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Item Agreement Between Magnetic Resonance Imaging Proton Density Fat Fraction Measurements and Pathologist-assigned Steatosis Grades of Liver Biopsies from Adults with Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis(Elsevier, 2017) Middleton, Michael S.; Heba, Elhamy R.; Hooker, Catherine A.; Bashir, Mustafa R.; Fowler, Kathryn J.; Sandrasegaran, Kumar; Brunt, Elizabeth M.; Kleiner, David E.; Doo, Edward; Van Natta, Mark L.; Tonascia, James; Lavine, Joel E.; Neuschwander-Tetri, Brent A.; Sanyal, Arun; Loomba, Rohit; Sirlin, Claude B.; Department of Radiology and Imaging Sciences, IU School of MedicineBackground & Aims We assessed the diagnostic performance of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) proton density fat fraction (PDFF) in grading hepatic steatosis and change in hepatic steatosis in adults with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) in a multi-center study, using central histology as reference. Methods We collected data from 113 adults with NASH participating in a multi-center, randomized, double-masked, placebo-controlled, phase 2b trial to compare the efficacy cross-sectionally and longitudinally of obeticholic acid vs placebo. Hepatic steatosis was assessed at baseline and after 72 weeks of obeticholic acid or placebo by liver biopsy and MRI (scanners from different manufacturers, at 1.5T or 3T). We compared steatosis estimates by PDFF vs histology. Histologic steatosis grade was scored in consensus by a pathology committee. Cross-validated receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were performed. Results At baseline, 34% of subjects had steatosis grade 0 or 1, 39% had steatosis grade 2, and 27% had steatosis grade 3; corresponding mean PDFF values were 9.8%±3.7%, 18.1%±4.3%, and 30.1%±8.1%. PDFF classified steatosis grade 0–1 vs 2–3 with an area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of 0.95 (95% CI, 0.91–0.98), and grade 0–2 vs grade 3 steatosis with an AUROC of 0.96 (95% CI, 0.93–0.99). PDFF cut-off values at 90% specificity were 16.3% for grades 2–3 and 21.7% for grade 3, with corresponding sensitivities of 83% and 84%. After 72 weeks' of obeticholic vs placebo, 42% of subjects had a reduced steatosis grade (mean reduction in PDFF from baseline of 7.4%±8.7%), 49% had no change in steatosis grade (mean increase in PDFF from baseline of 0.3%±6.3%), and 9% had an increased steatosis grade (mean increase in PDFF from baseline of 7.7%±6.0%). PDFF change identified subjects with reduced steatosis grade with an AUROC of 0.81 (95% CI, 0.71–0.91) and increased steatosis grade with an AUROC of 0.81 (95% CI, 0.63–0.99). A PDFF reduction of 5.15% identified subjects with reduced steatosis grade with 90% specificity and 58% sensitivity, whereas a PDFF increase of 5.6% identified those with increased steatosis grade with 90% specificity and 57% sensitivity. Conclusions Based on data from a phase 2 randomized controlled trial of adults with NASH, PDFF estimated by MRI scanners of different field strength and at different sites, accurately classifies grades and changes in hepatic steatosis when histologic analysis of biopsies is used as a reference.Item Association of Histologic Disease Activity With Progression of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease(JAMA Network, 2019-10-02) Kleiner, David E.; Brunt, Elizabeth M.; Wilson, Laura A.; Behling, Cynthia; Guy, Cynthia; Contos, Melissa; Cummings, Oscar; Yeh, Matthew; Gill, Ryan; Chalasani, Naga; Neuschwander-Tetri, Brent A.; Diehl, Anna Mae; Dasarathy, Srinivasan; Terrault, Norah; Kowdley, Kris; Loomba, Rohit; Belt, Patricia; Tonascia, James; Lavine, Joel E.; Sanyal, Arun J.; Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Clinical Research Network; Medicine, School of MedicineImportance: The histologic evolution of the full spectrum of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and factors associated with progression or regression remain to be definitively established. Objective: To evaluate the histologic evolution of NAFLD and the factors associated with changes in disease severity over time. Design, Setting, and Participants: A prospective cohort substudy from the Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Clinical Research Network (NASH CRN) NAFLD Database study, a noninterventional registry, was performed at 8 university