Browsing by Subject "Mortality"
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Item 100% of People Who Confuse Correlation With Causation Eventually Die(Sage, 2024-10-03) Schwalb, Jason M.; Neurological Surgery, School of MedicineItem A Comparative Analysis of Bleeding Peptic Ulcers in Hospitalizations With and Without End-Stage Renal Disease(Elmer Press, 2023) Dahiya, Dushyant Singh; Mandoorah, Sohaib; Gangwani, Manesh Kumar; Ali, Hassam; Merza, Nooraldin; Aziz, Muhammad; Singh, Amandeep; Perisetti, Abhilash; Garg, Rajat; Cheng, Chin-I; Dutta, Priyata; Inamdar, Sumant; Sanaka, Madhusudhan R.; Al-Haddad, Mohammad; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground: End-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients are highly susceptible to peptic ulcer bleeding (PUB). We aimed to assess the influence of ESRD status on PUB hospitalizations in the United States (USA). Methods: We analyzed the National Inpatient Sample to identify all adult PUB hospitalizations in the USA from 2007 to 2014, which were divided into two subgroups based on the presence or absence of ESRD. Hospitalization characteristics and clinical outcomes were compared. Furthermore, predictors of inpatient mortality for PUB hospitalizations with ESRD were identified. Results: Between 2007 and 2014, there were 351,965 PUB hospitalizations with ESRD compared to 2,037,037 non-ESRD PUB hospitalizations. PUB ESRD hospitalizations had a higher mean age (71.6 vs. 63.6 years, P < 0.001), and proportion of ethnic minorities i.e., Blacks, Hispanics, and Asians compared to the non-ESRD cohort. We also noted higher all-cause inpatient mortality (5.4% vs. 2.6%, P < 0.001), rates of esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) (20.7% vs. 19.1%, P < 0.001), and mean length of stay (LOS) (8.2 vs. 6 days, P < 0.001) for PUB ESRD hospitalizations compared to the non-ESRD cohort. After multivariate logistic regression analysis, Whites with ESRD had higher odds of mortality from PUB compared to Blacks. Furthermore, the odds of inpatient mortality from PUB decreased by 0.6% for every 1-year increase in age for hospitalizations with ESRD. Compared to the 2011 - 2014 study period, the 2007 - 2010 period had 43.7% higher odds (odds ratio (OR): 0.696, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.645 - 0.751) of inpatient mortality for PUB hospitalizations with ESRD. Conclusions: PUB hospitalizations with ESRD had higher inpatient mortality, EGD utilization, and mean LOS compared to non-ESRD PUB hospitalizations.Item A Metabolomics Approach to Identify Metabolites Associated With Mortality in Patients Receiving Maintenance Hemodialysis(Elsevier, 2024-06-29) Al Awadhi, Solaf; Myint, Leslie; Guallar, Eliseo; Clish, Clary B.; Wulczyn, Kendra E.; Kalim, Sahir; Thadhani, Ravi; Segev, Dorry L.; McAdams DeMarco, Mara; Moe, Sharon M.; Moorthi, Ranjani N.; Hostetter, Thomas H.; Himmelfarb, Jonathan; Meyer, Timothy W.; Powe, Neil R.; Tonelli, Marcello; Rhee, Eugene P.; Shafi, Tariq; Medicine, School of MedicineIntroduction: Uremic toxins contributing to increased risk of death remain largely unknown. We used untargeted metabolomics to identify plasma metabolites associated with mortality in patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis. Methods: We measured metabolites in serum samples from 522 Longitudinal US/Canada Incident Dialysis (LUCID) study participants. We assessed the association between metabolites and 1-year mortality, adjusting for age, sex, race, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, body mass index, serum albumin, Kt/Vurea, dialysis duration, and country. We modeled these associations using limma, a metabolite-wise linear model with empirical Bayesian inference, and 2 machine learning (ML) models: Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and random forest (RF). We accounted for multiple testing using a false discovery rate (pFDR) adjustment. We defined significant mortality-metabolite associations as pFDR < 0.1 in the limma model and metabolites of at least medium importance in both ML models. Results: The mean age of the participants was 64 years, the mean dialysis duration was 35 days, and there were 44 