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Item ASO Visual Abstract: Breast Cancer Screening, Diagnosis, and Surgery During the Pre- and Peri-pandemic—Experience of Patients in a Statewide Health Information Exchange(Springer, 2023) Milgrom, Zheng Z.; Milgrom, Daniel P.; Han, Yan; Hui, Siu L.; Haggstrom, David A.; Fisher, Carla S.; Mendonca, Eneida A.; Pediatrics, School of MedicineThe COVID-19 pandemic affected delivery of breast cancer care, including screening, diagnosis, and surgery. This study (https://doi.org/10.1245/s10434-023-13119-w) compared patient data from 1 year before the outbreak, during lockdown, and 1 year after lockdown to identify changes in patterns or timeliness of care.Item A Bayesian adaptive marker‐stratified design for molecularly targeted agents with customized hierarchical modeling(Wiley, 2019-07) Zang, Yong; Guo, Beibei; Han, Yan; Cao, Sha; Zhang, Chi; Biostatistics, School of Public HealthIt is well known that the treatment effect of a molecularly targeted agent (MTA) may vary dramatically, depending on each patient's biomarker profile. Therefore, for a clinical trial evaluating MTA, it is more reasonable to evaluate its treatment effect within different marker subgroups rather than evaluating the average treatment effect for the overall population. The marker‐stratified design (MSD) provides a useful tool to evaluate the subgroup treatment effects of MTAs. Under the Bayesian framework, the beta‐binomial model is conventionally used under the MSD to estimate the response rate and test the hypothesis. However, this conventional model ignores the fact that the biomarker used in the MSD is, in general, predictive only for the MTA. The response rates for the standard treatment can be approximately consistent across different subgroups stratified by the biomarker. In this paper, we proposed a Bayesian hierarchical model incorporating this biomarker information into consideration. The proposed model uses a hierarchical prior to borrow strength across different subgroups of patients receiving the standard treatment and, therefore, improve the efficiency of the design. Prior informativeness is determined by solving a “customized” equation reflecting the physician's professional opinion. We developed a Bayesian adaptive design based on the proposed hierarchical model to guide the treatment allocation and test the subgroup treatment effect as well as the predictive marker effect. Simulation studies and a real trial application demonstrate that the proposed design yields desirable operating characteristics and outperforms the existing designs.Item Breast Cancer Screening, Diagnosis, and Surgery during the Pre- and Peri-pandemic: Experience of Patients in a Statewide Health Information Exchange(Springer Nature, 2023) Milgrom, Zheng Z.; Milgrom, Daniel P.; Han, Yan; Hui, Siu L.; Haggstrom, David A.; Fisher, Carla S.; Mendonca, Eneida A.; Pediatrics, School of MedicineBackground: Measures taken to address the COVID-19 pandemic interrupted routine diagnosis and care for breast cancer. The aim of this study was to characterize the effects of the pandemic on breast cancer care in a statewide cohort. Patients and methods: Using data from a large health information exchange, we retrospectively analyzed the timing of breast cancer screening, and identified a cohort of newly diagnosed patients with any stage of breast cancer to further access the information available about their surgical treatments. We compared data for four subgroups: pre-lockdown (preLD) 25 March to 16 June 2019; lockdown (LD) 23 March to 3 May 2020; reopening (RO) 4 May to 14 June 2020; and post-lockdown (postLD) 22 March to 13 June 2021. Results: During LD and RO, screening mammograms in the cohort decreased by 96.3% and 36.2%, respectively. The overall breast cancer diagnosis and surgery volumes decreased up to 38.7%, and the median time to surgery was prolonged from 1.5 months to 2.4 for LD and 1.8 months for RO. Interestingly, higher mean DCIS diagnosis (5.0 per week vs. 3.1 per week, p < 0.05) and surgery volume (14.8 vs. 10.5, p < 0.05) were found for postLD compared with preLD, while median time to surgery was shorter (1.2 months vs. 1.5 months, p < 0.0001). However, the postLD average weekly screening and diagnostic mammogram did not fully recover to preLD levels (2055.3 vs. 2326.2, p < 0.05; 574.2 vs. 624.1, p < 0.05). Conclusions: Breast cancer diagnosis and treatment patterns were interrupted during the lockdown and still altered 1 year after. Screening in primary care should be expanded to mitigate possible longer-term effects of these interruptions.Item Effects of home-based leg heat therapy on walking performance in patients with symptomatic peripheral artery disease: a pilot randomized trial(American Physiological Society, 2022) Monroe, Jacob C.; Pae, Byung