medical research centers. Masked assessment of liver histologic specimens was performed, using a prespecified protocol to score individual biopsies. Participants included 446 adults with NAFLD enrolled in the NASH CRN Database studies between October 27, 2004, and September 13, 2013, who underwent 2 liver biopsies 1 or more year apart. Data analysis was performed from October 2016 to October 2018. Main Outcomes and Measures: Progression and regression of fibrosis stage, using clinical, laboratory, and histologic findings, including the NAFLD activity score (NAS) (sum of scores for steatosis, lobular inflammation, and ballooning; range, 0-8, with 8 indicating more severe disease). Results: A total of 446 adults (mean [SD] age, 47 [11] years; 294 [65.9%] women) with NAFLD (NAFL, 86 [19.3%]), borderline NASH (84 [18.8%]), and definite NASH (276 [61.9%]) were studied. Over a mean (SD) interval of 4.9 (2.8) years between biopsies, NAFL resolved in 11 patients (12.8%) and progressed to steatohepatitis in 36 patients (41.9%). Steatohepatitis resolved in 24 (28.6%) of the patients with borderline NASH and 61 (22.1%) of those with definite NASH. Fibrosis progression or regression by at least 1 stage occurred in 132 (30%) and 151 [34%] participants, respectively. Metabolic syndrome (20 [95%] vs 108 [72%]; P = .03), baseline NAS (mean [SD], 5.0 [1.4] vs 4.3 [1.6]; P = .005), and smaller reduction in NAS (-0.2 [2] vs -0.9 [2]; P < .001) were associated with progression to advanced (stage 3-4) fibrosis vs those without progression to stage 3 to 4 fibrosis. Fibrosis regression was associated with lower baseline insulin level (20 vs 33 μU/mL; P = .02) and decrease in all NAS components (steatosis grade -0.8 [0.1] vs -0.3 [0.9]; P < .001; lobular inflammation -0.5 [0.8] vs -0.2 [0.9]; P < .001; ballooning -0.7 [1.1] vs -0.1 [0.9]; P < .001). Only baseline aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels were associated with fibrosis regression vs no change and progression vs no change on multivariable regression: baseline AST (regression: conditional odds ratio [cOR], 0.6 per 10 U/L AST; 95% CI, 0.4-0.7; P < .001; progression: cOR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1-1.5; P = .002). Changes in the AST level, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level, and NAS were also associated with fibrosis regression and progression (ΔAST level: regression, cOR, 0.9; 95% CI, 0.6-1.2; P = .47; progression, cOR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.0-1.6; P = .02; ΔALT level: regression, cOR, 0.7 per 10 U/L AST; 95% CI, 0.5-0.9; P = .002; progression, cOR, 1.0 per 10 U/L AST; 95% CI, 0.9-1.2; P = .93; ΔNAS: regression, cOR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.6-0.9; P = .001; progression, cOR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1-1.5; P = .01). Conclusions and Relevance: Improvement or worsening of disease activity may be associated with fibrosis regression or progression, respectively, in NAFLD.Item Comparison of clinical prediction rules for ruling out cirrhosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)(Wiley, 2022) Brandman, Danielle; Boyle, Marie; McPherson, Stuart; Van Natta, Mark L.; Sanyal, Arun J.; Kowdley, Kris; Neuschwander-Tetri, Brent; Chalasani, Naga; Abdelmalek, Manal F.; Terrault, Norah A.; McCullough, Art; Bettencourt, Ricki; Caussy, Cyrielle; Kleiner, David E.; Behling, Cynthia; Tonascia, James; Anstee, Quentin M.; Loomba, Rohit; Members of the Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Clinical Research Network; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground and aims: Patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) cirrhosis benefit from referral to subspecialty care. While several clinical prediction rules exist to identify advanced fibrosis, the cutoff for excluding cirrhosis due to NAFLD is unclear. This analysis compared clinical prediction rules for excluding biopsy-proven cirrhosis in NAFLD. Methods: Adult patients were enrolled in the NASH Clinical Research Network (US) and the Newcastle Cohort (UK). Clinical and laboratory data were collected at enrolment, and a liver biopsy was taken within 1 year of enrolment. Optimal cutoffs for each score (eg, FIB-4) to exclude cirrhosis were derived from the US cohort, and sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and AUROC were calculated. The cutoffs were evaluated in the UK cohort. Results: 147/1483 (10%) patients in the US cohort had cirrhosis. All prediction rules had similarly high NPV (0.95-0.97). FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis scores were the most accurate in characterising patients as having cirrhosis (AUROC 0.84-0.86). 