deaths (8.4%) during a 1-year follow-up period. Two metabolites were significantly associated with 1-year mortality. Quinolinate levels (a kynurenine pathway metabolite) were 1.72-fold higher in patients who died within year 1 compared with those who did not (pFDR, 0.009), wheras mesaconate levels (an emerging immunometabolite) were 1.57-fold higher (pFDR, 0.002). An additional 42 metabolites had high importance as per LASSO, 46 per RF, and 9 per both ML models but were not significant per limma. Conclusion: Quinolinate and mesaconate were significantly associated with a 1-year risk of death in incident patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis. External validation of our findings is needed.Item Absolute lymphocyte count as a predictor of mortality and readmission in heart failure hospitalization(Elsevier, 2022-03-05) Majmundar, Monil; Kansara, Tikal; Park, Hansang; Ibarra, Gabriel; Lenik, Joanna Marta; Shah, Palak; Kumar, Ashish; Doshi, Rajkumar; Zala, Harshvardhan; Chaudhari, Shobhana; Kalra, Ankur; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground: There is renewed interest in pursuing frugal and readily available laboratory markers to predict mortality and readmission in heart failure. We aim to determine the relationship between absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) and clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure hospitalization. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of patients with heart failure. Patients were divided into two groups based on ALC, less than or equal to 1500 cells/mm3 and > 1500 cells/ mm3. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. We did subgroup analysis based on ejection fraction and studied the association between ALC categories and clinical outcomes. Both ALC groups are matched by propensity score, outcomes were analyzed by Cox regression, and estimates are presented in hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results: We included 1029 patients in the pre-matched cohort and 766 patients in the propensity-score matched cohort. The median age was 64 years (IQR, 54-75), and 60.78% were male. In the matched cohort, ALC less than or equal to 1500 cells/mm3 had a higher risk of mortality compared with ALC > 1500 cells/mm3 (HR 1.51, 95% CI: 1.17-1.95; P = 0.002). These results were reproducible in subgroups of heart failure. When ALC was divided into four groups based on their levels, the lowest group of ALC had the highest risk of mortality. Conclusions: In patients with heart failure and both subgroups, ALC less than or equal to 1500 cells/mm3 had a higher risk of mortality. Patients in lower groups of the ALC categories had a higher risk of mortality.Item Active and receptive arts participation and their association with mortality among adults in the United States: a longitudinal cohort study(Elsevier, 2021) Story, Kristin M.; Yang, Ziyi; Bravata, Dawn M.; Biostatistics and Health Data Science, Richard M. Fairbanks School of Public HealthObjectives: The aim of the study was to explore associations between active and receptive arts participation and all-cause mortality among adults in the United States population. Study design: This was a prospective cohort study. Methods: Data were derived from the Health and Retirement Study. Separate Cox proportional hazards models were constructed for two cohorts (2012 and 2014) to examine associations between arts participation and mortality. Results: Independent of sociodemographic and health factors, participants aged ≥65 years had a higher mortality risk if they did not engage in music listening, hazard ratio (HR) 1.39 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.12-1.71); singing/playing an instrument, HR 1.49 (95% CI: 1.07-2.0); or doing arts and crafts, HR 1.39 (95% CI: 1.00-1.92). For participants aged <65 years, there was a higher mortality risk if they did not listen to music, HR 1.79 (95% CI: 1.07-3.01). Older participants from the 2014 cohort had a higher mortality risk if they did not engage in active arts, HR 1.73 (95% CI: 1.08-2.77). Conclusions: Engagement in the arts was associated with lower risk of mortality even after risk adjustment, especially for adults aged ≥65 years. Greater access and integration of arts in everyday life is recommended.Item Acute Kidney Injury Interacts With Coma, Acidosis, and Impaired Perfusion to Significantly Increase Risk of Death in Children With Severe Malaria(Oxford University Press, 2022) Namazzi, Ruth; Opoka, Robert; Datta, Dibyadyuti; Bangirana, Paul; Batte, Anthony; Berrens, Zachary; Goings, Michael J.; Schwaderer, Andrew L.; Conroy, Andrea L.; John, Chandy C.; Pediatrics, School of MedicineBackground: Mortality in severe malaria remains high in children treated with intravenous artesunate. Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common complication of severe malaria, but the interactions between AKI and other complications on the risk of mortality in severe malaria are not well characterized. Methods: Between 2014 and 2017, 600 children aged 6-48 months to 4 years hospitalized with severe malaria were enrolled in a prospective clinical cohort study evaluating clinical predictors of mortality in children with severe malaria. Results: The mean age of children in this cohort was 2.1 years (standard deviation, 0.9 years) and 338 children (56.3%) were male. Mortality was 7.3%, and 52.3% of deaths occurred within 12 hours of admission. Coma, acidosis, impaired perfusion, AKI, elevated blood urea nitrogen (BUN), and hyperkalemia were associated with increased mortality (all P < .001). AKI interacted with each risk factor to increase mortality (P < .001 for interaction). Children with clinical indications for dialysis (14.4% of all children) had an increased risk of death compared with those with no indications for dialysis (odds ratio, 6.56; 95% confidence interval, 3.41-12.59). Conclusions: AKI interacts with coma, acidosis, or impaired perfusion to significantly increase the risk of death in severe malaria. Among children with AKI, those who have hyperkalemia or elevated BUN have a higher risk of death. A better understanding of the causes of these complications of severe malaria, and development and implementation of measures to prevent and treat them, such as dialysis, are needed to reduce mortality in severe malaria.Item Acute kidney injury is associated with impaired cognition and chronic kidney disease in a prospective cohort of children with severe malaria(Springer Nature, 2019-05-21) Conroy, Andrea L.; Opoka, Robert O.; Bangirana, Paul; Idro, Richard; Ssenkusu, John M.; Datta, Dibyadyuti; Hodges, James S.; Morgan, Catherine; John, Chandy C.; Pediatrics, School of MedicineBACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a recognized complication of pediatric severe malaria, but its long-term consequences are unknown. METHODS: Ugandan children with cerebral malaria (CM, n = 260) and severe malaria anemia (SMA, n = 219) or community children (CC, n = 173) between 1.5 and 12 years of age were enrolled in a prospective cohort study. Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria were used to retrospectively define AKI and chronic kidney disease (CKD). Cognitive testing was conducted using the Mullen Scales of Early Learning in children < 5 and Kaufman Assessment Battery for Children (K-ABC) second edition in children ≥ 5 years of age. RESULTS: The prevalence of AKI was 35.1%, ranging from 25.1% in SMA to 43.5% in CM. In-hospital mortality was 11.9% in AKI compared to 4.2% in children without AKI (p = 0.001), and post-discharge mortality was 4.7% in AKI compared to 1.3% in children without AKI (p = 0.030) corresponding to an all-cause adjusted hazard ratio of 2.30 (95% CI 1.21, 4.35). AKI was a risk factor for short- and long-term neurocognitive impairment. At 1 week post-discharge, the frequency of neurocognitive impairment was 37.3% in AKI compared to 13.5% in children without AKI (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.31 [95% CI 1.32, 4.04]); at 1-year follow-up, it was 13.3% in AKI compared to 3.4% in children without AKI (aOR 2.48 [95% CI 1.01, 6.10]), and at 2-year follow-up, it was 13.0% in AKI compared to 3.4% in children without AKI (aOR 3.03 [95% CI 1.22, 7.58]). AKI was a risk factor for CKD at 1-year follow-up: 7.6% of children with severe malaria-associated AKI had CKD at follow-up