Joon; Kargl, Christopher; Gavin, Timothy P.; Parker, Jason; Perkins, Susan M.; Han, Yan; Klein, Janet; Motaganahalli, Raghu L.; Roseguini, Bruno T.; Radiology and Imaging Sciences, School of MedicineFew noninvasive therapies currently exist to improve functional capacity in people with lower extremity peripheral artery disease (PAD). The goal of the present study was to test the hypothesis that unsupervised, home-based leg heat therapy (HT) using water-circulating trousers perfused with warm water would improve walking performance in patients with PAD. Patients with symptomatic PAD were randomized into either leg HT (n = 18) or a sham treatment (n = 16). Patients were provided with water-circulating trousers and a portable pump and were asked to apply the therapy daily (7 days/wk, 90 min/session) for 8 wk. The primary study outcome was the change from baseline in 6-min walk distance at 8-wk follow-up. Secondary outcomes included the claudication onset-time, peak walking time, peak pulmonary oxygen consumption and peak blood pressure during a graded treadmill test, resting blood pressure, the ankle-brachial index, postocclusive reactive hyperemia in the calf, cutaneous microvascular reactivity, and perceived quality of life. Of the 34 participants randomized, 29 completed the 8-wk follow-up. The change in 6-min walk distance at the 8-wk follow-up was significantly higher (P = 0.029) in the group exposed to HT than in the sham-treated group (Sham: median: -0.9; 25%, 75% percentiles: -5.8, 14.3; HT: median: 21.3; 25%, 75% percentiles: 10.1, 42.4, P = 0.029). There were no significant differences in secondary outcomes between the HT and sham group at 8-wk follow-up. The results of this pilot study indicate that unsupervised, home-based leg HT is safe, well-tolerated, and elicits a clinically meaningful improvement in walking tolerance in patients with symptomatic PAD. NEW & NOTEWORTHY: This is the first sham-controlled trial to examine the effects of home-based leg heat therapy (HT) on walking performance in patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD). We demonstrate that unsupervised HT using water-circulating trousers is safe, well-tolerated, and elicits meaningful changes in walking ability in patients with symptomatic PAD. This home-based treatment option is practical, painless, and may be a feasible adjunctive therapy to counteract the decline in lower extremity physical function in patients with PAD.Item Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15) elevation in children with newly diagnosed cancer(Frontiers Media, 2023-12-11) Runco, Daniel V.; DiMeglio, Linda A.; Vanderpool, Charles P.; Han, Yan; Daggy, Joanne; Kelley, Mary M.; Mikesell, Raya; Zimmers, Teresa A.; Pediatrics, School of MedicineBackground: Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15), an inflammatory marker and mediator of adult cancer cachexia, remains largely unexplored in children. GDF15 increases nausea, vomiting, and anorexia in cancer and contributes to malnutrition, with the potential to be a cachexia therapeutic target. No studies have examined GDF15 in children with newly diagnosed cancer. Our pilot study compares GDF15 in children with newly diagnosed cancer to age- and sex-matched controls and correlates levels with anthropometric measurements and quality of life (QOL). Methods: Children with newly diagnosed cancer aged 2-21 years were enrolled with serum GDF15 ELISA, anthropometric measures [height, weight, and mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC)], and QOL assessments (using PedsQL™ Core and Gastrointestinal Modules), which were collected at baseline and repeated 3 months later. Serum GDF15 levels were obtained from age- and sex-matched controls for comparison. Results: A total of 57 participants enrolled (N=30, cancer group; N=27, control group) with a median age of 8.8 years (IQR 5.6-15.9 years). The participants were primarily male (54.4%), white (82.5%), and non-Hispanic (82.5%). Cancer diagnoses included acute lymphoblastic leukemia (N=8), lymphoma (N=8), neuroblastoma (N=5), soft tissue tumors (N=4), acute myeloid leukemia (N=2), and single participants with brain, kidney, and bone tumors. Baseline GDF15 was higher in the cancer cohort compared to the control cohort (median=614.6pg/mL and 320.5pg/mL, respectively; p<0.001). When examining participants with evaluable baseline and 3-month follow-up GDF15 levels (N=18), GDF15 was not statistically different (median=657.1pg/mL and 675.3pg/mL, respectively; p=0.702). A total of 13 of the 30 participants and 21 caregivers completed the PedsQL™ Core and Gastrointestinal symptom modules. QOL scores did not differ significantly at 3-month follow-up compared to baseline, but diarrhea worsened (p=0.017). Median participant response for diarrhea at baseline was 92.9 (IQR=92.9-96.4; N=13), which was significantly