59/494 (12%) patients in the UK cohort had cirrhosis. Prediction rules had high NPV (0.92-0.96), and FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis score the most accurate in the prediction of cirrhosis in the UK cohort (AUROC 0.87-0.89). Conclusions: This cross-sectional analysis of large, multicentre international datasets shows that current clinical prediction rules perform well in excluding cirrhosis with appropriately chosen cutoffs. These clinical prediction rules can be used in primary care to identify patients, particularly those who are white, female, and <65, unlikely to have cirrhosis so higher-risk patients maintain access to specialty care.Item Defining the serum proteomic signature of hepatic steatosis, inflammation, ballooning and fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease(Elsevier, 2023) Sanyal, Arun J.; Williams, Stephen A.; Lavine, Joel E.; Neuschwander-Tetri, Brent A.; Alexander, Leigh; Ostroff, Rachel; Biegel, Hannah; Kowdley, Kris V.; Chalasani, Naga; Dasarathy, Srinivasan; Diehl, Anna Mae; Loomba, Rohit; Hameed, Bilal; Behling, Cynthia; Kleiner, David E.; Karpen, Saul J.; Williams, Jessica; Jia, Yi; Yates, Katherine P.; Tonascia, James; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground & aims: Despite recent progress, non-invasive tests for the diagnostic assessment and monitoring of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) remain an unmet need. Herein, we aimed to identify diagnostic signatures of the key histological features of NAFLD. Methods: Using modified-aptamer proteomics, we assayed 5,220 proteins in each of 2,852 single serum samples from 636 individuals with histologically confirmed NAFLD. We developed and validated dichotomized protein-phenotype models to identify clinically relevant severities of steatosis (grade 0 vs. 1-3), hepatocellular ballooning (0 vs. 1 or 2), lobular inflammation (0-1 vs. 2-3) and fibrosis (stages 0-1 vs. 2-4). Results: The AUCs of the four protein models, based on 37 analytes (18 not previously linked to NAFLD), for the diagnosis of their respective components (at a clinically relevant severity) in training/paired validation sets were: fibrosis (AUC 0.92/0.85); steatosis (AUC 0.95/0.79), inflammation (AUC 0.83/0.72), and ballooning (AUC 0.87/0.83). An additional outcome, at-risk NASH, defined as steatohepatitis with NAFLD activity score ≥4 (with a score of at least 1 for each of its components) and fibrosis stage ≥2, was predicted by multiplying the outputs of each individual component model (AUC 0.93/0.85). We further evaluated their ability to detect change in histology following treatment with placebo, pioglitazone, vitamin E or obeticholic acid. Component model scores significantly improved in the active therapies vs. placebo, and differential effects of vitamin E, pioglitazone, and obeticholic acid were identified. Conclusions: Serum protein scanning identified signatures corresponding to the key components of liver biopsy in NAFLD. The models developed were sufficiently sensitive to characterize the longitudinal change for three different drug interventions. These data support continued validation of these proteomic models to enable a "liquid biopsy"-based assessment of NAFLD.Item Fibrosis Progression Rate in Biopsy-Proven Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Among People With Diabetes Versus People Without Diabetes: A Multicenter Study(Elsevier, 2023-08) Huang, Daniel Q.; Wilson, Laura A.; Behling, Cynthia; Kleiner, David E.; Kowdley, Kris V.; Dasarathy, Srinivasan; Amangurbanova, Maral; Terrault, Norah A.; Diehl, Anna Mae; Chalasani, Naga; Neuschwander-Tetri, Brent A.; Sanyal, Arun J.; Tonascia, James; Loomba, Rohit; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground & Aims There are limited data regarding fibrosis progression in biopsy-proven nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in people with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) compared with people without T2DM. We assessed the time to fibrosis progression in people with T2DM compared with people without T2DM