Dumortier, JeromeElobeid, AmaniCarriquiry, Miguel2023-10-112023-10-112022-10Dumortier, Jerome, Elobeid, Amain, & Carriquiry, Miguel. (2022). Light-duty vehicle fleet electrification in the United States and its effects on global agricultural markets. Ecological Economics. 2022; 200, 107536. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2022.107536https://hdl.handle.net/1805/36281Electrification of the light-duty vehicle (LDV) fleet in the United States (U.S.) decreases the long-term demand for maize ethanol. This analysis assesses the consequences of accelerated penetration of electric vehicles into the U.S. LDV fleet on global food production, prices, land-use, and carbon emissions. Population and income growth are framed around Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP). The scenarios progressively increase the 2050 sales share of electric LDVs to 100%. The results indicate a maximum price decline of 9.5% for maize and a significant increase in U.S. maize exports. The fleet electrification also leads to a decline in global cropland compared to the baseline by up to 4.4 million hectares at the end of the projection period. Mean GHG reductions in the 100% LDV sales scenario range from 39.4% to 52.0% of 2019 emissions from gasoline LDVs depending on the SSP. Thus, transportation policies supporting additional electric vehicles reduce food prices and carbon emissions.en-USPublisher PolicyLand-use changeShared socieconomic pathwaysDecarboniationBioenergyGreenhouse gas emessionsElectric VehiclesArticle