compared to 2.8% of children without AKI (p = 0.038) corresponding to an OR of 2.81 (95% CI 1.02, 7.73). The presenting etiology of AKI was consistent with prerenal azotemia, and lactate dehydrogenase as a marker of intravascular hemolysis was an independent risk factor for AKI in CM and SMA (p < 0.0001). In CM, AKI was associated with the presence and severity of retinopathy (p < 0.05) and increased cerebrospinal fluid albumin suggestive of blood-brain barrier disruption. CONCLUSIONS: AKI is a risk factor for long-term neurocognitive impairment and CKD in pediatric severe malaria.Item Acute kidney injury, persistent kidney disease, and post-discharge morbidity and mortality in severe malaria in children: A prospective cohort study(Elsevier, 2022-02-12) Namazzi, Ruth; Batte, Anthony; Opoka, Robert O.; Bangirana, Paul; Schwaderer, Andrew L.; Berrens, Zachary; Datta, Dibyadyuti; Goings, Michael; Ssenkusu, John M.; Goldstein, Stuart L.; John, Chandy C.; Conroy, Andrea L.; Pediatrics, School of MedicineBackground: Globally, 85% of acute kidney injury (AKI) cases occur in low-and-middle-income countries. There is limited information on persistent kidney disease (acute kidney disease [AKD]) following severe malaria-associated AKI. Methods: Between March 28, 2014, and April 18, 2017, 598 children with severe malaria and 118 community children were enrolled in a two-site prospective cohort study in Uganda and followed up for 12 months. The Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria were used to define AKI (primary exposure) and AKD at 1-month follow-up (primary outcome). Plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) was assessed as a structural biomarker of AKI. Findings: The prevalence of AKI was 45·3% with 21·5% of children having unresolved AKI at 24 h. AKI was more common in Eastern Uganda. In-hospital mortality increased across AKI stages from 1·8% in children without AKI to 26·5% with Stage 3 AKI (p < 0·0001). Children with a high-risk plasma NGAL test were more likely to have unresolved AKI (OR, 7·00 95% CI 4·16 to 11·76) and die in hospital (OR, 6·02 95% CI 2·83 to 12·81). AKD prevalence was 15·6% at 1-month follow-up with most AKD occurring in Eastern Uganda. Risk factors for AKD included severe/unresolved AKI, blackwater fever, and a high-risk NGAL test (adjusted p < 0·05). Paracetamol use during hospitalization was associated with reduced AKD (p < 0·0001). Survivors with AKD post-AKI had higher post-discharge mortality (17·5%) compared with children without AKD (3·7%). Interpretation: Children with severe malaria-associated AKI are at risk of AKD and post-discharge mortality.Item Acute pancreatitis in liver transplant hospitalizations: Identifying national trends, clinical outcomes and healthcare burden in the United States(Baishideng Publishing Group, 2023) Dahiya, Dushyant Singh; Jahagirdar, Vinay; Chandan, Saurabh; Gangwani, Manesh Kumar; Merza, Nooraldin; Ali, Hassam; Deliwala, Smit; Aziz, Muhammad; Ramai, Daryl; Pinnam, Bhanu Siva Mohan; Bapaye, Jay; Cheng, Chin-I; Inamdar, Sumant; Sharma, Neil R.; Al-Haddad, Mohammad; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground: Acute pancreatitis (AP) in liver transplant (LT) recipients may lead to poor clinical outcomes and development of severe complications. Aim: We aimed to assess national trends, clinical outcomes, and the healthcare burden of LT hospitalizations with AP in the United States (US). Methods: The National Inpatient Sample was utilized to identify all adult (≥ 18 years old) LT hospitalizations with AP in the US from 2007-2019. Non-LT AP hospitalizations served as controls for comparative analysis. National trends of hospitalization characteristics, clinical outcomes, complications, and healthcare burden for LT hospitalizations with AP were highlighted. Hospitalization characteristics, clinical outcomes, complications, and healthcare burden were also compared between the LT and non-LT cohorts. Furthermore, predictors of inpatient mortality for LT hospitalizations with AP were identified. All P values ≤ 0.05 were considered statistically significant. Results: The total number of LT hospitalizations with AP increased from 305 in 2007 to 610 