in a large, multicenter, study of people with NAFLD who had paired liver biopsies. Methods This study included 447 adult participants (64% were female) with NAFLD who had paired liver biopsies more than 1 year apart. Liver histology was systematically assessed by a central pathology committee blinded to clinical data. The primary outcome was the cumulative incidence of a ≥1-stage increase in fibrosis in participants with T2DM compared with participants without T2DM. Results The mean (SD) age and body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters) were 50.9 (11.5) years and 34.7 (6.3), respectively. The median time between biopsies was 3.3 years (interquartile range, 1.8–6.1 years). Participants with T2DM had a significantly higher cumulative incidence of fibrosis progression at 4 years (24% vs 20%), 8 years (60% vs 50%), and 12 years (93% vs 76%) (P = .005). Using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for multiple confounders, T2DM remained an independent predictor of fibrosis progression (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.17–2.43; P = .005). The cumulative incidence of fibrosis regression by ≥1 stage was similar in participants with T2DM compared with participants without T2DM (P = .24). Conclusions In this large, multicenter cohort study of well-characterized participants with NAFLD and paired liver biopsies, we found that fibrosis progressed faster in participants with T2DM compared with participants without T2DM. These data have important implications for clinical practice and trial design.Item Haptoglobin 2 Allele is Associated With Histologic Response to Vitamin E in Subjects With Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis(Wolters Kluwer, 2020-11) Banini, Bubu A.; Cazanave, Sophie C.; Yates, Katherine P.; Asgharpour, Amon; Vincent, Robert; Mirshahi, Faridoddin; Le, Peter; Contos, Melissa J.; Tonascia, James; Chalasani, Naga P.; Kowdley, Kris V.; McCullough, Arthur J.; Behling, Cynthia A.; Schwimmer, Jeffrey B.; Lavine, Joel E.; Sanyal, Arun J.; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground: Haptoglobin (Hp) genotype has been linked to oxidative stress and response to vitamin E (VitE) in patients with dyslipidemia. Its effect on histological response to VitE in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is unknown. Goals: Our objective was to determine if Hp genotype associates with response to VitE in patients with NASH. Study: A post hoc analysis of 228 patients receiving VitE or placebo in two clinical trials was performed. Regression analysis was used to assess the effect of VitE versus placebo, by Hp genotype (1–1, 2–1, or 2–2), on histologic features and laboratory markers of liver disease, comparing baseline to end of treatment values. An interaction term was included in the regression models to assess differential treatment effect across Hp genotype. Results: Hp 2–2 patients treated with VitE versus placebo showed significant histologic improvement (51% versus 20%, OR=4·2, p=0·006), resolution of steatohepatitis (44% versus 12%, OR=6.2, p=0·009), decrease in NAFLD Activity Score (NAS) (−2·2 versus −0·6, p=0·001), and decrease in liver enzymes alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, alkaline phosphatase and γ-glutamyl transpeptidase. Hp 2–1 patients on VitE versus placebo showed improved resolution of steatohepatitis, NAS and liver enzymes. Hp 1–1 patients showed no significant improvement in histology or liver enzymes. VitE had no effect on fibrosis stage in any group. Regression analysis showed incremental benefit of having Hp 2–2 or 2–1 versus 1–1 for all liver enzymes. Conclusion: Hp 2 allele is associated with greater histological and biological improvement in NASH with VitE treatment compared to the Hp 1 allele.Item Histologic Findings of Advanced Fibrosis and Cirrhosis in Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Who Have Normal Aminotransferase Levels(Wolters Kluwer, 2019-10-01) Gawrieh, Samer; Wilson, Laura A.; Cummings, Oscar W.; Clark, Jeanne M.; Loomba, Rohit; Hameed, Bilal; Abdelmalek, Manal F.; Dasarathy, Srinivasan; Neuschwander-Tetri, Brent A.; Kowdley, Kris; Kleiner, David; Doo, Edward; Tonascia, James; Sanyal, Arun; Chalasani, Naga; Network and the NASH Clinical Research; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground and aims: Patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and