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Browsing by Author "Kowdley, Kris"
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Item Association of Histologic Disease Activity With Progression of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease(JAMA Network, 2019-10-02) Kleiner, David E.; Brunt, Elizabeth M.; Wilson, Laura A.; Behling, Cynthia; Guy, Cynthia; Contos, Melissa; Cummings, Oscar; Yeh, Matthew; Gill, Ryan; Chalasani, Naga; Neuschwander-Tetri, Brent A.; Diehl, Anna Mae; Dasarathy, Srinivasan; Terrault, Norah; Kowdley, Kris; Loomba, Rohit; Belt, Patricia; Tonascia, James; Lavine, Joel E.; Sanyal, Arun J.; Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Clinical Research Network; Medicine, School of MedicineImportance: The histologic evolution of the full spectrum of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and factors associated with progression or regression remain to be definitively established. Objective: To evaluate the histologic evolution of NAFLD and the factors associated with changes in disease severity over time. Design, Setting, and Participants: A prospective cohort substudy from the Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Clinical Research Network (NASH CRN) NAFLD Database study, a noninterventional registry, was performed at 8 university medical research centers. Masked assessment of liver histologic specimens was performed, using a prespecified protocol to score individual biopsies. Participants included 446 adults with NAFLD enrolled in the NASH CRN Database studies between October 27, 2004, and September 13, 2013, who underwent 2 liver biopsies 1 or more year apart. Data analysis was performed from October 2016 to October 2018. Main Outcomes and Measures: Progression and regression of fibrosis stage, using clinical, laboratory, and histologic findings, including the NAFLD activity score (NAS) (sum of scores for steatosis, lobular inflammation, and ballooning; range, 0-8, with 8 indicating more severe disease). Results: A total of 446 adults (mean [SD] age, 47 [11] years; 294 [65.9%] women) with NAFLD (NAFL, 86 [19.3%]), borderline NASH (84 [18.8%]), and definite NASH (276 [61.9%]) were studied. Over a mean (SD) interval of 4.9 (2.8) years between biopsies, NAFL resolved in 11 patients (12.8%) and progressed to steatohepatitis in 36 patients (41.9%). Steatohepatitis resolved in 24 (28.6%) of the patients with borderline NASH and 61 (22.1%) of those with definite NASH. Fibrosis progression or regression by at least 1 stage occurred in 132 (30%) and 151 [34%] participants, respectively. Metabolic syndrome (20 [95%] vs 108 [72%]; P = .03), baseline NAS (mean [SD], 5.0 [1.4] vs 4.3 [1.6]; P = .005), and smaller reduction in NAS (-0.2 [2] vs -0.9 [2]; P < .001) were associated with progression to advanced (stage 3-4) fibrosis vs those without progression to stage 3 to 4 fibrosis. Fibrosis regression was associated with lower baseline insulin level (20 vs 33 μU/mL; P = .02) and decrease in all NAS components (steatosis grade -0.8 [0.1] vs -0.3 [0.9]; P < .001; lobular inflammation -0.5 [0.8] vs -0.2 [0.9]; P < .001; ballooning -0.7 [1.1] vs -0.1 [0.9]; P < .001). Only baseline aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels were associated with fibrosis regression vs no change and progression vs no change on multivariable regression: baseline AST (regression: conditional odds ratio [cOR], 0.6 per 10 U/L AST; 95% CI, 0.4-0.7; P < .001; progression: cOR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1-1.5; P = .002). Changes in the AST level, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level, and NAS were also associated with fibrosis regression and progression (ΔAST level: regression, cOR, 0.9; 95% CI, 0.6-1.2; P = .47; progression, cOR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.0-1.6; P = .02; ΔALT level: regression, cOR, 0.7 per 10 U/L AST; 95% CI, 0.5-0.9; P = .002; progression, cOR, 1.0 per 10 U/L AST; 95% CI, 0.9-1.2; P = .93; ΔNAS: regression, cOR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.6-0.9; P = .001; progression, cOR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1-1.5; P = .01). Conclusions and Relevance: Improvement or worsening of disease activity may be associated with fibrosis regression or progression, respectively, in NAFLD.Item Comparison of clinical prediction rules for ruling out cirrhosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)(Wiley, 2022) Brandman, Danielle; Boyle, Marie; McPherson, Stuart; Van Natta, Mark L.; Sanyal, Arun J.; Kowdley, Kris; Neuschwander-Tetri, Brent; Chalasani, Naga; Abdelmalek, Manal F.; Terrault, Norah A.; McCullough, Art; Bettencourt, Ricki; Caussy, Cyrielle; Kleiner, David E.; Behling, Cynthia; Tonascia, James; Anstee, Quentin M.; Loomba, Rohit; Members of the Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Clinical Research Network; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground and aims: Patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) cirrhosis benefit from referral to subspecialty care. While several clinical prediction rules exist to identify advanced fibrosis, the cutoff for excluding cirrhosis due to NAFLD is unclear. This analysis compared clinical prediction rules for excluding biopsy-proven cirrhosis in NAFLD. Methods: Adult patients were enrolled in the NASH Clinical Research Network (US) and the Newcastle Cohort (UK). Clinical and laboratory data were collected at enrolment, and a liver biopsy was taken within 1 year of enrolment. Optimal cutoffs for each score (eg, FIB-4) to exclude cirrhosis were derived from the US cohort, and sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and AUROC were calculated. The cutoffs were evaluated in the UK cohort. Results: 147/1483 (10%) patients in the US cohort had cirrhosis. All prediction rules had similarly high NPV (0.95-0.97). FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis scores were the most accurate in characterising patients as having cirrhosis (AUROC 0.84-0.86). 