better than the follow-up (median=78.6; IQR= 71.4-92.9; p=0.017). There were no correlations between change in height, weight, or MUAC and change in GDF15 levels (p=0.351, 0.920, and 0.269 respectively). Conclusion: GDF15 was elevated in children with cancer at diagnosis compared to controls but did not correlate with anthropometric measurements or QOL. This pilot study will inform future prospective studies to better describe the natural history of GDF15 and its role in cachexia and as a potential therapeutic target.Item Leg heat therapy improves perceived physical function but does not enhance walking capacity or vascular function in patients with peripheral artery disease(American Physiological Society, 2020-12) Monroe, Jacob C.; Lin, Chen; Perkins, Susan M.; Han, Yan; Wong, Brett J.; Motaganahalli, Raghu L.; Roseguini, Bruno T.; Biostatistics and Health Data Science, School of MedicineA single session of leg heat therapy (HT) has been shown to elicit increases in leg blood flow and reduce blood pressure (BP) and the circulating levels of endothelin-1 (ET-1) in patients with symptomatic peripheral artery disease (PAD). We assessed whether 6 wk of supervised leg HT (3 times/wk) with water-circulating trousers perfused with water at 48°C improved 6-min walk distance in individuals with PAD compared with a sham treatment. Secondary outcomes included the assessment of leg vascular function, BP, quality of life, and serum ET-1 and nitrite plus nitrate (NOx) levels. Of 32 PAD patients randomized, 30 [age: 68 ± 8 yr; ankle-brachial index (ABI): 0.6 ± 0.1] completed the 3- and 6-wk follow-ups. Participants completed 98.7% of the treatment sessions. Compared with the sham treatment, exposure to HT did not improve 6-min walk distance, BP, popliteal artery reactive hyperemia, cutaneous microvascular reactivity, resting ABI, or serum NOx levels. The change from baseline to 6 wk in scores of the physical functioning subscale of the 36-item Short Form Health Survey was significantly higher in the HT group (control -6.9 ± 10 vs. HT 6.8 ± 15; 95% confidence interval: 2.5-24.3, P = 0.017). Similarly, the change in ET-1 levels after 6 wk was different between groups, with the HT group experiencing a 0.4 pg/mL decrease (95% confidence interval: -0.8-0.0, P = 0.03). These preliminary results indicate that leg HT may improve perceived physical function in symptomatic PAD patients. Additional, larger studies are needed to confirm these findings and determine the optimal treatment regimen for symptomatic PAD patients. NEW & NOTEWORTHY: This is the first sham-controlled study to investigate the effects of leg heat therapy (HT) on walking performance, vascular function, and quality of life in patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD). Adherence to HT was high, and the treatment was well tolerated. Our findings revealed that HT applied with water-circulating trousers evokes a clinically meaningful increase in perceived physical function and reduces the serum concentration of the potent vasoconstrictor endothelin-1 in patients with PAD.Item Modified 3+3 Design for MTD Re-estimation(2024-06) Zhang, Tianshu; Zang, Yong; Han, Yan; Liu, ZiyueThe 3+3 clinical trial design is one of the most popular dose-finding designs used in phase I oncology trials to identify the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) for new treatment regimens. While this design is widely used due to its simplicity , it has some notable limitations, including a maximum of six patients per dose level and fixed target toxicity rates. To address these issues, we propose a modified 3+3 design that extends the traditional 3+3 design by treating the remaining patients at the MTD level for additional dose-limiting toxicity (DLT) assessment. This modification allows for a more flexible and accurate way to identify the MTD, enhanced by the use of isotonic regression to calculate DLT rates. To compare the modified 3+3 designs and the traditional 3+3 design, computer simulation studies have been carried out under various dose-toxicity scenarios. The results show that the modified 3+3 design yields higher accuracy in MTD identification.Item Not FIT for Use: Fecal Immunochemical Testing in the Inpatient and Emergency Settings(Elsevier, 2022-01) Bhatti, Umer; Jansson-Knodell, Claire; Saito, Akira; Han, Andrew; Krajicek, Edward; Han, Yan; Imperiale, Thomas F.; Fayad, Nabil; Medicine, School of MedicineBackground Fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) is widely used for colorectal cancer screening, its only indication. Its effect on clinical decision-making beyond screening is unknown. We studied the use of FIT in emergency and inpatient settings and its impact on patient care. Methods Using electronic medical records, we reviewed all non-ambulatory FITs performed from November 2017 to October 2019 at a tertiary care community hospital. We collected data on demographics, indications, gastroenterology consultations, and endoscopic procedures. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to determine the effect of FIT on gastroenterology consultation and endoscopy. Results We identified 550 patients with at least 1 FIT test. Only 3 FITs (0.5%) were performed for colorectal cancer screening. FITs were primarily ordered from the emergency department (45.3%) or inpatient hospital floor (42.2%). Anemia (44.0%), followed by gastrointestinal bleeding (40.9%), were the most common indications. FIT was positive in 253 patients (46.0%), and gastroenterology consultation was obtained for 47.4% (n = 120), compared with 14.5% (n = 43) of the 297 FIT-negative patients (odds ratio 3.28; 95% confidence interval, 2.23-4.82, P < .0001). A potential bleeding source was identified in 80% of patients with reported or witnessed overt gastrointestinal bleeding, a similar proportion (80.7%; P = .92) to patients who were FIT positive with overt gastrointestinal bleeding. Multivariate analysis showed that melena, hematemesis, and a positive FIT were associated with gastroenterology consultation (all P < .05), while only melena (odds ratio 3.34; 95% confidence interval, 1.48-7.54) was associated with endoscopy. Conclusions Nearly all emergency department and inpatient FIT use was inappropriate. FIT resulted in more gastroenterology consultation but was not independently associated with inpatient endoscopy.Item On the Use of Marker Strategy Design to Detect Predictive Marker Effect in Cancer Immunotherapy(2019-06) Han, Yan; Cao, Sha; Zhang, Ying; Zhang, Chi; Bakoyannis, GiorgosThe marker strategy design (MSGD) has been proposed to assess and validate predictive markers for targeted therapies and immunotherapies. Under this design, patients are randomized into two strategies: the marker-based strategy, which treats patients based on their marker status, and the non-marker-based strategy, which randomizes patients into treatments independent of their marker status in the same way as in a standard randomized clinical trial. The strategy effect is then tested by comparing the response rate between the two strategies and this strategy effect is commonly used to evaluate the predictive capability of the markers. We show that this commonly used between-strategy test is flawed, which may cause investigators to miss the opportunity to discover important predictive markers or falsely claim an irrelevant marker as predictive. Then we propose new procedures to improve the power of the MSGD to detect the predictive marker effect. One is based on a binary response endpoint; the second is based on survival endpoints. We conduct simulation studies to compare the performance of the MSGD with the widely used marker stratified design (MSFD). Numerical studies show that the MSGD and MSFD has comparable performance. Hence, contrary to popular belief that the MSGD is an inferior design compared with the MSFD, we conclude that using the MSGD with the proposed tests is an efficient and ethical way to find predictive markers for targeted therapies.Item On the Use of Marker Strategy Design to Detect Predictive Marker Effect in Cancer Immunotherapy and Targeted Therapy(Springer, 2020) Han, Yan; Yuan, Ying; Cao, Sha; Li, Muyi; Zang, Yong; Biostatistics, School of Public HealthThe marker strategy design (MSGD) has been proposed to assess and validate predictive markers for targeted therapies and immunotherapies. Under this design, patients are randomized into two strategies: the marker-based strategy, which treats patients based on their marker status, and the non-marker-based strategy, which randomizes patients into treatments independent of their marker status in the same way as in a standard randomized clinical trial. The strategy effect is then tested by comparing the response rate between the two strategies and this strategy effect is commonly used to evaluate the predictive capability of the markers. We show that this commonly used between-strategy test is flawed, which may cause investigators to miss the opportunity to discover important predictive markers or falsely claim an irrelevant marker as predictive. Then, we propose new procedures to improve the power of the MSGD to detect the predictive marker effect. One is based on a binary response endpoint; the second is based on survival endpoints. We conduct simulation studies to compare the performance of the MSGD with the widely used marker-stratified design (MSFD). Numerical studies show that the MSGD and MSFD has comparable performance. Hence, contrary to popular belief that the MSGD is an inferior design compared with the MSFD, we conclude that using the MSGD with the proposed tests is an efficient and ethical way to find predictive markers for targeted therapies.