normal aminotransferase levels may have advanced liver histology. We conducted a study to characterize the prevalence of and factors associated with advanced liver histology in patients with histologically characterized NAFLD and normal aminotransferase levels. Methods: We evaluated 534 adults with biopsy-proven NAFLD and ALT and AST < 40 U/L within 3 months of their liver biopsy. Histological phenotypes of primary interest were NASH with stage 2-3 fibrosis (NASH F2-3) and cirrhosis. Using multiple logistic regression models with Akaike’s Information Criteria (AIC), we identified variables associated with these histological phenotypes. We developed and internally validated their clinical prediction models. Results: The prevalence of NASH F2-F3 and cirrhosis were 19% and 7%, respectively. The best multiple regression AIC model for NASH F2-3 consisted of type 2 diabetes, White race, lower LDL, lower platelet count, higher AST/ALT ratio, higher serum triglycerides, and hypertension. The best AIC model for cirrhosis consisted of lower platelet count, lower AST/ALT ratio, higher BMI, and female sex. The area under the receiver operator curves of the prediction models were 0.70 (95% CI: 0.65-0.76) for detecting NASH-F2-3 and 0.85 (95% CI: 0.77-0.92) for detecting cirrhosis. When models were fixed at maximum Youden’s index, their positive and negative predictive values were 35% and 88% for NASH F2-F3 and 30% and 98% for cirrhosis, respectively. Conclusion: Clinically significant histological phenotypes are observed in patients with NAFLD and normal aminotransferase levels. Our models can assist the clinicians in excluding advanced liver histology in NAFLD patients with normal aminotransferase levels.Item Nutrition assessment and MASH severity in children using the Healthy Eating Index(Wolters Kluwer, 2023-12-07) Jain, Ajay Kumar; Buchannan, Paula; Yates, Katherine P.; Belt, Patricia; Schwimmer, Jeffrey B.; Rosenthal, Philip; Murray, Karen F.; Molleston, Jean P.; Scheimann, Ann; Xanthakos, Stavra A.; Behling, Cynthia A.; Hertel, Paula; Nilson, Jamie; Neuschwander-Tetri, Brent A.; Tonascia, James; Vos, Miriam B.; Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Clinical Research Network (NASH CRN); Pediatrics, School of MedicineBackground: Pediatric metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is a global health problem, with lifestyle modification as its major therapeutic strategy. Rigorous characterization of dietary content on MAFLD in children is lacking. We hypothesized an objectively measured healthier diet would positively modulate MAFLD. Methods: Diet was assessed using the Nutrition Data System for Research in children enrolled from 10 tertiary clinical centers to determine the Healthy Eating Index (HEI, 0-100) and individual food components. Results: In all, 119 children were included (13.3 ± 2.7 y), 80 (67%) male, 67 (18%) White, and 90 (76%) Hispanic, with an average body mass index Z-score of 2.2 ± 0.5. Diet was classified as low HEI < 47.94 (n = 39), mid HEI ≥ 47.94 and < 58.89 (n = 41), or high HEI ≥ 58.89 (n=39). Children with high HEI (healthier diet) had lower body weight (p = 0.005) and more favorable lipids. Mean serum triglycerides for low, mid, and high HEI were 163, 148, and 120 mg/dL, respectively; p = 0.04 mid versus high, p = 0.01 low versus high. Mean HDL was 38, 41 and 43 mg/dL; p = 0.02 low vs high. Less severe steatosis was noted with added sugar ≤ 10% of calories (p = 0.03). Higher lobular inflammation is associated with a higher percentage of calories from fat (OR (95% CI) = 0.95 (0.91-1.00), p = 0.04). Conclusions: In children with MAFLD, high HEI is associated with lower body weight and more favorable lipids, while added sugar and fat intake has individual histologic features. Differential consumption of major dietary components may modify both metabolic risk factors and histologic liver injury, highlighting the importance of objective diet assessments in children with MAFLD.Item Progression of Fatty Liver Disease in Children Receiving Standard of Care Lifestyle Advice(Elsevier, 2020-11) Xanthakos, Stavra A.; Lavine, Joel E.; Yates, Katherine P.; Schwimmer, Jeffrey B.; Molleston, Jean P.; Rosenthal, Philip; Murray, Karen F.; Vos, Miriam B.; Jain, Ajay K.; Scheimann, Ann O.; Miloh, Tamir; Fishbein, Mark; Behling, Cynthia A.; Brunt, Elizabeth M.; Sanyal, Arun J.; Tonascia, James; Pediatrics, School