59/494 (12%) patients in the UK cohort had cirrhosis. Prediction rules had high NPV (0.92-0.96), and FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis score the most accurate in the prediction of cirrhosis in the UK cohort (AUROC 0.87-0.89). Conclusions: This cross-sectional analysis of large, multicentre international datasets shows that current clinical prediction rules perform well in excluding cirrhosis with appropriately chosen cutoffs. These clinical prediction rules can be used in primary care to identify patients, particularly those who are white, female, and <65, unlikely to have cirrhosis so higher-risk patients maintain access to specialty care.Item Histologic Findings of Advanced Fibrosis and Cirrhosis in Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Who Have Normal Aminotransferase Levels(Wolters Kluwer, 2019-10-01) Gawrieh, Samer; Wilson, Laura A.; Cummings, Oscar W.; Clark, Jeanne M.; Loomba, Rohit; Hameed, Bilal; Abdelmalek, Manal F.; Dasarathy, Srinivasan; Neuschwander-Tetri, Brent A.; Kowdley, Kris; Kleiner, David; Doo, Edward; Tonascia, James; Sanyal, Arun; Chalasani, Naga; Network and the NASH Clinical Research; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground and aims: Patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and normal aminotransferase levels may have advanced liver histology. We conducted a study to characterize the prevalence of and factors associated with advanced liver histology in patients with histologically characterized NAFLD and normal aminotransferase levels. Methods: We evaluated 534 adults with biopsy-proven NAFLD and ALT and AST < 40 U/L within 3 months of their liver biopsy. Histological phenotypes of primary interest were NASH with stage 2-3 fibrosis (NASH F2-3) and cirrhosis. Using multiple logistic regression models with Akaike’s Information Criteria (AIC), we identified variables associated with these histological phenotypes. We developed and internally validated their clinical prediction models. Results: The prevalence of NASH F2-F3 and cirrhosis were 19% and 7%, respectively. The best multiple regression AIC model for NASH F2-3 consisted of type 2 diabetes, White race, lower LDL, lower platelet count, higher AST/ALT ratio, higher serum triglycerides, and hypertension. The best AIC model for cirrhosis consisted of lower platelet count, lower AST/ALT ratio, higher BMI, and female sex. The area under the receiver operator curves of the prediction models were 0.70 (95% CI: 0.65-0.76) for detecting NASH-F2-3 and 0.85 (95% CI: 0.77-0.92) for detecting cirrhosis. When models were fixed at maximum Youden’s index, their positive and negative predictive values were 35% and 88% for NASH F2-F3 and 30% and 98% for cirrhosis, respectively. Conclusion: Clinically significant histological phenotypes are observed in patients with NAFLD and normal aminotransferase levels. Our models can assist the clinicians in excluding advanced liver histology in NAFLD patients with normal aminotransferase levels.Item Performance Characteristics of Vibration-Controlled Transient Elastography for Evaluation of Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease(Wiley, 2017) Vuppalanchi, Raj; Siddiqui, Mohammad S.; Van Natta, Mark L.; Hallinan, Erin; Brandman, Danielle; Kowdley, Kris; Neuschwander-Tetri, Brent A.; Loomba, Rohit; Dasarathy, Srinivas; Abdelmalek, Manal; Doo, Edward; Tonascia, James A.; Kleiner, David E.; Sanyal, Arun J.; Chalasani, Naga; Department of Medicine, School of MedicineBackground: Vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) estimates liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) which are noninvasive assessments of hepatic fibrosis and steatosis respectively. However, prior VCTE studies reported high failure rate in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Aim: To examine the performance characteristics of Fibroscan 502 Touch with two probes, medium (M+) and extra-large (XL+), in patients with NAFLD in a multicenter setting. Methods: A total of 1696 exams were attempted in 992 patients (BMI: 33.6 ± 6.5 kg/m2) with histologically confirmed NAFLD. Simultaneous assessment of LSM and CAP was performed using Fibroscan 502 Touch with an automatic probe selection tool. Testing was conducted twice in patients by either a single operator (88%) or two operators (12%). Failure was defined as the inability to obtain a valid examination. An examination was considered unreliable if LSM IQR/median was >30%. Significant disagreement between two readings was defined