in 2019. There was a rising trend of Hispanic (16.5% in 2007 to 21.1% in 2018, P-trend = 0.0009) and Asian (4.3% in 2007 to 7.4% in 2019, p-trend = 0.0002) LT hospitalizations with AP, while a decline was noted for Blacks (11% in 2007 to 8.3% in 2019, P-trend = 0.0004). Furthermore, LT hospitalizations with AP had an increasing comorbidity burden as the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) score ≥ 3 increased from 41.64% in 2007 to 62.30% in 2019 (P-trend < 0.0001). We did not find statistically significant trends in inpatient mortality, mean length of stay (LOS), and mean total healthcare charge (THC) for LT hospitalizations with AP despite rising trends of complications such as sepsis, acute kidney failure (AKF), acute respiratory failure (ARF), abdominal abscesses, portal vein thrombosis (PVT), and venous thromboembolism (VTE). Between 2007-2019, 6863 LT hospitalizations with AP were compared to 5649980 non-LT AP hospitalizations. LT hospitalizations with AP were slightly older (53.5 vs 52.6 years, P = 0.017) and had a higher proportion of patients with CCI ≥ 3 (51.5% vs 19.8%, P < 0.0001) compared to the non-LT cohort. Additionally, LT hospitalizations with AP had a higher proportion of Whites (67.9% vs 64.6%, P < 0.0001) and Asians (4% vs 2.3%, P < 0.0001), while the non-LT cohort had a higher proportion of Blacks and Hispanics. Interestingly, LT hospitalizations with AP had lower inpatient mortality (1.37% vs 2.16%, P = 0.0479) compared to the non-LT cohort despite having a higher mean age, CCI scores, and complications such as AKF, PVT, VTE, and the need for blood transfusion. However, LT hospitalizations with AP had a higher mean THC ($59596 vs $50466, P = 0.0429) than the non-LT cohort. Conclusion: In the US, LT hospitalizations with AP were on the rise, particularly for Hispanics and Asians. However, LT hospitalizations with AP had lower inpatient mortality compared to non-LT AP hospitalizations.Item Adverse outcomes and correlates of change in the Short Physical Performance Battery over 36 months in the African American health project(Oxford University Press, 2008-05) Miller, Douglas K.; Wolinsky, Fredric D.; Andresen, Elena M.; Malstrom, Theodore K.; Miller, J. Philip; Department of Medicine, IU School of MedicineBACKGROUND: The Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB) is a well-established measure of lower body physical functioning in older persons but has not been adequately examined in African Americans or younger persons. Moreover, factors associated with changes in SPPB over time have not been reported. METHODS: A representative sample of 998 African Americans (49-65 years old at baseline) living in St. Louis, Missouri were followed for 36 months to examine the predictive validity of SPPB in this population and identify factors associated with changes in SPPB. SPPB was calibrated to this population, ranged from 0 (worst) to 12 (best), and required imputation for about 50% of scores. Adverse outcomes of baseline SPPB included death, nursing home placement, hospitalization, physician visits, incident basic and instrumental activity of daily living disabilities, and functional limitations. Changes in SPPB over 36 months were modeled. RESULTS: Adjusted for appropriate covariates, weighted appropriately, and using propensity scores to address potential selection bias, baseline SPPB scores were associated with all adverse outcomes except physician visits, and were marginally associated with hospitalization. Declines in SPPB scores were associated with low falls efficacy (b = -1.311), perceived income adequacy (-0.121), older age (-0.073 per year), poor vision (-0.754), diabetes mellitus (-0.565), refusal to report household income (1.48), ever had Medicaid insurance (-0.610), obesity (-0.437), hospitalization in the prior year (-0.521), and kidney disease (-.956). CONCLUSIONS: The effect of baseline SPPB on adverse outcomes in this late middle-age African American population confirms reports involving older, primarily white participants. Alleviating deterioration in lower body physical functioning guided by the associated covariates may avoid or delay multiple age-associated adverse outcomes.