of MedicineBackground & aims: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common pediatric chronic liver disease. Little is known about outcomes in recognized youth. Methods: We compared paired liver biopsies from 122 of 139 children with NAFLD (74% male; 64% white; 71% Hispanic; mean age, 13 ± 3 years; age range, 8-17 years) who received placebo and standard of care lifestyle advice in 2 double-blind, randomized clinical trials within the nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) clinical research network from 2005 through 2015. We analyzed histologic changes with respect to baseline and longitudinal change in clinical variables using regression analysis. Results: At enrollment, 31% of the children had definite NASH, 34% had borderline zone 1 NASH, 13% had borderline zone 3 NASH, and 21% had fatty liver but not NASH. Over a mean period of 1.6 ± 0.4 years, borderline or definite NASH resolved in 29% of the children, whereas 18% of the children with fatty liver or borderline NASH developed definite NASH. Fibrosis improved in 34% of the children but worsened in 23%. Any progression to definite NASH and/or in fibrosis was associated with adolescent age, and higher waist circumference, levels of alanine or aspartate aminotransferase, total and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol at baseline (<0.05), and over follow-up time, with increasing level of alanine aminotransferase, hemoglobin A1C (P<.05), gamma-glutamyl transferase and development of type 2 diabetes (P<.01). Increasing level of gamma-glutamyl transferase was also associated with reduced odds of any improvement (P = .003). Conclusions: One-third of children with NAFLD enrolled in placebo groups of clinical trials had histologic features of progression within 2 years, in association with increasing obesity and serum levels of aminotransferases and loss of glucose homeostasis.Item Prospective Study of Outcomes in Adults with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease(Massachusetts Medical Society, 2021) Sanyal, Arun J.; Van Natta, Mark L.; Clark, Jeanne; Neuschwander-Tetri, Brent A.; Diehl, AnnaMae; Dasarathy, Srinivasan; Loomba, Rohit; Chalasani, Naga; Kowdley, Kris; Hameed, Bilal; Wilson, Laura A.; Yates, Katherine P.; Belt, Patricia; Lazo, Mariana; Kleiner, David E.; Behling, Cynthia; Tonascia, James; NASH Clinical Research Network (CRN); Medicine, School of MedicineBackground: The prognoses with respect to mortality and hepatic and nonhepatic outcomes across the histologic spectrum of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are not well defined. Methods: We prospectively followed a multicenter patient population that included the full histologic spectrum of NAFLD. The incidences of death and other outcomes were compared across baseline histologic characteristics. Results: A total of 1773 adults with NAFLD were followed for a median of 4 years. All-cause mortality increased with increasing fibrosis stages (0.32 deaths per 100 person-years for stage F0 to F2 [no, mild, or moderate fibrosis], 0.89 deaths per 100 persons-years for stage F3 [bridging fibrosis], and 1.76 deaths per 100 person-years for stage F4 [cirrhosis]). The incidence of liver-related complications per 100 person-years increased with fibrosis stage (F0 to F2 vs. F3 vs. F4) as follows: variceal hemorrhage (0.00 vs. 0.06 vs. 0.70), ascites (0.04 vs. 0.52 vs. 1.20), encephalopathy (0.02 vs. 0.75 vs. 2.39), and hepatocellular cancer (0.04 vs. 0.34 vs. 0.14). As compared with patients with stage F0 to F2 fibrosis, patients with stage F4 fibrosis also had a higher incidence of type 2 diabetes (7.53 vs. 4.45 events per 100 person-years) and a decrease of more than 40% in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (2.98 vs. 0.97 events per 100 person-years). The incidence of cardiac events and nonhepatic cancers were similar across fibrosis stages. After adjustment for age, sex, race, diabetes status, and baseline histologic severity, the incidence of any hepatic decompensation event (variceal hemorrhage, ascites, or encephalopathy) was associated with increased all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 6.8; 95% confidence interval, 2.2 to 21.3). Conclusions: In this prospective study involving patients with NAFLD, fibrosis stages F3 and F4 were associated with increased risks of liver-related complications and death.