as greater than >95% limits of agreement between two readings. Results: A total of 1641 examinations yielded valid results with a failure rate of 3.2% (55/1696). The proportion of unreliable scans for LSM was 2.4%. The proportion of unreliable scans with operator experience in the top quartile (≥ 59 procedures) was significantly lower than lower three quarters combined (1.6% vs.4.7%, p=0.01 by Fisher's Exact test). The significant disagreement between first and second readings for LSM and CAP when obtained back to back was 18% and 11% respectively. Conclusion: VCTE for estimation of LSM and CAP can be successfully deployed in a multicenter setting with low failure (3.2%) and high reliability (>95%) rates and high reproducibility.Item Prospective Study of Outcomes in Adults with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease(Massachusetts Medical Society, 2021) Sanyal, Arun J.; Van Natta, Mark L.; Clark, Jeanne; Neuschwander-Tetri, Brent A.; Diehl, AnnaMae; Dasarathy, Srinivasan; Loomba, Rohit; Chalasani, Naga; Kowdley, Kris; Hameed, Bilal; Wilson, Laura A.; Yates, Katherine P.; Belt, Patricia; Lazo, Mariana; Kleiner, David E.; Behling, Cynthia; Tonascia, James; NASH Clinical Research Network (CRN); Medicine, School of MedicineBackground: The prognoses with respect to mortality and hepatic and nonhepatic outcomes across the histologic spectrum of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are not well defined. Methods: We prospectively followed a multicenter patient population that included the full histologic spectrum of NAFLD. The incidences of death and other outcomes were compared across baseline histologic characteristics. Results: A total of 1773 adults with NAFLD were followed for a median of 4 years. All-cause mortality increased with increasing fibrosis stages (0.32 deaths per 100 person-years for stage F0 to F2 [no, mild, or moderate fibrosis], 0.89 deaths per 100 persons-years for stage F3 [bridging fibrosis], and 1.76 deaths per 100 person-years for stage F4 [cirrhosis]). The incidence of liver-related complications per 100 person-years increased with fibrosis stage (F0 to F2 vs. F3 vs. F4) as follows: variceal hemorrhage (0.00 vs. 0.06 vs. 0.70), ascites (0.04 vs. 0.52 vs. 1.20), encephalopathy (0.02 vs. 0.75 vs. 2.39), and hepatocellular cancer (0.04 vs. 0.34 vs. 0.14). As compared with patients with stage F0 to F2 fibrosis, patients with stage F4 fibrosis also had a higher incidence of type 2 diabetes (7.53 vs. 4.45 events per 100 person-years) and a decrease of more than 40% in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (2.98 vs. 0.97 events per 100 person-years). The incidence of cardiac events and nonhepatic cancers were similar across fibrosis stages. After adjustment for age, sex, race, diabetes status, and baseline histologic severity, the incidence of any hepatic decompensation event (variceal hemorrhage, ascites, or encephalopathy) was associated with increased all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 6.8; 95% confidence interval, 2.2 to 21.3). Conclusions: In this prospective study involving patients with NAFLD, fibrosis stages F3 and F4 were associated with increased risks of liver-related complications and death.Item The Nimble Stage 1 Study Validates Diagnostic Circulating Biomarkers for Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis(Springer Nature, 2023) Sanyal, Arun J.; Shankar, Sudha S.; Yates, Katherine P.; Bolognese, James; Daly, Erica; Dehn, Clayton A.; Neuschwander-Tetri, Brent; Kowdley, Kris; Vuppalanchi, Raj; Behling, Cynthia A.; Tonascia, James; Samir, Anthony; Sirlin, Claude; Sherlock, Sarah P.; Fowler, Kathryn; Heymann, Helen; Kamphaus, Tania N.; Loomba, Rohit; Calle, Roberto A.; Medicine, School of MedicineThere are no approved diagnostic biomarkers for at-risk non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), defined by the presence of NASH, high histological activity and fibrosis stage ≥2, which is associated with higher incidence of liver-related events and mortality. FNIH-NIMBLE is a multi-stakeholder project to support regulatory approval of NASH-related biomarkers. The diagnostic performance of five blood-based panels was evaluated in an observational (NASH CRN DB2) cohort (n = 1,073) with full spectrum of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The panels were intended to diagnose at-risk NASH (NIS4), presence of NASH (OWLiver) or fibrosis stages >2, >3 or 4 (enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) test, PROC3 and FibroMeter VCTE). The prespecified performance metric was an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) ≥0.7 and superiority over alanine aminotransferase for disease activity and the FIB-4 test for fibrosis severity. Multiple biomarkers met these metrics. NIS4 had an AUROC of 0.81 (95% confidence interval: 0.78–0.84) for at-risk NASH. The AUROCs of the ELF test, PROC3 and FibroMeterVCTE for clinically significant fibrosis (≥stage 2), advanced fibrosis (≥stage 3) or cirrhosis (stage 4), respectively, were all ≥0.8. ELF and FibroMeter VCTE outperformed FIB-4 for all fibrosis endpoints. These data represent a milestone toward qualification of several biomarker panels for at-risk NASH and also fibrosis severity in individuals with NAFLD.