AAPC: 3.78, p < 0.000001). Black individuals have the highest AAMR (22.7), followed by Whites (19.3). Arkansas had the highest AAMR (32.3), while Nevada had the lowest (8.1), with the Northeastern region having the highest regional AAMR (20.2), and nonmetropolitan areas had higher AAMRs. Conclusion: This study reveals significant demographic disparities in mortality rates related to AMI in malignant older adults. These findings emphasize the need for targeted interventions and improved access to care.